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IAG vs KGC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) vs. Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KGC holds a significantly larger market capitalization of about $39 billion versus IAG's roughly $10 billion, reflecting greater operational scale.
- Both stocks have surged over 120% in the past year amid elevated gold prices around $4,700 per ounce, though recent weeks brought sector-wide pullbacks.
- KGC outperforms year-to-date with gains near 14%, compared to IAG's approximately 3%.
- IAG exhibits higher volatility with a beta of 2.28, while KGC's beta of 1.40 indicates relative stability.
- Production volumes favor KGC at around 2 million gold equivalent ounces annually versus IAG's 766,000 ounces in 2025.
- Upcoming quarterly earnings for both could influence sentiment, with strong prior-year financials supporting resilience.
Introduction
Gold mining stocks IAG and KGC represent intermediate producers navigating a favorable gold market environment with prices hovering near record highs. This comparison highlights their relative performance, operational profiles, and market positioning, aiding traders seeking sector exposure and investors evaluating gold-related opportunities. As peers in the precious metals space, they offer insights into production efficiency, geographic risks, and momentum amid broader commodity trends.
IAG Overview and Recent Performance
IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) is a Canadian mid-tier gold producer with key assets including the Côté Gold project in Ontario, Canada, and operations in Burkina Faso. The company focuses on exploration, development, and production in North America and West Africa. In recent market activity, IAG shares have pulled back modestly, trading around $17 amid a sector rotation away from gold miners despite sustained high gold prices. This follows robust 2025 results, with revenue of $2.85 billion and 766,000 ounces produced, alongside record mine-site free cash flow of $1.2 billion. Analyst targets have trended upward to $23-$27, buoyed by Q1 2026 earnings anticipation, though elevated beta reflects sensitivity to commodity swings and geopolitical factors in West Africa.
KGC Overview and Recent Performance
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC), also Canada-based, operates a diversified portfolio of mines across the United States, Brazil, Mauritania, Chile, and Ghana, producing approximately 2 million gold equivalent ounces annually. Recent stock behavior mirrors the sector's short-term dip, with shares near $33 after peaking above $39, yet maintaining stronger year-to-date gains. Influencing sentiment are solid 2025 financials, including $7.05 billion in trailing twelve-month revenue and expectations for earnings growth ahead of the April 29, 2026, report. Lower net debt and substantial free cash flow of $2.38 billion underscore operational strength, while a more balanced geographic footprint mitigates some jurisdictional risks compared to pure-play African exposure.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both IAG and KGC operate similar business models as gold producers and developers, capitalizing on high metal prices for revenue growth. However, KGC edges in scale with triple the market cap and production volume, enabling diversified growth drivers across multiple continents versus IAG's concentration in Canada and West Africa. Recent momentum favors KGC with better year-to-date returns and lower volatility, though both face sector headwinds from profit-taking. Risk factors include geopolitical exposure for IAG (higher beta) and currency fluctuations for KGC. Market sentiment remains positive on gold catalysts, positioning larger peers like KGC for steadier relative performance.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would currently favor KGC over IAG, citing its superior scale, production consistency, lower beta for stability, and stronger year-to-date momentum in a high-gold-price backdrop. While both exhibit robust long-term trends, KGC's diversified assets and financial metrics suggest higher probability of outperformance amid ongoing sector volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IAG is a StrongBuy and KGC is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IAG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileKGC’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- IAG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KGC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IAG’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KGC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IAG’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KGC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
IAG (@Precious Metals) experienced а +7.98% price change this week, while KGC (@Precious Metals) price change was -2.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +1.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
IAG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
KGC is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+1.32% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| IAG | KGC | IAG / KGC | |
| Capitalization | 9.61B | 30.6B | 31% |
| EBITDA | 1.96B | 5.15B | 38% |
| Gain YTD | 0.970 | -8.924 | -11% |
| P/E Ratio | 9.74 | 10.89 | 89% |
| Revenue | 3.41B | 7.96B | 43% |
| Total Cash | 551M | 2.19B | 25% |
| Total Debt | 651M | 738M | 88% |
IAG | KGC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 61 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 57 Fair valued | 28 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 40 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 37 | 27 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 83 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 11 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KGC's Valuation (28) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as IAG (57). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to IAG’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Profit vs Risk Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (40). This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's SMR Rating (27) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as IAG (37). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to IAG’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (60). This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for KGC (83). This means that IAG’s stock grew significantly faster than KGC’s over the last 12 months.
| IAG | KGC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 77% | 5 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 61% |
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KGC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KGC has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KGC jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.