Advertisement
MTSI or QCOM or TSM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) vs. QUALCOMM (QCOM) vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MTSI has shown robust year-to-date gains of approximately 25-28%, driven by strong fiscal Q1 results and data center demand, though recent weeks saw a pullback amid broader market volatility.
- QCOM faces headwinds with year-to-date declines around 23-25%, pressured by smartphone slowdowns, but bolstered by a $20 billion buyback and dividend hike signaling confidence.
- TSM maintains strength with year-to-date returns near 5-10% and over 80% one-year gains, fueled by AI chip demand and advanced node leadership, despite recent sector dips.
- All three benefit from semiconductor tailwinds in AI and data centers, but MTSI exhibits higher momentum while QCOM and TSM trade at more attractive valuations relative to growth.
- Recent market activity highlights volatility, with MTSI down 11% monthly versus QCOM's 9% and TSM's similar pullback, reflecting cyclical risks.
Introduction
In the semiconductor sector, MTSI, QCOM, and TSM represent diverse plays on wireless infrastructure, chip design, and advanced manufacturing. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning amid AI-driven demand and supply chain dynamics. Traders seeking momentum in RF components may eye MTSI, while investors favoring scale and stability might prefer QCOM or TSM. Understanding relative performance aids in portfolio allocation during volatile market conditions.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) designs high-performance analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, and optical applications in telecom, defense, and data centers. Recent market activity reflects strength from fiscal Q1 2026 results, with revenue up 24.5% year-over-year to $271.6 million and adjusted EPS of $1.02, beating estimates. Guidance for Q2 pointed to continued growth, fueled by hyperscaler investments in optical interconnects. Year-to-date, shares gained about 25-28%, with one-year returns exceeding 100%, though recent weeks saw an 11% monthly decline amid profit-taking. Sentiment remains positive on AI data center exposure, tempered by high valuations around 98x trailing P/E.
QCOM Overview and Recent Performance
QUALCOMM (QCOM) develops wireless technologies, including 5G chips and on-device AI for mobiles, automotive, and IoT. Recent performance has been challenged by smartphone market softness and memory shortages, with shares down 23-25% year-to-date and 9-10% monthly. However, Q1 fiscal 2026 revenues hit a record $12.3 billion, with automotive surpassing $1 billion again. A $20 billion buyback authorization and 3.4% dividend increase to $0.92 per share underscore financial strength. Trading at a forward P/E near 15-16x, below sector averages, QCOM benefits from licensing stability amid diversification into AI and robotics.
TSM Overview and Recent Performance
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), the world's leading pure-play foundry, produces advanced chips for AI, high-performance computing, and consumer electronics. Recent weeks showed resilience with year-to-date gains of 5-10% and one-year surges over 80-88%, driven by 24%+ revenue growth and 27% earnings expansion in FY2024. February 2026 revenue reports sustained momentum, supported by demand from NVIDIA and Apple. Shares pulled back 9% monthly, trading at 27-32x P/E with gross margins near 56%. Geopolitical risks persist, but capacity expansions and AI node leadership bolster long-term sentiment.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates the top performers from hundreds of AI trading bots that analyze thousands of tickers across diverse strategies, timeframes, and market conditions. Out of 351 total bots, 25 trending ones stand out, delivering annualized returns from 15% to over 188%, with win rates spanning 55-89% and profit factors above 1.5 in many cases. These bots employ varied approaches like pattern recognition, momentum trading, and sector rotation, targeting assets from semiconductors (e.g., SOXL at +90-100%, LRCX-led manufacturing at +92%) to energy and volatility plays. Only the most suitable for current volatility and growth trends earn a spot, helping traders replicate high-performance signals. Explore Trending AI Robots to integrate AI-driven insights into your strategy.
