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CODI vs MLI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI) vs. Mueller Industries (MLI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Different business models: CODI is a holding company that owns controlling stakes in middle-market businesses, while MLI is an industrial manufacturer of copper, brass, aluminum, and plastic products.
- Contrasting momentum: CODI has recently returned to profitability and attracted analyst upgrades amid a deleveraging story, while MLI has posted record results but faces near-term margin compression.
- Balance-sheet strength: MLI holds roughly $1.38 billion in cash with essentially no debt, whereas CODI carries significant leverage it is actively working to reduce through divestitures.
- Scale gap: MLI's market capitalization of about $13.4 billion dwarfs CODI, reflecting very different liquidity and risk profiles.
- Sector exposure: MLI is tied to construction, data centers, and copper prices; CODI spans branded consumer and industrial subsidiaries, giving it a more diversified but more complex earnings profile.
Introduction
Investors weighing a diversified holding company against a pure-play industrial manufacturer will find the comparison between CODI (Compass Diversified Holdings) and MLI (Mueller Industries) instructive. The two companies operate in different corners of the market, face distinct growth drivers, and carry very different risk profiles. This stock comparison is relevant for investors assessing relative performance, market positioning, and how each name responds to shifting macro conditions such as copper prices, construction demand, and corporate restructuring. Both stocks have generated notable headlines in recent weeks, making their divergence a useful lens through which to understand current market sentiment across the consumer, industrial, and materials sectors.
CODI Overview and Recent Performance
Compass Diversified Holdings is a permanent-capital holding company that maintains controlling interests in a portfolio of middle-market businesses, grouped broadly into Branded Consumer and Industrial segments. Its subsidiaries include names such as 5.11 (tactical gear), BOA (closure systems), PrimaLoft (insulation), The Honey Pot (feminine care), Arnold (magnetics), and Altor (plastics). In recent quarters, CODI has pivoted toward balance-sheet repair, highlighted by the sale of its Sterno food-service business for roughly $292.5 million, with proceeds used to repay debt.
This restructuring has reshaped sentiment. After a period of losses, the company returned to profitability, and sell-side analysts responded with upgrades—B. Riley raised its rating to Buy with a higher price target, and TD Cowen lifted its target as well. At the same time, activist investor ADW Capital Management publicly called for a strategic review, arguing the shares trade at a persistent discount to estimated net asset value. These competing forces—improving fundamentals alongside structural governance questions—have kept CODI's relative performance volatile and its market positioning contested in recent weeks.
MLI Overview and Recent Performance
Mueller Industries manufactures copper, brass, aluminum, and plastic products used in plumbing, HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning), refrigeration, and industrial applications, organized into Piping Systems, Industrial Metals, and Climate segments. The company has benefited from sharply higher copper prices and resilient demand from data-center and commercial construction activity. Recent earnings showed strong revenue growth, with quarterly net sales rising over 30% year over year, and management reported the best first-quarter results in company history.
However, MLI's momentum has moderated. Its most recent quarterly report combined a large revenue beat with a slight earnings-per-share shortfall, as rising copper input costs and acquisition-related charges compressed operating margins. The stock pulled back meaningfully from its 52-week high. Even so, MLI's fundamentals remain robust: the company holds substantial cash, carries essentially no debt, completed a two-for-one stock split, and raised its dividend for a sixth consecutive year. It has also pursued acquisitions such as Bison Metals Technologies to expand its copper-tube platform.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two stocks is structural. CODI functions as an investment vehicle whose value depends on the performance, monetization, and capital allocation of its underlying subsidiaries. Its recent narrative centers on deleveraging, divestitures, and closing a perceived discount to asset value—an execution-dependent, catalyst-driven story. MLI, by contrast, is a vertically integrated manufacturer whose earnings track copper prices and end-market demand, giving it more direct exposure to industrial and construction cycles.
Risk factors also diverge. CODI faces leverage concerns, integration and divestiture risk, and questions about its external management structure. MLI's risks are more cyclical: copper-price volatility, margin pressure from cost pass-through timing, and softness in residential construction. On momentum, CODI's recent price recovery has been sharp but uneven, while MLI's longer-term uptrend has recently paused on margin concerns. In terms of market positioning, MLI offers scale, liquidity, and balance-sheet safety, while CODI offers a higher-risk, higher-potential-reward restructuring angle.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward MLI in the current environment. The company's trend consistency, robust balance sheet, record-level earnings, and steady capital returns point to a more stable and durable uptrend, even amid short-term margin compression. CODI presents a compelling but more uncertain catalyst-driven setup, with its outcome contingent on successful divestitures and governance resolution. In probabilistic terms, MLI's combination of financial strength and consistent execution offers a steadier signal, while CODI's appeal rests on higher volatility and event risk. This assessment reflects relative positioning rather than a definitive forecast.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CODI is a Hold and MLI is a Hold.
