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EQNR vs SU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Equinor (EQNR) vs. Suncor Energy (SU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both EQNR and SU are major integrated energy companies with exposure to oil, natural gas, and downstream operations, though Equinor emphasizes international offshore and renewables while Suncor focuses on Canadian oil sands.
- In recent market activity, SU has demonstrated stronger year-to-date and one-year total returns compared to EQNR, driven by robust cash flow generation and elevated shareholder returns.
- Equinor reported solid second-quarter 2026 results with significant adjusted operating income and continued its share buyback program, supporting relative stability amid fluctuating commodity prices.
- Suncor announced plans to increase 2026 share repurchases to approximately $4 billion and is scheduled to release second-quarter 2026 earnings on August 4, with analysts projecting substantial EPS growth.
- Market sentiment remains constructive for both stocks, with analysts generally maintaining buy or hold ratings and price targets reflecting modest upside potential from late-July 2026 levels.
- Risk factors for the pair include oil price volatility, regulatory changes in their primary operating regions, and execution on capital allocation programs.
Introduction
This comparison examines EQNR (Equinor ASA) and SU (Suncor Energy Inc.), two leading energy producers operating in different geographic and operational contexts. Equinor, headquartered in Norway, maintains a global portfolio with significant offshore production and a growing renewables presence. Suncor, based in Canada, is a major player in oil sands extraction, refining, and marketing. Investors and traders seeking exposure to the energy sector may find this analysis relevant when evaluating relative performance, capital return policies, and positioning within the broader oil and gas industry amid evolving commodity markets.
EQNR Overview and Recent Performance
Equinor ASA is an integrated energy company engaged in exploration, production, refining, and marketing of oil and natural gas, alongside expanding renewables activities. In recent weeks, EQNR shares traded near $41, reflecting gains following the July 22, 2026 release of second-quarter results that showed adjusted operating income of $11.48 billion and net income of $4.84 billion. The company continues its 2026 share buyback program, including a third tranche of up to $1.125 billion. Broader market activity has been influenced by oil price movements and the firm’s dividend policy, with a quarterly cash dividend of $0.39 declared. Performance has shown resilience, with notable year-to-date appreciation supported by production levels and cost management.
SU Overview and Recent Performance
Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company with primary focus on oil sands development, refining, and retail operations in Canada. In recent market activity, SU shares have traded around $67, posting strong year-to-date returns exceeding 50 percent and one-year returns above 70 percent in certain benchmarks. The company raised its 2026 share repurchase target to $4 billion and is preparing to report second-quarter 2026 results on August 4, with consensus expectations pointing to significant year-over-year EPS growth. Recent analyst commentary has included upward revisions to price targets, reflecting confidence in cash flow generation and shareholder returns. Sentiment has benefited from operational efficiency and favorable commodity realizations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Equinor and Suncor differ in business model emphasis: Equinor maintains broader international offshore exposure and a renewables transition component, whereas Suncor is more concentrated in Canadian oil sands with integrated downstream assets. Recent momentum has favored SU, which recorded higher percentage gains over the year-to-date and trailing twelve-month periods. Both companies pursue active capital return programs through dividends and buybacks, though Suncor’s announced 2026 repurchase increase stands out for scale relative to its market capitalization. Risk profiles include commodity price sensitivity for both, with Equinor facing additional considerations around global regulatory and geopolitical factors, and Suncor navigating Canadian-specific environmental and fiscal policies. Sector exposure remains similar within energy, yet geographic and operational diversification creates distinct trade-offs for portfolio construction.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent relative price momentum, consistency of earnings delivery, and capital return visibility, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable positioning to SU over the near term. Equinor’s stability and buyback continuity remain supportive, but Suncor’s stronger trailing performance and upcoming earnings catalyst provide a slight edge in the current environment. This assessment reflects probabilistic weighting of available data rather than a definitive ranking.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EQNR is a StrongBuy and SU is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EQNR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSU’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- EQNR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EQNR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SU’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EQNR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SU’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
EQNR (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -5.30% price change this week, while SU (@Integrated Oil) price change was -10.67% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -5.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.91%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.81%.
Reported Earning Dates
EQNR is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
SU is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-5.39% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| EQNR | SU | EQNR / SU | |
| Capitalization | 92.6B | 70B | 132% |
| EBITDA | 46.2B | 16.2B | 285% |
| Gain YTD | 68.611 | 35.482 | 193% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.55 | 11.24 | 94% |
| Revenue | 114B | 54.5B | 209% |
| Total Cash | 23.7B | 3.27B | 725% |
| Total Debt | 32.4B | 14.8B | 219% |
EQNR | SU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 60 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 36 Fair valued | 28 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 18 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 60 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 26 | 58 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 47 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SU's Valuation (28) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (36). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Profit vs Risk Rating (18) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (20). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's SMR Rating (45) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (60). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (48). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's P/E Growth Rating (26) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (58). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
| EQNR | SU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 69% | 10 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 72% |
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EQNR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EQNR has been closely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EQNR jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EQNR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EQNR | 100% | -1.37% | ||
| BP - EQNR | 75% Closely correlated | -1.42% | ||
| XOM - EQNR | 71% Closely correlated | -1.16% | ||
| SU - EQNR | 71% Closely correlated | -2.04% | ||
| SHEL - EQNR | 70% Closely correlated | -1.23% | ||
| CVE - EQNR | 70% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
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