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PG or UL or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Procter & Gamble (PG) vs. Unilever (UL) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PG shares have shown resilience with a 70-year dividend increase streak, despite recent underperformance and margin pressures from costs and tariffs.
- UL reported 3.5% underlying sales growth in 2025 but guided 2026 growth to the low end of 4-6% amid U.S. and Europe slowdowns, with shares facing short-term weakness.
- WMT delivered strong Q4 revenue growth of 5.6% driven by e-commerce and grocery, though FY27 EPS guidance disappointed at $2.75-$2.85 versus higher expectations.
- Year-to-date, PG leads at ~8%, followed by WMT at ~10-11%, while UL lags at ~3%.
- All three exhibit defensive qualities in consumer staples and retail, with dividend yields around 2-3% for PG and UL, lower at 0.8% for WMT.
- Recent volatility reflects broader market pressures, with WMT showing e-commerce momentum offsetting regulatory settlements.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines PG (Procter & Gamble), UL (Unilever), and WMT (Walmart), three stalwarts in consumer staples and retail. These companies offer stability amid economic uncertainty, appealing to dividend-focused investors and traders seeking relative performance in defensive sectors. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in sales momentum, margin challenges, and growth outlooks, providing insights into their positioning for ongoing volatility. Traders monitoring consumer trends and AI-driven signals will find value in understanding their business models, recent behaviors, and head-to-head dynamics.
PG Overview and Recent Performance
Procter & Gamble (PG), a global leader in household and personal care products like Tide and Pampers, maintains a robust portfolio across beauty, health, and grooming. In recent weeks, shares have traded around $153-$154, reflecting a year-to-date gain of about 8% but underperforming broader indices over the past year with a 10% decline. Q2 FY2026 results showed flat organic sales and core EPS of $1.88, meeting expectations amid U.S. volume softness offset by international strength. Sentiment is influenced by a 70-year dividend aristocrat streak and productivity gains, though margin pressures from commodities, tariffs, and interest costs weigh on performance. Trading above its 200-day moving average signals stability, positioning PG as a defensive play in recent market activity.
UL Overview and Recent Performance
Unilever (UL), known for brands like Dove, Hellmann's, and Ben & Jerry's, operates in beauty, personal care, home care, and foods with a global footprint emphasizing emerging markets. Shares hover near $67, down in recent sessions with YTD gains of roughly 3% amid short-term weakness. FY2025 underlying sales grew 3.5% with 1.5% volume, meeting forecasts, but Q4 U.S. (2.8%) and Europe (0.1%) slowdowns prompted 2026 guidance at the low end of 4-6%. A €1.5 billion buyback supports returns, yet competitive pressures and valuation scrutiny temper sentiment. Recent price action reflects caution, with shares below recent highs, highlighting trade-offs in global exposure during softer conditions.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart (WMT), the world's largest retailer, dominates grocery, general merchandise, and e-commerce through stores and Walmart+. Shares around $124 have climbed YTD by about 11%, buoyed by Q4 FY2026 revenue of $190.7 billion (up 5.6%), with U.S. comps at 4.6% and e-commerce surging 24%. FY27 guidance of 3.5-4.5% sales growth and $2.75-$2.85 adjusted EPS fell short of estimates, contributing to volatility. A $100 million FTC settlement on driver pay claims added pressure, but membership and advertising gains bolster sentiment. Recent momentum underscores e-commerce strength amid consumer shifts to value.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
PG and UL share consumer goods models focused on branded staples, with PG's U.S.-centric stability contrasting UL's emerging market leverage, leading to similar P/E ratios around 24x but divergent volume trends. WMT differentiates via retail scale, boasting higher growth drivers like 24% e-commerce but elevated P/E near 45x and lower yield. Recent momentum favors WMT's sales beats over PG and UL's cautious guides. Risk factors include tariffs for PG, regional slowdowns for UL, and regulatory scrutiny for WMT. Valuation sensitivity is highest for WMT amid premium multiples, while sentiment tilts toward PG's dividend reliability in staples versus WMT's cyclical exposure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WMT due to consistent trend strength in e-commerce and comp sales, superior YTD positioning, and catalysts like advertising growth, despite higher valuation. PG offers stability with dividend consistency, probabilistically edging UL amid latter's growth caution. Observable momentum and relative outperformance suggest WMT holds the edge in the near term, though staples defensiveness tempers volatility across all three.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileUL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- PG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- UL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- UL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
PG (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +0.63% price change this week, while UL (@Household/Personal Care) price change was +0.33% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +0.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +1.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.23%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.00%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.54%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.51%.
Reported Earning Dates
PG is expected to report earnings on Apr 24, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+1.15% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Discount Stores (+2.91% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| PG | UL | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 336B | 127B | 1.02T |
| EBITDA | 24.5B | 11.3B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | 1.539 | -10.700 | 15.054 |
| P/E Ratio | 21.41 | 19.01 | 46.86 |
| Revenue | 85.3B | 59.8B | 713B |
| Total Cash | 10.8B | N/A | 10.7B |
| Total Debt | 36.6B | N/A | 67.1B |
PG | UL | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 39 Fair valued | 39 Fair valued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 81 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 30 | 97 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 79 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 81 | 83 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PG's Valuation (39) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as UL (39) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that PG's stock grew similarly to UL’s and somewhat faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PG (54) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for UL (81) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew somewhat faster than PG’s and significantly faster than UL’s over the last 12 months.
PG's SMR Rating (30) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as WMT (40) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for UL (97) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that PG's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and significantly faster than UL’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PG (59) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for UL (79) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew somewhat faster than PG’s and somewhat faster than UL’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PG (81) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for UL (83) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew somewhat faster than PG’s and somewhat faster than UL’s over the last 12 months.
| PG | UL | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 34% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 45% | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 29% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 41% | 4 days ago 37% | 4 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 38% | 4 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 43% | 4 days ago 40% | 4 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 43% | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 45% | 12 days ago 42% | 4 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 42% | 7 days ago 42% | 8 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 36% | N/A | 4 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 35% | 4 days ago 40% | 4 days ago 25% |
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WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +0.33% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | -0.21% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 38% Loosely correlated | +1.56% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 36% Loosely correlated | -1.59% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | +1.83% | ||
| TBBB - WMT | 21% Poorly correlated | +2.15% | ||
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