CODI's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for CODI entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 227 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 160 of the 227 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 70%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CODI as a result. In 62 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
CODI moved below its 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CODI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CODI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CODI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 63 cases where CODI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +3.50% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CODI advanced for three days, in 174 of 277 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
CODI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 2 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CODI's P/B Ratio (-147.331) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (-0.788). P/E Ratio (-5.460) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.776). CODI's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.647) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.772). Dividend Yield (0.097) settles around the average of (543.841) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.462) is also within normal values, averaging (2.059).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CODI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CODI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for MLI turns negative, indicating new downward trend
MLI saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 15, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 82 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 51%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MLI turned negative on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MLI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for MLI's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +1.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MLI advanced for three days, in 250 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
MLI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 239 of 329 cases where MLI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.400) is normal, around the industry mean (3.110). P/E Ratio (14.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.240). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.090) is also within normal values, averaging (0.744). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.880) is also within normal values, averaging (5901.087).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MLI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
CODI | MLI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 2 Undervalued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 55 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CODI's Valuation (2) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MLI (50) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that CODI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MLI’s over the last 12 months.
MLI's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Metal Fabrication industry is significantly better than the same rating for CODI (100) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that MLI’s stock grew significantly faster than CODI’s over the last 12 months.
MLI's SMR Rating (36) in the Metal Fabrication industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CODI (100) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that MLI’s stock grew somewhat faster than CODI’s over the last 12 months.
CODI's Price Growth Rating (56) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as MLI (59) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that CODI’s stock grew similarly to MLI’s over the last 12 months.
CODI's P/E Growth Rating (44) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as MLI (55) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that CODI’s stock grew similarly to MLI’s over the last 12 months.
| CODI | MLI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 50% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 10 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 70% | 7 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 73% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CODI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while MLI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CODI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MLI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CODI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MLI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CODI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MLI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CODI (@Industrial Conglomerates) experienced а -2.82% price change this week, while MLI (@Metal Fabrication) price change was -10.02% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Conglomerates industry was -4.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.13%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Metal Fabrication industry was -2.70%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.63%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.34%.
Reported Earning Dates
CODI is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
MLI is expected to report earnings on Feb 09, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Conglomerates (-4.76% weekly)Industrial Conglomerates specialize in numerous types of products, most of which comprise industrial goods, while some also go towards meeting household needs. Honeywell (makes engineering services and aerospace systems), United Technologies Corporation(manufactures aircraft engines, aerospace systems, HVAC, elevators and escalators, fire and security, building systems, and industrial products, among others), 3M (over 60,000 products under several world-renowned brands, including adhesives, abrasives, laminates, passive fire protection, personal protective equipment, window films, paint protection films, dental and orthodontic products, electrical & electronic connecting and insulating materials, medical products, car-care products, electronic circuits, healthcare software and optical films).
@Metal Fabrication (-2.70% weekly)The industry is involved in value-added processes including creation of metal structures like machines and parts by cutting, bending and assembling, using various raw materials. A fabrication shop often bids on a project/job, and then builds the product if awarded the contract. Robotics and automation are making their way into the industry apparently to fill in skills gap[s19] . RBC Bearings Incorporated, Timken Company and Valmont Industries, Inc. are some of the largest metal fabrication companies in the U.S.
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CODI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CODI has been loosely correlated with IIIN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CODI jumps, then IIIN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CODI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CODI | 100% | +0.39% | ||
| IIIN - CODI | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.30% | ||
| PRLB - CODI | 53% Loosely correlated | -5.94% | ||
| MLI - CODI | 46% Loosely correlated | -5.23% | ||
| MDU - CODI | 46% Loosely correlated | +1.31% | ||
| NWPX - CODI | 46% Loosely correlated | -3.08% | ||
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MLI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MLI has been loosely correlated with MTUS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MLI jumps, then MTUS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MLI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLI | 100% | -5.23% | ||
| MTUS - MLI | 51% Loosely correlated | -2.66% | ||
| CODI - MLI | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.39% | ||
| MDU - MLI | 44% Loosely correlated | +1.31% | ||
| NWPX - MLI | 44% Loosely correlated | -3.08% | ||
| NUE - MLI | 44% Loosely correlated | -2.45% | ||
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