Go to the list of all blogs
Niko Sharks's Avatar
published in Blogs
Feb 28, 2025

Ethanol Industry Stocks($ADM, $VLO, $ALTO...) Show Robust Performance with an Average Gain in the Last Month 📊

The ethanol industry encompasses a diverse range of business activities, primarily focusing on the production of ethanol and sugar. Beyond these core products, companies within this theme also engage in the development of related assets, such as fuel storage tanks. Some also operate in the broader agricultural sector, including the operation of grain elevator facilities, ethanol plants, and fertilizer production. Prominent examples of firms within this category include Cosan Ltd., Green Plains Partners LP, and Andersons Inc.

Tickers in Industry - $ADM, $VLO, $GPRE, $ALTO, $REX, $ANDE, $GPP

Swing trader: Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA)

Among the standout companies in this group are Valero Energy Corp (NYSE:VLO) and Archer Daniels Midland Company (NYSE:ADM). These firms represent significant market share and have seen consistent performance over various timelines.

Market Capitalization

Market capitalization across the companies in the ethanol industry averages a robust $14 billion. The capitalization of individual tickers within the theme ranges from a modest $6.9 million (held by BIQI) to an impressive $50.5 billion, represented by Valero Energy Corp (VLO).

High and Low Price Notable News

Over the past month, the ethanol industry stocks have posted an average gain of 7.43%. This positive performance also reflects in their weekly and quarterly numbers, with average weekly price growth of 0.81% and an astonishing average quarterly price growth of 45.51%. In terms of individual stock performance, Green Plains Partners (GPP) experienced the highest price growth at 13.63%. On the flip side, Green Plains (GPRE) witnessed a decline of -7.21%.

Recent Price Movements:

  • Alto Ingredients (ALTO, $3.63): Top loser this week, declining -14.79%
  • Green Plains (GPRE, $31.77): Another top loser this week, declining -10.28%
  • Valero Energy (VLO, $116.61): Top weekly gainer, with a +5.63% increase.

Volume Indicators

When it comes to trading volume, the ethanol industry stocks have seen an average weekly volume growth of 13.76%. Moreover, the average monthly volume growth stands at 16.51%. However, the average quarterly volume growth experienced a decline of -5.37%.

Notable Volume Spikes:

  • Andersons Inc. recorded a one-day volume increase resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 208% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average.
  • Archer Daniels Midland also saw a spike in volume, recording a daily growth of 253% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average.
  • Alto Ingredients posted a one-day volume increase resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 324% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average.

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

To provide a comprehensive picture, the average fundamental analysis ratings, based on a scale where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are also worth noting. While the specific ratings were not provided, these ratings can offer additional insights into the overall health and performance of companies in the ethanol industry.

The ethanol industry stocks have shown promising performance over the last month, averaging a gain of 7.43%. Companies like Valero Energy Corp and Archer Daniels Midland Company stand out as industry leaders, while others are contributing to the overall positive performance. With diverse business activities and a strong market capitalization average, the ethanol industry continues to be a sector worth keeping an eye on.

VLO : On September 8, 2023, VLO's Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator transitioned to a positive stance. Historical data reveals that, in 34 out of 43 instances when VLO's MACD went positive, the stock ascended over the subsequent month. This suggests a 79% likelihood of the stock maintaining its upward trajectory in the near term.

GPRE : On September 8, 2023, GPRE's Aroon Indicator signaled a potential bearish trend. This was marked by the AroonDown red line surpassing 70, with the AroonUp green line staying under 30 for three consecutive days. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor has noted that in 155 out of 186 previous occurrences with a similar pattern, the stock declined, suggesting an 83% probability of a further descent. Investors might contemplate selling GPRE shares or exploring put options in anticipation of this trend.

ALTO : On September 11, 2023, ALTO's MACD Histogram moved above its signal line, signifying a potentially bullish outlook. Historical data underscores the significance of this crossover: in 38 out of 43 prior occurrences when ALTO's MACD went positive, the stock climbed in the succeeding month. This infers an 88% chance that ALTO might experience a continued ascent in the near future.

