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PG or PM or SYY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Procter & Gamble (PG) vs. Philip Morris International (PM) vs. Sysco Corporation (SYY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PG offers defensive stability in consumer staples with a 2.75% dividend yield but trails peers with YTD gains of about 8% amid recent price pressure.
- PM shows stronger 1-year returns near 13-20% driven by smoke-free product growth and a robust $1.47 quarterly dividend, though facing earnings volatility.
- SYY leads YTD performance at over 16% on volume gains and international momentum, supported by a 2.5% yield and raised FY26 guidance.
- All three exhibit consumer defensive traits, but SYY demonstrates superior recent momentum while PG provides the lowest beta for risk aversion.
- Analyst targets suggest upside: PG ~$168-181, PM undervalued by ~14%, SYY ~$90-100 from current levels.
- Valuations align with sector norms, with PE ratios around 23 for PG and SYY, positioning them for relative stability in volatile markets.
Introduction
This stock comparison evaluates PG, PM, and SYY—key players in consumer staples and food distribution. These defensive names appeal to investors seeking resilience amid market volatility, offering steady dividends and essential product exposure. Traders may find value in their relative performance shifts, while long-term holders appreciate sector stability. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in momentum and sentiment, aiding decisions on portfolio allocation in uncertain environments.
PG Overview and Recent Performance
The Procter & Gamble Company (PG) is a global leader in branded consumer goods, spanning beauty, grooming, health care, fabric care, and family products like Tide and Pampers. In recent market activity, PG shares have experienced downward pressure, with 5-day declines around 6-8% and 1-month drops of 2-3%, trading near $153-154. YTD gains hover at 7-8%, underperforming broader indices over the past year with losses near 13%. Sentiment reflects resilience via Citi's Buy rating and $181 target amid product innovations like Mr. Clean upgrades, though broader consumer spending caution and Zacks #3 Hold ranking temper momentum. Dividend yield stands at 2.75%, supporting defensive appeal.
PM Overview and Recent Performance
Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) focuses on tobacco and smoke-free products like IQOS and ZYN, serving over 180 countries with Marlboro as a flagship brand. Recent weeks saw volatility, including a post-earnings dip of ~6% after slightly missing EPS at $1.69, trading around $170. YTD up ~6%, with 1-year returns of 13-20%, bolstered by a $1.47 quarterly dividend and smoke-free growth reaching 43 million users. Analyst views note undervaluation by 14% via DCF, amid regulatory and margin pressures during the shift from combustibles. Community initiatives enhance brand positioning in a transforming sector.
SYY Overview and Recent Performance
Sysco Corporation (SYY) is North America's largest foodservice distributor, supplying restaurants, healthcare, and institutions with meats, produce, and supplies. Recent performance shines with YTD gains over 16%, outpacing peers, and shares near $85 despite short-term dips of 1-2% monthly. Q2 FY26 earnings beat estimates with $0.99 adjusted EPS on volume and margin strength, prompting raised FY26 guidance and shares up 6.7% post-report. A CFO transition occurred, but strategic partnerships like Reborn Coffee signal expansion. Dividend yield ~2.5%, with PE at 23 supporting growth narrative.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
PG, PM, and SYY anchor consumer defensive sectors: PG via household essentials, PM through nicotine transition, and SYY in food distribution. Growth drivers diverge—SYY's volume/international edge vs. PM's smoke-free catalysts and PG's brand innovations—yielding SYY top YTD momentum (16%) over PG (8%). Risks include PM's regulatory hurdles, PG's spending sensitivity, and SYY's execution amid transitions. Valuations cluster at PE ~23, with PM appearing cheapest; sentiment favors SYY buys, balancing stability trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward SYY in the current environment, citing consistent trend strength, raised guidance, and superior relative YTD positioning amid foodservice recovery. PM follows for smoke-free momentum and yield, while PG suits stability seekers. Probabilistic edge favors SYY ~60% based on observable catalysts and bots tracking staples.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePM’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and SYY’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- PG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- SYY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and SYY’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SYY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
PG (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +2.47% price change this week, while PM (@Tobacco) price change was +1.99% , and SYY (@Food Distributors) price fluctuated +5.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +2.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.74%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.71%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was +1.70%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.58%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.40%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Distributors industry was +1.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.57%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.42%.
Reported Earning Dates
PG is expected to report earnings on Apr 24, 2026.
PM is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
SYY is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+2.02% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Tobacco (+1.70% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
@Food Distributors (+1.66% weekly)Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.
| PG | PM | SYY | |
| Capitalization | 341B | 251B | 35.9B |
| EBITDA | 24.5B | 17.5B | 4.1B |
| Gain YTD | 3.064 | 1.427 | 3.288 |
| P/E Ratio | 21.73 | 22.20 | 20.21 |
| Revenue | 85.3B | 40.6B | 82.6B |
| Total Cash | 10.8B | N/A | 169M |
| Total Debt | 36.6B | 48.8B | 15B |
PG | PM | SYY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 52 | 16 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 39 Fair valued | 23 Undervalued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 51 | 16 | 90 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 29 | 3 | 14 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 57 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 73 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PM's Valuation (23) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as PG (39) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is in the same range as SYY (50) in the Food Distributors industry. This means that PM's stock grew similarly to PG’s and similarly to SYY’s over the last 12 months.
PM's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PG (51) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for SYY (90) in the Food Distributors industry. This means that PM's stock grew somewhat faster than PG’s and significantly faster than SYY’s over the last 12 months.
PM's SMR Rating (3) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as SYY (14) in the Food Distributors industry, and is in the same range as PG (29) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that PM's stock grew similarly to SYY’s and similarly to PG’s over the last 12 months.
PM's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as SYY (59) in the Food Distributors industry, and is in the same range as PG (59) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that PM's stock grew similarly to SYY’s and similarly to PG’s over the last 12 months.
SYY's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as PM (73) in the Tobacco industry, and is in the same range as PG (76) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that SYY's stock grew similarly to PM’s and similarly to PG’s over the last 12 months.
| PG | PM | SYY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 48% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 47% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 57% | 9 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 42% | 21 days ago 47% | 11 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 33% | 3 days ago 68% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 36% | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 63% |
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SYY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SYY has been loosely correlated with USFD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SYY jumps, then USFD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SYY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYY | 100% | -0.21% | ||
| USFD - SYY | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.43% | ||
| PFGC - SYY | 44% Loosely correlated | +1.21% | ||
| UNFI - SYY | 33% Loosely correlated | +1.82% | ||
| ANDE - SYY | 32% Poorly correlated | -0.66% | ||
| CHEF - SYY | 28% Poorly correlated | +2.05% | ||
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