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SKYW vs UAL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) vs. United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) operates as a regional airline partner, with recent analyst actions including a downgrade from Goldman Sachs citing slower partner capacity growth and an upcoming Q2 2026 earnings call scheduled for July 23.
- United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) serves as a major full-service carrier with broader international exposure; shares have posted a 14.6% gain over the past month amid upcoming Q2 2026 results expected on July 15.
- Both companies face sector-wide pressures from rising fuel costs linked to Middle East developments, though UAL has demonstrated stronger near-term price momentum compared with SKYW.
- SKYW maintains a smaller market capitalization and focuses on contract flying for larger partners, introducing different revenue stability factors than UAL’s diversified route network.
- Market sentiment reflects contrasting positioning, with SKYW showing mixed analyst revisions and UAL benefiting from recent outperformance relative to broader transportation indices.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between regional stability and major-carrier scale in the current airline industry environment.
Introduction
Airline stocks SKYW and UAL offer investors exposure to different segments of the U.S. aviation industry. SkyWest, Inc. provides regional jet services primarily under contract to larger carriers, while United Airlines Holdings, Inc. operates a global network of domestic and international routes. This comparison appeals to traders and investors seeking to evaluate relative performance, business model differences, and sector dynamics within the airline space during periods of fuel price volatility and earnings anticipation.
SKYW Overview and Recent Performance
SkyWest, Inc. functions as a holding company for SkyWest Airlines and related leasing operations, delivering scheduled regional passenger services across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near $99.72 with a market capitalization of approximately $3.96 billion. Key developments include a July 9 leadership announcement naming Wade Steel as President and Chief Operating Officer of SkyWest Airlines, alongside mixed analyst activity such as a Goldman Sachs downgrade to Neutral in early July due to anticipated slower block-hour production from partner airlines. An earnings conference call for the second quarter of 2026 is set for July 23 after market close. Broader market activity has shown the shares maintaining positions above longer-term moving averages despite year-to-date fluctuations.
UAL Overview and Recent Performance
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. operates as a major U.S. airline with extensive domestic and international routes spanning North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions. Recent market activity has seen the stock advance to approximately $126.00, reflecting a 14.6% increase over the past month and a market capitalization near $40.9 billion. The company is scheduled to release second-quarter 2026 financial results on July 15, with analysts projecting revenue growth alongside an expected year-over-year decline in earnings per share. Sector influences include elevated fuel costs reported across U.S. carriers amid Middle East developments. The shares have outperformed the broader transportation sector in recent trading sessions while preparing for the upcoming earnings release.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ markedly in scale and business model. SkyWest, Inc. generates revenue primarily through fixed-fee contracts with major airlines for regional flying, offering relative stability tied to partner utilization rates. United Airlines Holdings, Inc. relies on passenger ticket sales across a wide network, exposing it to demand fluctuations, fuel price swings, and international economic factors. Recent momentum favors UAL, which posted stronger monthly gains, while SKYW encountered a notable analyst downgrade. Risk factors include fuel cost pressures affecting both, though UAL’s larger balance sheet and route diversity contrast with SKYW’s more concentrated partner relationships. Market sentiment reflects these contrasts, with UAL showing near-term outperformance relative to transportation benchmarks and SKYW navigating revisions ahead of its earnings call.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including recent price momentum, trend consistency, and positioning ahead of earnings, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to UAL over SKYW. The major carrier’s demonstrated monthly outperformance and revenue growth expectations provide a modest edge in relative stability signals, though both remain subject to sector volatility and upcoming results.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SKYW is a StrongBuy and UAL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SKYW’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileUAL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- SKYW’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- UAL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SKYW’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UAL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SKYW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- UAL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
SKYW (@Airlines) experienced а -0.98% price change this week, while UAL (@Airlines) price change was -8.56% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was -9.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.91%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
SKYW is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
UAL is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (-9.01% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
| SKYW | UAL | SKYW / UAL | |
| Capitalization | 3.88B | 39.3B | 10% |
| EBITDA | 654M | 5.83B | 11% |
| Gain YTD | -2.619 | 8.353 | -31% |
| P/E Ratio | 9.37 | 10.84 | 87% |
| Revenue | 4.12B | 60.5B | 7% |
| Total Cash | 627M | 14.2B | 4% |
| Total Debt | 2.48B | 31B | 8% |
SKYW | UAL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 88 | 80 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 57 Fair valued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 41 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 37 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 8 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 79 | 25 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SKYW's Valuation (57) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as UAL (82). This means that SKYW’s stock grew similarly to UAL’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's Profit vs Risk Rating (41) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as SKYW (44). This means that UAL’s stock grew similarly to SKYW’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's SMR Rating (37) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as SKYW (53). This means that UAL’s stock grew similarly to SKYW’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's Price Growth Rating (8) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SKYW (48). This means that UAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than SKYW’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's P/E Growth Rating (25) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SKYW (79). This means that UAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than SKYW’s over the last 12 months.
| SKYW | UAL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 83% | 18 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 81% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| VWOB | 66.80 | N/A | N/A |
| Vanguard Emerging Mkts Govt Bd ETF | |||
| TERG | 41.25 | N/A | N/A |
| Leverage Shares 2X Long TER Daily ETF | |||
| MGF | 2.85 | -0.01 | -0.35% |
| Aberdeen Government Markets Income Fund | |||
| GJUN | 41.26 | -0.19 | -0.46% |
| FT Vest U.S. Eq Mod Buffr ETF - Jun | |||
| GDXY | 9.81 | -0.23 | -2.29% |
| YieldMax Gold Miners Opt Inc Strgy ETF | |||
SKYW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SKYW has been closely correlated with UAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SKYW jumps, then UAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SKYW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKYW | 100% | -1.95% | ||
| UAL - SKYW | 73% Closely correlated | -3.84% | ||
| ALGT - SKYW | 71% Closely correlated | -3.72% | ||
| AAL - SKYW | 70% Closely correlated | -3.78% | ||
| JBLU - SKYW | 61% Loosely correlated | -2.78% | ||
| ULCC - SKYW | 57% Loosely correlated | -5.33% | ||
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