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PEP or STZ or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? PepsiCo (PEP) vs. Constellation Brands (STZ) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PEP has demonstrated resilience with YTD gains around 12-13%, buoyed by strong quarterly earnings and a diversified portfolio in beverages and snacks, though recent weeks show modest pullbacks.
- STZ faces headwinds from softening beer demand and leadership transitions, reflected in YTD returns near 8% but sharper monthly declines of about 10%.
- WMT leads with robust YTD performance exceeding 11%, driven by e-commerce growth and steady retail traffic, despite some recent insider sales and settlements.
- Across recent market activity, WMT exhibits stronger relative momentum in consumer staples, while PEP offers stability and STZ trades at potentially attractive valuations amid challenges.
- Sector exposure varies: PEP and STZ in beverages with volume sensitivities, WMT in broad retail benefiting from essential goods demand.
- AI-driven analysis highlights trend consistency favoring defensive plays like WMT in volatile conditions.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines PEP, STZ, and WMT, three stalwarts in consumer staples and retail. PEP (PepsiCo) dominates beverages and snacks, STZ (Constellation Brands) focuses on premium beer, wine, and spirits, and WMT (Walmart) leads in discount retailing. Traders seeking relative performance insights and investors eyeing defensive positioning in uncertain markets will find value here. Recent volatility underscores contrasts in growth drivers, sentiment, and market positioning, aiding decisions on stock comparison and portfolio allocation.
PEP Overview and Recent Performance
PepsiCo, a global leader in beverages and convenient foods, operates through segments like PepsiCo Beverages North America and Frito-Lay, with iconic brands including Pepsi, Gatorade, and Lay's. In recent market activity, PEP shares have traded around $161, reflecting YTD gains of approximately 12.55% amid broader consumer staples strength. Sentiment has been influenced by solid Q4 2025 earnings beats, portfolio optimization, and cost management, though recent weeks saw pullbacks of 3% monthly due to margin pressures and volume softness in foods. Trading above key moving averages signals medium-term bullishness, supported by analyst estimates for 5% earnings growth. Developments like organizational changes aim to accelerate growth, bolstering long-term positioning.
STZ Overview and Recent Performance
Constellation Brands specializes in premium beer (Corona, Modelo), wine, and spirits, with U.S. import rights driving its portfolio. Recent performance for STZ shows shares near $149, with YTD returns around 8% but notable monthly declines of 10%. Key influences include demand challenges for beer among Hispanic consumers, leadership transition with Nicholas Fink as incoming CEO, and Q3 fiscal 2026 results highlighting sales softness. Despite resilience in premiumization, shares have underperformed peers, trading below recent highs with choppy momentum. Analyst targets suggest upside potential at current valuations, though tariff and cost headwinds temper sentiment.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart, the world's largest retailer, blends physical stores, e-commerce, and Sam's Club, serving 270 million weekly customers with essentials and more. WMT shares hover around $124, posting strong YTD gains over 11% fueled by digital sales and membership growth. Recent activity reflects steady performance despite 3-4% monthly dips, influenced by Q4 FY26 earnings momentum, dividend hikes, and innovations like AI partnerships. Insider sales and a Spark Driver settlement introduced noise, but robust traffic and omnichannel execution support outperformance versus retail peers. Earnings estimates project 8-9% growth, reinforcing defensive appeal.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
PEP, STZ, and WMT span beverages and retail, with PEP's diversified snacks-beverages model contrasting STZ's premium alcohol focus, vulnerable to demand cycles. WMT's scale in essentials provides recession resistance. Growth drivers differ: WMT leverages e-commerce (strong momentum), PEP innovation, STZ premiumization amid headwinds. Recent momentum favors WMT (YTD +11%), over PEP (+12% but recent dips) and lagging STZ (-10% monthly). Risks include STZ's volume sensitivity, PEP's margins, WMT's competition. Valuation-wise, STZ appears cheapest (P/E ~23), WMT premium (45x) for growth, PEP balanced. Sentiment tilts to WMT's stability in retail exposure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward WMT in the current environment, citing superior trend consistency, e-commerce catalysts, and relative YTD strength amid volatility. PEP follows for stability, while STZ lags on demand risks despite valuation appeal. Probabilistic edge favors WMT's positioning, aligned with trending bots in consumer staples.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PEP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSTZ’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- PEP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- STZ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PEP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while STZ’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PEP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- STZ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
PEP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а +0.31% price change this week, while STZ (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price change was +7.85% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +2.66% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +2.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +164976.25%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was +3.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.13%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +0.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.43%.
Reported Earning Dates
PEP is expected to report earnings on Apr 16, 2026.
STZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 08, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+2.02% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (+3.37% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Discount Stores (+0.71% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| PEP | STZ | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 215B | 28.3B | 1.03T |
| EBITDA | 15.5B | 2.47B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | 10.714 | 18.970 | 16.143 |
| P/E Ratio | 26.25 | 16.97 | 47.30 |
| Revenue | 93.9B | 9.38B | 713B |
| Total Cash | 9.53B | 152M | N/A |
| Total Debt | 49.9B | 10.7B | 68.4B |
PEP | STZ | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 15 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 26 Undervalued | 48 Fair valued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 100 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 22 | 55 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 55 | 20 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 98 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PEP's Valuation (26) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as STZ (48) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that PEP's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and significantly faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PEP (55) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for STZ (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew somewhat faster than PEP’s and significantly faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's SMR Rating (22) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (99) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that PEP's stock grew somewhat faster than STZ’s and significantly faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as PEP (52) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to PEP’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as PEP (35) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (98) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to PEP’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
| PEP | STZ | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 48% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 28% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 39% | 4 days ago 50% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 59% | 21 days ago 33% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 33% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 39% | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 30% |
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STZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, STZ has been loosely correlated with SAM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if STZ jumps, then SAM could also see price increases.
WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +1.47% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | +0.17% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 39% Loosely correlated | +2.94% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 37% Loosely correlated | -1.58% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | +0.74% | ||
| OLLI - WMT | 27% Poorly correlated | -5.05% | ||
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