 

Interact to see
Advertisement
WES is an oil & gas midstream partnership (NYSE: WES) with largely fee‑based, long‑term volume contracts in key basins such as the Delaware and DJ, which insulate cash flows from direct oil price swings but still tie them to producer activity and throughput. Current positioning: The units trade around 41–42 dollars with a high cash yield (roughly 9% dividend), solid profitability (P/E about 14), and strong returns on equity above 40%, signaling a mature, cash‑generative infrastructure asset.
SD is a pure‑play upstream energy company with operations concentrated in U.S. onshore oil and gas, so its revenues are directly influenced by global oil and gas price movements.
TTI is an oilfield services and specialty chemicals company, not a direct oil producer, so it tends to benefit when higher oil prices lead to sustained drilling and completion activity rather than from price moves alone. The Iran war raises the odds of major supply disruptions, and several commentators see a path to Brent near 100 dollars per barrel if the Strait of Hormuz is impaired, which would support energy capex and, by extension, demand for TTI’s services and fluids.
COP is a global upstream heavyweight, producing more than 2.3 million barrels of oil equivalent per day and generating over 60 billion dollars in annual revenue, with a strategy centered on disciplined capex and robust cash returns to shareholders. The Iran war introduces a structural risk premium into oil markets; if supply from the region or traffic through Hormuz is disrupted, analysts see Brent potentially trading nearer 90–100 dollars per barrel or higher, which is supportive for ConocoPhillips’ cash flows and valuation.
ONEOK is a diversified midstream operator focused on gathering, processing, fractionation, transportation, storage, and marine export of natural gas, NGLs, refined products, and crude, with most revenue coming from relatively stable fee‑based contracts. The US–Iran war increases the odds of supply disruptions or perceived risks in the Gulf, which has already contributed to higher oil and LNG prices and a persistent geopolitical risk premium.
Exxon Mobil is a global energy giant with roughly 324 billion dollars in trailing revenue, around 29 billion dollars in earnings, record production near 4.7 million barrels per day, and a long runway of projects in Guyana, the Permian, LNG and carbon capture. The Iran war has disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and could keep a 10–20 dollar‑per‑barrel risk premium in crude if tensions stay high, which would generally be positive for XOM’s upstream earnings and refining margins.
Chevron is a global integrated oil and gas major with growing production, a strong balance sheet, and significant exposure to long‑life projects in the Permian, LNG, and Venezuela, aiming for structurally higher cash flows through 2026 and beyond. The Iran war has increased the probability of supply disruptions or perceived risk in the Gulf, and several analysts warn that Brent could move above 100 dollars per barrel if Hormuz traffic is impaired, which would generally be supportive for Chevron’s earnings and free cash flow.
Shell is a diversified global major with roughly 266.9 billion dollars in trailing revenue, 17.8 billion dollars in earnings, a 3.5% dividend yield, and an active buyback program, trading at about 13 times earnings near its 52‑week high. The Iran war materially raises the risk of disruptions or perceived threats around the Strait of Hormuz, which could push oil well above 80–100 dollars per barrel and tighten LNG markets, a setup that is generally supportive for Shell’s upstream and LNG businesses.
LMT is a defense heavyweight with roughly 75 billion dollars in annual revenue, about 5 billion dollars in earnings, and a backlog above 190 billion dollars spanning fighters, missiles, space, and sustainment contracts that support long‑term cash flow. The U.S.–Iran war has triggered a classic “flight to defense,” with sector ETFs and names like Lockheed rallying as investors price in higher defense spending, missile restocking, and elevated geopolitical risk for years to come.
NOC is a defense heavyweight with about 42 billion dollars in annual revenue, 4.18 billion dollars in earnings, and key growth programs in the B‑21 bomber, Sentinel ICBM, missile defense, and space, which are all strategically prioritized in U.S. and allied budgets. The Iran war has reinforced a rotation into defense stocks as investors expect elevated military spending, ammunition and missile restocking, and sustained demand for advanced systems, and commentary specifically cites Northrop as a likely beneficiary.