Head-to-Head Comparison
MTSI, QCOM, and TSM operate in interconnected semiconductor ecosystems: MTSI focuses on specialized RF/optical components, QCOM on fabless design with licensing, and TSM on contract manufacturing. Growth drivers diverge—MTSI rides data center optics (35-40% FY2026 revenue growth expected), QCOM diversifies via automotive/AI amid handset weakness, and TSM leads AI foundry demand. Recent momentum favors MTSI (YTD +25%) over TSM (+5-10%) and QCOM (-23%), but risks include MTSI's elevated 98x P/E versus QCOM's 15-16x and TSM's 27x. Sector exposure ties all to AI, yet TSM's scale offers stability, QCOM's buybacks provide downside protection, and MTSI faces higher cyclicality. Valuation sensitivity is acute for MTSI, with sentiment shifting on earnings beats versus broader chip selloffs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TSM for its consistent trend strength, leadership in advanced nodes critical for AI, and relative stability amid volatility. Observable catalysts like sustained revenue growth (24%+) and high margins position it probabilistically ahead, though MTSI's momentum and QCOM's value offer trade-offs based on risk tolerance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTSI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileQCOM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TSM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- QCOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TSM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTSI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while QCOM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTSI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- QCOM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MTSI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +7.31% price change this week, while QCOM (@Semiconductors) price change was +6.36% , and TSM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated -0.03% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.97%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
QCOM is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
TSM is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+10.10% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MTSI | QCOM | TSM | |
| Capitalization | 21.1B | 147B | 1.67T |
| EBITDA | 259M | 14.8B | 2.74T |
| Gain YTD | 64.106 | -19.086 | 21.192 |
| P/E Ratio | 127.19 | 27.73 | 31.34 |
| Revenue | 1.02B | 44.9B | 3.81T |
| Total Cash | 768M | 11.8B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 531M | 14.8B | N/A |
MTSI | QCOM | TSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 9 Undervalued | 46 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 87 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 43 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 61 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 14 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
QCOM's Valuation (9) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TSM (46) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MTSI (83) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM's stock grew somewhat faster than TSM’s and significantly faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSM (9) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for QCOM (87) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and significantly faster than QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's SMR Rating (26) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as QCOM (43) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (59) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to QCOM’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSM (39) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as QCOM (61) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and similarly to QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
QCOM's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as TSM (20) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as MTSI (44) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| MTSI | QCOM | TSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 64% | 13 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 70% | 14 days ago 73% | 5 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 67% |
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| QQQD | 12.99 | 0.13 | +1.01% |
| Direxion Daily Concentrated Qs Bear 1X Shares | |||
| XLEI | 25.80 | 0.04 | +0.17% |
| State Street®EngySelSectSPDR®PrmETF | |||
| VTI | 350.21 | -0.32 | -0.09% |
| Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | |||
| QLV | 74.08 | -0.32 | -0.43% |
| FlexShares US Quality Low Vol ETF | |||
| JETS | 27.55 | -0.37 | -1.33% |
| US Global Jets ETF | |||
MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +1.48% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +0.77% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | -1.66% | ||
| SITM - MTSI | 69% Closely correlated | +4.86% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +8.75% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +3.07% | ||
More | ||||
QCOM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, QCOM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if QCOM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To QCOM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM | 100% | +0.97% | ||
| LRCX - QCOM | 80% Closely correlated | -1.66% | ||
| KLAC - QCOM | 78% Closely correlated | +0.77% | ||
| AMKR - QCOM | 76% Closely correlated | +3.07% | ||
| AMAT - QCOM | 74% Closely correlated | -1.34% | ||
| KLIC - QCOM | 74% Closely correlated | +1.78% | ||
More | ||||
TSM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSM has been closely correlated with ASML. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TSM jumps, then ASML could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM | 100% | -1.15% | ||
| ASML - TSM | 74% Closely correlated | +1.14% | ||
| LRCX - TSM | 73% Closely correlated | -1.66% | ||
| KLAC - TSM | 71% Closely correlated | +0.77% | ||
| MPWR - TSM | 71% Closely correlated | +1.53% | ||
| NVDA - TSM | 71% Closely correlated | +0.19% | ||
More | ||||