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MXL vs SYNA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) vs. Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MXL has delivered explosive year-to-date gains exceeding 200%, driven by a strong Q1 earnings beat and upbeat guidance, contrasting with SYNA's more modest 24% advance.
- Both companies operate in the semiconductor sector but focus on distinct niches: MXL on connectivity infrastructure and SYNA on human interface and edge AI solutions.
- MXL boasts a larger market capitalization around $4.75 billion versus SYNA's $3.58 billion, reflecting stronger recent investor interest.
- Recent revenue growth favors MXL at 43% year-over-year in Q1, while SYNA shows steady but less dramatic expansion amid product innovations.
- Both stocks exhibit high volatility with betas above 1.7, but MXL has shown superior momentum in recent market activity.
- Analyst upgrades for MXL highlight AI-related tailwinds, positioning it ahead in short-term sentiment.
Introduction
MXL and SYNA are semiconductor peers navigating the AI and connectivity boom, making them compelling for traders eyeing tech sector rotation and growth plays. MaxLinear, Inc. specializes in analog and mixed-signal chips for infrastructure, while Synaptics Incorporated leads in touch, display, and edge AI interfaces. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business drivers, and relative positioning in a market favoring AI catalysts. Investors and day traders tracking semiconductor relative performance will find insights into momentum shifts, risk profiles, and potential trade-offs amid evolving sector dynamics.
MXL Overview and Recent Performance
MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) designs and sells analog and mixed-signal semiconductors for connectivity, infrastructure, and industrial applications, including 5G, Ethernet, and data center solutions. In recent weeks, the stock has experienced significant upward momentum, surging over 75% following Q1 2026 earnings that reported $137.2 million in revenue, a 43% year-over-year increase, and an EPS beat of $0.22 versus expectations of $0.18. This performance, coupled with upbeat guidance on AI infrastructure demand, has driven year-to-date gains above 200% and propelled shares to multi-year highs near $63. Sentiment has shifted positively with analyst upgrades, though trailing profitability remains challenged at a -26% profit margin (net income to revenue ratio). Volatility persists with a beta of 1.70, influenced by broader chip sector trends and supply chain factors.
SYNA Overview and Recent Performance
Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA) develops human-machine interface solutions, including touch controllers, displays, and edge AI processors for mobile, PC, and IoT devices. Recent market activity shows steady appreciation, with shares up around 10% in recent sessions amid anticipation for Q3 fiscal 2026 results on May 7. Year-to-date performance stands at 24%, supported by Q2 earnings that beat estimates with $1.21 EPS and innovations like the SYN765x Wi-Fi 7 platform and Google-backed Coral Dev Board for multimodal edge AI. The stock trades near its 52-week high of $97, with a market beta of 1.71 reflecting sector sensitivity. While gross margins have improved, trailing twelve-month profitability lags at -5.4% profit margin, tempered by R&D investments in AI-native technologies.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MXL and SYNA share semiconductor exposure but diverge in business models: MXL emphasizes high-speed connectivity for data centers and telecom (e.g., 5G small cells), while SYNA targets user interfaces and distributed edge AI for consumer electronics. Growth drivers favor MXL's infrastructure ramp-up amid AI data center buildouts, versus SYNA's reliance on PC/IoT recovery and product cycles. Recent momentum tilts to MXL with 423% one-year returns versus 62% for SYNA, though SYNA offers relatively higher free cash flow stability ($170M TTM). Risk factors include cyclical demand and competition; both face high debt-to-equity (33% for MXL, 64% for SYNA). Market sentiment leans toward MXL on AI hype, but SYNA provides diversification in edge computing.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor MXL over SYNA due to superior trend consistency, explosive revenue growth, and positioning in high-demand AI infrastructure. While SYNA exhibits stability and edge AI catalysts, MXL's recent momentum and analyst upgrades suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance in volatile tech markets.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MXL is a Hold and SYNA is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MXL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileSYNA’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MXL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SYNA’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MXL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SYNA’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MXL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SYNA’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MXL (@Semiconductors) experienced а +6.43% price change this week, while SYNA (@Semiconductors) price change was -10.72% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -10.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was +83.45%.
Reported Earning Dates
MXL is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
SYNA is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-10.61% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MXL | SYNA | MXL / SYNA | |
| Capitalization | 8.46B | 4.86B | 174% |
| EBITDA | -57.01M | 111M | -51% |
| Gain YTD | 441.997 | 69.941 | 632% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 14.25 | - |
| Revenue | 509M | 1.17B | 43% |
| Total Cash | 61.1M | 404M | 15% |
| Total Debt | 151M | 837M | 18% |
MXL | SYNA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 35 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 93 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 86 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 33 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SYNA's Valuation (35) in the Computer Peripherals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MXL (68) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that SYNA’s stock grew somewhat faster than MXL’s over the last 12 months.
MXL's Profit vs Risk Rating (55) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SYNA (100) in the Computer Peripherals industry. This means that MXL’s stock grew somewhat faster than SYNA’s over the last 12 months.
SYNA's SMR Rating (93) in the Computer Peripherals industry is in the same range as MXL (98) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that SYNA’s stock grew similarly to MXL’s over the last 12 months.
MXL's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SYNA (37) in the Computer Peripherals industry. This means that MXL’s stock grew similarly to SYNA’s over the last 12 months.
MXL's P/E Growth Rating (54) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as SYNA (86) in the Computer Peripherals industry. This means that MXL’s stock grew similarly to SYNA’s over the last 12 months.
| MXL | SYNA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 79% | 5 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 69% |
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MXL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MXL has been loosely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MXL jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MXL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MXL | 100% | +11.15% | ||
| MCHP - MXL | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.77% | ||
| AMKR - MXL | 58% Loosely correlated | +3.46% | ||
| KLAC - MXL | 57% Loosely correlated | +7.62% | ||
| SYNA - MXL | 57% Loosely correlated | -3.32% | ||
| CEVA - MXL | 57% Loosely correlated | -2.76% | ||
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SYNA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SYNA has been closely correlated with COHU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SYNA jumps, then COHU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SYNA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYNA | 100% | -3.32% | ||
| COHU - SYNA | 81% Closely correlated | +5.81% | ||
| KLIC - SYNA | 76% Closely correlated | +6.72% | ||
| ENTG - SYNA | 71% Closely correlated | +2.81% | ||
| PLAB - SYNA | 71% Closely correlated | +3.79% | ||
| VECO - SYNA | 70% Closely correlated | +6.14% | ||
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