RTX is a broad aerospace and defense leader with about 88.6 billion dollars in 2025 revenue, 6.73 billion dollars in earnings, and a 268 billion dollar backlog spanning commercial and defense programs that support multi‑year growth. Management guides to 92–93 billion dollars in 2026 sales, adjusted EPS of 6.60–6.80, and free cash flow of 8.25–8.75 billion dollars, with analysts expecting roughly 6% EPS growth to around 6.67 dollars in 2026.
Delta is the most profitable major U.S. airline, with 2025 operating revenue of 58.3 billion dollars, adjusted EPS of 5.82 dollars, 12% ROIC, and manageable leverage, and it is guiding to 2026 EPS of 6.50–7.50 dollars and 3–4 billion dollars of free cash flow. The Iran war is pushing oil and jet fuel prices higher, with jet fuel benchmarks up about 22% this year amid fears over flows through the Strait of Hormuz, and long‑haul routes across the region are being rerouted, raising costs and causing disruptions.
GD produces business jets, combat vehicles, IT and mission systems, and submarines, with 2025 revenue of 52.55 billion dollars, net income of 4.21 billion dollars, EPS of 15.45, and a sizable backlog near 118 billion dollars that underpins future growth.​ The Iran war has boosted interest in defense stocks; sector ETFs are up double digits this year and analysts emphasize that long‑duration maintenance and modernization contracts can support cash flows even after the conflict cools.
HII is the dominant U.S. Navy shipbuilder, focused on aircraft carriers, submarines, and other major naval vessels, with about 12.0 billion dollars in trailing revenue, 569 million dollars in net income, and EPS of 14.50. The Iran war and threats around the Strait of Hormuz highlight the importance of naval and missile-defense capabilities; reports show interceptor stocks being depleted and stress that keeping sea lanes open will likely require sustained naval investment where HII is a key contractor.
United is a large global carrier with a premium‑focused “United Next” strategy that upgauges to larger, more fuel‑efficient aircraft and adds premium seats to improve margins over the next several years. The Iran war has forced widespread Middle East airspace closures, creating thousands of cancellations, diversions, longer flight times, and higher fuel burn; analysts warn of higher fares and air‑freight rates if the conflict persists.
GE Aerospace is a focused aviation and defense company with two major segments—commercial engines and services, and defense and propulsion—earning most of its profits from long‑duration engine service on an installed base near 80,000 engines. Revenue and earnings growth have been strong, with recent quarterly revenue above 11 billion dollars, up high‑teens year over year, and net income over 2 billion dollars; management guides to 2026 EPS of 7.10–7.40 dollars, well above this year’s roughly 5.4‑dollar consensus.
Shares of Citigroup (C) declined approximately 5.17% in the most recent completed trading session, closing at $110.19 versus a prior close of $116.19. The primary catalyst was hotter-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data, stoking fears of persistent inflation and a reduced likelihood of near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts.
AVAV surged +16.83% in Monday's session, trading at $294.70 compared to Friday's closing price of $252.25 — a gain of $42.45 per share. The primary catalyst was a powerful confluence of geopolitical demand and corporate developments: the escalating U.S.-Iran military conflict dramatically amplified investor focus on AeroVironment's loitering munitions portfolio.
Shares of Venture Global surged approximately +16.61% on March 2, 2026, closing at $11.30 compared to the prior close of $9.69. The primary catalyst was a stronger-than-expected Q4 2025 earnings report, with GAAP EPS of $0.41 beating the consensus estimate of $0.36 by $0.05.
Shares of CCL plunged 10.11% in Monday's session, falling from a prior close of $31.55 to $28.36. The primary catalyst was a coordinated U.S. and Israeli military strike on Iran over the weekend, causing crude oil prices to surge approximately 8–9% and triggering a global risk-off selloff.
Ethanol Industry Stocks($ADM, $VLO, $ALTO...) Show Robust Performance with an Average Gain in the Last Month 📊