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TPR stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Based in New York City, Tapestry is the parent company of accessories and fashion brand Coach, which accounted for 86% of its revenue and all its operating profit in fiscal 2026... Show more

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A.I.Advisor
Oct 20, 2026

Tapestry (TPR) Stock Analysis: Coach Momentum Versus Tariff and Kate Spade Headwinds

Key Takeaways

  • Tapestry shares trade near $117, up roughly 2% over the trailing 30 days, as investors weigh record fiscal 2026 results against tariff and turnaround risks.
  • Coach remains the dominant growth engine, while the smaller Kate Spade brand continues to post revenue declines and an operating loss.
  • Fiscal 2026 was a record year: revenue of about $8 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $7.05, with management reaching its three-year targets two years ahead of schedule.
  • Fiscal 2027 guidance calls for revenue of $8.4 billion to $8.5 billion and adjusted EPS of $7.80 to $7.90, plus a 16% dividend increase.
  • Key watch items include a mid-20% tariff rate on U.S. imports and the pace of Kate Spade's turnaround.

Current Market Snapshot

Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) traded around $117 per share in mid-October 2026, modestly higher than the roughly $115 level recorded about a month earlier. The move reflects a period of consolidation rather than a sharp directional shift. After its August 2026 earnings report, shares pulled back from levels above $130, and the stock has since settled into a range between roughly $110 and $120. Broader consumer-discretionary sentiment, tariff headlines, and the durability of Coach's momentum continue to shape short-term trading in the name.

Tapestry (TPR) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Tapestry is a New York-based house of modern luxury accessories and lifestyle brands anchored by Coach and Kate Spade. Following the termination of its proposed $8.5 billion merger with Capri Holdings (CPRI) in late 2024 and the 2025 divestiture of Stuart Weitzman, the company has narrowed its portfolio to these two core labels. Coach contributes the vast majority of revenue, and the brand's accessible-luxury positioning in handbags, leather goods, and footwear gives it significant scale in the global accessories market.

Tapestry operates a direct-to-consumer-led model across retail stores, outlets, and digital channels, supported by wholesale partnerships. The company's "Amplify" growth strategy focuses on building emotional connections with consumers, fueling product innovation, and expanding globally. Investors follow the stock closely because Coach has demonstrated consistent pricing power, customer acquisition momentum, and rising average unit retail, while Kate Spade remains a turnaround story.

Recent Developments Driving TPR

Tapestry reported fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results on August 13, 2026, closing out a record year. Full-year revenue reached approximately $8 billion, up 17% on a pro forma constant-currency basis, with operating margin expanding roughly 340 basis points to over 23% and adjusted EPS rising 38% to $7.05. In the fourth quarter, revenue totaled $1.88 billion, up 9% year over year, while adjusted EPS of $1.32 rose about 27%.

Coach was the standout performer, with fourth-quarter revenue up 15% to $1.64 billion and double-digit growth in every quarter of the fiscal year. The brand added more than two million new customers in the quarter and nearly nine million for the year, with Gen Z driving a meaningful share of acquisition. Kate Spade, by contrast, saw revenue decline 7% to $235.1 million and posted an adjusted operating loss.

Management also announced fiscal 2027 guidance of $8.4 billion to $8.5 billion in revenue and adjusted EPS of $7.80 to $7.90, along with a 16% dividend increase to an annualized $1.85 per share and plans for about $1.35 billion in share repurchases. Tapestry highlighted continued investment in AI and data capabilities, including its first AI patent, while flagging a mid-20% tariff rate assumption on U.S. imports as a near-term headwind.

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Looking ahead, Tapestry's trajectory hinges on a few interrelated factors. Coach's continued momentum—management has described a path toward Coach becoming a $10 billion brand—will be central, supported by growth in Greater China and Europe. The Kate Spade turnaround is another key variable, with fiscal 2027 guidance anticipating another high-single-digit revenue decline and a modest operating loss before a return to profitability.

Tariffs represent the most significant external risk. Tapestry's fiscal 2027 outlook assumes a mid-20% tariff rate on U.S. inventory receipts and a roughly neutral year-over-year profit impact after mitigation, leaving margin expansion dependent on those offsets. Investors should also monitor consumer spending trends in the accessible-luxury segment, promotional discipline, and the company's continued capital returns, which management expects to total about $1.7 billion in fiscal 2027.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

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a Summary for TPR with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

TPR's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TPR turned positive on October 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where TPR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TPR as a result. In 54 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

TPR moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +0.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPR advanced for three days, in 232 of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

TPR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 223 of 297 cases where TPR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TPR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TPR's P/B Ratio (34.791) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (6.274). P/E Ratio (16.123) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.068). TPR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.624) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.396). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.107) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.097) is also within normal values, averaging (2.867).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

TPR paid dividends on September 21, 2026

Tapestry TPR Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.46 per share was paid with a record date of September 21, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of September 04, 2026. Read more...
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published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Signet Jewelers Limited (NYSE:SIG), Capri Holdings Limited (NYSE:CPRI), RealReal (The) (NASDAQ:REAL).

Industry description

The catalog and specialty distribution industry includes companies that offer retail through mail-order houses, media, online social platforms, mobile apps and other channels outside of brick-and-mortar stores. Several companies in this business partner with retail companies to assist them with marketing, digital solutions, warehousing, and/or other distribution capabilities. In essence, the industry acts as a potential catalyst for retailers/brands to widen their reach among customers. Pinduoduo Inc., Qurate Retail, Inc. and Baozun are some of the major players in this business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Catalog/Specialty Distribution Industry is 3.09B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 120.92K to 223.68B. LVMUY holds the highest valuation in this group at 223.68B. The lowest valued company is SSOK at 120.92K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Catalog/Specialty Distribution Industry was 6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. CPRI experienced the highest price growth at 29%, while LANV experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Catalog/Specialty Distribution Industry was 102%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 62% and the average quarterly volume growth was 42%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 71
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: 36 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a designer of luxury accessories and lifestyle brands

Industry CatalogSpecialtyDistribution

Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
10 Hudson Yards
Phone
+1 212 946-8400
Employees
20600
Web
https://www.tapestry.com
Tapestry (TPR) Stock Analysis: Coach Momentum Versus Tariff and Kate Spade Headwinds