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MTSI or NXPI or TXN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI) vs. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) vs. Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MTSI has shown the strongest recent momentum, rising over 20% in recent weeks amid data center and optical connectivity product launches, outperforming peers in relative performance.
- NXPI experienced volatility with a post-earnings dip but stabilized around $197, supported by automotive and physical AI innovations.
- TXN traded steadily near $196, bolstered by 800V power tech for AI data centers and supplier recognition, reflecting industrial demand recovery.
- All three operate in semiconductors but differ in focus: MTSI on RF/microwave, NXPI on automotive/IoT, TXN on analog/embedded processing.
- Year-over-year, MTSI more than doubled from ~$112, while NXPI and TXN hovered around prior levels amid sector cycles.
- Market sentiment favors growth in AI/data center exposure, positioning MTSI ahead in short-term trends.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines MTSI, NXPI, and TXN, three semiconductor firms navigating AI-driven demand, automotive electrification, and data center expansion. Traders seeking momentum plays may eye MTSI's recent surge, while investors favoring stability might prefer TXN's analog leadership or NXPI's automotive exposure. Relative performance highlights contrasts in growth drivers and sector sensitivity, aiding decisions in the current market environment of recovering chip cycles and innovation catalysts.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI) designs RF, microwave, and optical semiconductor products for telecom, data centers, and defense. In recent market activity, shares climbed from ~$208 to $245, a roughly 18% gain, fueled by announcements like 448G per-lane drivers for 3.2T data center connectivity and PCIe 7.0 equalizers. These innovations address high-speed copper interconnect needs, boosting sentiment amid AI infrastructure demand. Volatility persisted with dips to $207, but recovery signals strong positioning in optical and microwave segments, outperforming broader semis.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) specializes in secure connectivity solutions for automotive, industrial, IoT, and mobile markets. Recent weeks saw shares fluctuate from $232 to a low near $190 before stabilizing at ~$197, reflecting post-Q4 earnings pressure despite beats on revenue ($3.34B) and EPS ($3.35). Guidance for $3.15B Q1 revenue exceeded estimates, with emphasis on physical AI and edge compute like i.MX 93W processors. Automotive strength offsets industrial slowdowns, maintaining steady sentiment in a cyclical sector.
TXN Overview and Recent Performance
Texas Instruments (TXN) leads in analog chips and embedded processors for industrial, automotive, and consumer electronics. Shares held firm around $196-$220 in recent activity, rebounding from $187 lows after introducing 800V power architecture for AI data centers and IsoShield modules. Q4 revenue of $4.42B aligned with trends, while capacity expansions and supplier awards underscore operational resilience. Broad industrial demand signals support stable performance amid sector recovery.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MTSI, NXPI, and TXN share semiconductor exposure but diverge in models: MTSI's niche RF/optical focus yields higher growth volatility versus TXN's diversified analog stability and NXPI's automotive/IoT balance. Recent momentum favors MTSI (+18% in weeks) over NXPI (-15% post-earnings) and TXN (flat), driven by data center catalysts. Risk profiles differ: MTSI sensitive to tech capex cycles, NXPI to auto slowdowns, TXN to industrial demand. Valuations reflect trade-offs, with MTSI's premium on momentum contrasting TXN's cash flow reliability; sentiment tilts toward AI enablers.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward MTSI, given its consistent upward trend, product catalysts in high-growth data centers, and superior relative positioning over the past weeks. While NXPI and TXN offer stability, MTSI's momentum suggests higher probability of near-term outperformance in AI/semiconductor rallies, though volatility warrants caution.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTSI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNXPI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TXN’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TXN’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTSI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NXPI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TXN’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTSI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TXN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
MTSI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +3.95% price change this week, while NXPI (@Semiconductors) price change was +5.72% , and TXN (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +10.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +5.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
TXN is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+5.71% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MTSI | NXPI | TXN | |
| Capitalization | 18.6B | 52B | 196B |
| EBITDA | 259M | 3.96B | 8.25B |
| Gain YTD | 44.623 | -4.756 | 24.724 |
| P/E Ratio | 112.09 | 25.87 | 39.45 |
| Revenue | 1.02B | 12.3B | 17.7B |
| Total Cash | 768M | 2.91B | 4.88B |
| Total Debt | 531M | 12.2B | 14B |
MTSI | NXPI | TXN | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 60 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 12 Undervalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 79 | 51 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 58 | 42 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 55 | 20 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 27 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (12) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TXN (12) and is significantly better than the same rating for MTSI (82). This means that NXPI's stock grew similarly to TXN’s and significantly faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TXN (51) and is significantly better than the same rating for NXPI (79). This means that MTSI's stock grew somewhat faster than TXN’s and significantly faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's SMR Rating (31) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NXPI (42) and is in the same range as MTSI (58). This means that TXN's stock grew similarly to NXPI’s and similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (36) and is somewhat better than the same rating for NXPI (55). This means that TXN's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and somewhat faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's P/E Growth Rating (27) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TXN (38) and is in the same range as MTSI (53). This means that NXPI's stock grew similarly to TXN’s and similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| MTSI | NXPI | TXN | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 70% | 8 days ago 68% | 11 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 59% |
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with SITM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then SITM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +0.29% | ||
| SITM - MTSI | 71% Closely correlated | +3.05% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +3.28% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +2.26% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +5.19% | ||
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NXPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NXPI has been closely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NXPI jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NXPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 100% | +0.69% | ||
| MCHP - NXPI | 85% Closely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| ADI - NXPI | 84% Closely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| MCHPP - NXPI | 84% Closely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| SYNA - NXPI | 82% Closely correlated | -2.53% | ||
| ON - NXPI | 80% Closely correlated | +0.16% | ||
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TXN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TXN has been closely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TXN jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TXN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXN | 100% | +2.91% | ||
| MCHP - TXN | 82% Closely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| ADI - TXN | 81% Closely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| MCHPP - TXN | 80% Closely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| NXPI - TXN | 77% Closely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| ON - TXN | 70% Closely correlated | +0.16% | ||
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