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AGCO vs ALG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AGCO Corporation (AGCO) vs. Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Different end markets: AGCO is a global agricultural machinery and precision-agriculture leader, while ALG makes vegetation-management and infrastructure-maintenance equipment.
- Margin execution contrasts: AGCO expanded its adjusted operating margin to 7.7% in 2025 despite a double-digit sales decline, while ALG saw margins compress in its latest quarter.
- Mixed segment results: ALG's Industrial Equipment division grew 12.6% in 2025, but its Vegetation Management division fell 16.7%.
- Market reaction: ALG shares dropped sharply after its latest earnings miss, whereas AGCO's disciplined cost actions supported a more resilient performance narrative.
- Scale and diversification: AGCO's roughly $10 billion revenue base and multi-region footprint contrast with ALG's smaller, more concentrated ~$1.6 billion business.
Introduction
Investors weighing industrial and agricultural equipment makers often face a choice between large, diversified franchises and smaller, more specialized manufacturers. This stock comparison examines two distinct companies that share exposure to machinery but serve very different demand cycles: AGCO Corporation, a global agricultural-equipment and precision-agriculture powerhouse, and Alamo Group Inc., a niche producer of vegetation-management and infrastructure equipment. Comparing their relative performance and market positioning can help traders and long-term investors assess how cyclical pressures, margin execution, and diversification shape outcomes. Because both companies face softening demand in parts of their end markets, this comparison is especially relevant for those monitoring how well management teams defend profitability through a downturn.
AGCO Overview and Recent Performance
AGCO Corporation designs, manufactures, and distributes agricultural machinery and precision-agriculture technology under brands including Fendt, Massey Ferguson, PTx, and Valtra. In recent quarters, the company has executed a multiyear structural transformation, forming its PTx Trimble joint venture and divesting the majority of its grain-and-protein business. For full-year 2025, AGCO reported net sales of roughly $10.1 billion, down about 13.5% from 2024 (about 7% excluding the divestiture), reflecting softer demand across major farm-equipment markets. Despite the decline, adjusted operating margin improved to 7.7%, and the company highlighted record profitability relative to this point in the industry cycle. Management has emphasized cost discipline, lower dealer inventories, and growth in precision-agriculture products as factors supporting sentiment in recent market activity.
ALG Overview and Recent Performance
Alamo Group Inc. manufactures and services equipment for vegetation management and infrastructure maintenance, operating through two segments: Industrial Equipment (vacuum trucks, sweepers, snow-removal, and excavators) and Vegetation Management (mowing, forestry, and tree care). For full-year 2025, ALG reported net sales of about $1.6 billion, a decline of 1.5% from 2024. Results were split sharply by division: Industrial Equipment grew 12.6%, while Vegetation Management fell 16.7% amid weak tree-care, agricultural, and municipal-mowing demand. The latest reported quarter saw revenue miss consensus estimates and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) fall well short of expectations, contributing to a sharp one-day decline in the stock. Management has pursued restructuring, facility consolidation, and tuck-in acquisitions, including Petersen Industries, to reposition the business for margin recovery.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between AGCO and ALG is scale and sector exposure. AGCO operates a diversified, global agricultural franchise spanning Europe, North America, South America, and Asia-Pacific, giving it broader geographic balance and a growing precision-agriculture technology business. ALG is more concentrated, with a heavy tilt toward North American infrastructure and vegetation-management demand that has been uneven across its two divisions. Growth drivers also differ: AGCO is leaning on precision-ag and retrofit technologies as adoption increases, while ALG is focused on margin recovery, procurement efficiency, and bolt-on acquisitions. On recent momentum, AGCO's ability to expand margins during a downcycle stands out, whereas ALG's latest earnings miss and Vegetation Management headwinds have weighed on investor sentiment. Risk factors overlap around tariffs, elevated interest rates, and soft farm and municipal budgets, but AGCO's larger balance sheet and capital-return program offer a different risk profile than ALG's smaller, acquisition-oriented strategy.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, margin execution, diversification, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely assign a modest edge to AGCO in the current environment. The company's expanding adjusted operating margin, disciplined inventory management, and structural shift toward precision agriculture suggest greater earnings stability through a downcycle. ALG retains strengths in its fast-growing Industrial Equipment division and a robust acquisition pipeline, but persistent Vegetation Management weakness and a recent earnings miss introduce more uncertainty into its near-term trend. This assessment reflects a probabilistic view rather than a definitive forecast, and relative performance could shift as either company's catalysts unfold.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGCO is a StrongBuy and ALG is a Hold.
AGCO in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026
AGCO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 45 of 61 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for AGCO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AGCO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator for AGCO entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AGCO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 43 of 61 cases where AGCO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +1.45% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AGCO advanced for three days, in 199 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
AGCO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 52 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.806) is normal, around the industry mean (2.561). P/E Ratio (14.533) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.171). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.931) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.847) is also within normal values, averaging (1.128).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AGCO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AGCO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
ALG in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 24, 2026
ALG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 28 of 37 cases where ALG's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.80% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALG advanced for three days, in 193 of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALG as a result. In 42 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
ALG moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ALG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
The Aroon Indicator for ALG entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 52 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.521) is normal, around the industry mean (2.561). P/E Ratio (17.700) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.171). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.826) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.227) is also within normal values, averaging (1.128).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ALG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
AGCO | ALG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 62 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 52 Fair valued | 52 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 92 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 61 | 75 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 72 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AGCO's Valuation (52) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALG (52). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to ALG’s over the last 12 months.
ALG's Profit vs Risk Rating (92) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as AGCO (100). This means that ALG’s stock grew similarly to AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
AGCO's SMR Rating (61) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALG (75). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to ALG’s over the last 12 months.
AGCO's Price Growth Rating (71) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALG (72). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to ALG’s over the last 12 months.
ALG's P/E Growth Rating (49) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AGCO (96). This means that ALG’s stock grew somewhat faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
| AGCO | ALG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 10 days ago 62% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 1 day ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 60% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGCO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while ALG’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AGCO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ALG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGCO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ALG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGCO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ALG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AGCO (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -0.03% price change this week, while ALG (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -3.53% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -3.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.90%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGCO is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
ALG is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-3.15% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
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AGCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGCO has been closely correlated with DE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGCO jumps, then DE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AGCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGCO | 100% | +0.90% | ||
| DE - AGCO | 72% Closely correlated | +1.11% | ||
| TWI - AGCO | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.29% | ||
| OSK - AGCO | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.91% | ||
| LNN - AGCO | 54% Loosely correlated | +5.07% | ||
| TEX - AGCO | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.81% | ||
More | ||||
ALG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALG has been loosely correlated with ACA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ALG jumps, then ACA could also see price increases.
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| CPRA | 27.87 | 0.01 | +0.05% |
| Calamos Russell 2000 Structured Alt Protection ETF - April (CPRA) | |||
| FDRR | 69.26 | -0.15 | -0.21% |
| Fidelity Dividend ETF for Rising Rates (FDRR) | |||
| INCO | 57.07 | -0.28 | -0.49% |
| Columbia India Consumer ETF (INCO) | |||
| WCAP | 9.33 | -0.05 | -0.55% |
| WarCap Unconstrained Equity ETF (WCAP) | |||
| ESGV | 134.84 | -1.76 | -1.29% |
| Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF (ESGV) | |||