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SKYW vs UAL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) vs. United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW), a regional airline operator, shows higher profitability margins compared to United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL), a major carrier, with recent analyses highlighting SKYW's operational momentum.
- UAL has outperformed SKYW year-to-date, with +11.55% returns versus +3.81%, amid positive momentum from potential fuel price relief and expansion plans.
- Both stocks trade at similar forward valuations, with SKYW P/E of 9.33 and UAL at 9.70, but SKYW carries higher beta (1.64) indicating greater volatility.
- Recent market activity shows SKYW sliding against rising markets while UAL benefits from merger speculation and earnings anticipation.
- Analyst targets suggest upside potential: ~28% for SKYW (to $123.83) and ~31% for UAL (to $130.17).
Introduction
SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) and United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) operate within the competitive airline sector, where regional partnerships contrast with major network carriers. This stock comparison is relevant for investors tracking aviation trends, including fuel cost fluctuations, travel demand recovery, and capacity adjustments in recent market conditions. Traders focused on relative performance, sector exposure, and momentum shifts may find insights into valuation, growth drivers, and risk profiles, aiding decisions in a volatile environment marked by economic uncertainties and operational challenges.
SKYW Overview and Recent Performance
SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) is a leading regional airline providing flight services under capacity purchase agreements (CPA) with major carriers like United, Delta, and Alaska Airlines. In recent weeks, SKYW shares have faced downward pressure, sliding even as broader markets rose, influenced by analyst revisions and anticipation of Q1 2026 results. The stock, trading around $96.58 with a market cap of $3.9 billion, has posted modest YTD gains of 3.81% but declined 8.3% over six months amid higher operating costs and capacity dynamics. Sentiment reflects operational strengths, with recent Q3 2025 earnings highlighting profitability, though near-term EPS estimates have softened slightly. Key drivers include fleet modernization and stable CPA revenues, tempering volatility from fuel prices and demand shifts.
UAL Overview and Recent Performance
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is one of the world's largest airlines by available seat miles, offering extensive domestic and international routes. Recent market activity has buoyed UAL, with shares around $98.91 and a $32 billion market cap, driven by optimism around easing jet fuel pressures from geopolitical developments and strong Q1 earnings expectations ($14.45 billion revenue, $1.09 adjusted EPS). YTD performance stands at +11.55%, supported by capacity cuts amid rising costs and rejected merger talks with American Airlines that sparked short-term volatility. Sentiment benefits from robust premium demand and expansion initiatives, though high debt levels and fuel sensitivity remain factors. Upcoming results are poised to clarify growth trajectory.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
SKYW and UAL both navigate airline sector headwinds like fuel volatility and capacity constraints, but differ markedly in scale and model. SKYW’s regional focus yields higher margins (LTM 15.8% vs. UAL’s lower averages) through cost-effective CPAs, contrasting UAL’s network advantages in premium international routes and scale efficiencies. Recent momentum favors UAL with superior YTD gains, while SKYW offers stability via contracted revenues but higher beta risk. Growth drivers for SKYW include fleet upgrades; UAL leverages expansion amid travel rebound. Market sentiment tilts toward UAL on catalysts like earnings, though SKYW’s undervaluation appeals to value seekers. Trade-offs center on SKYW’s niche resilience versus UAL’s broader exposure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward SKYW based on superior profitability trends, operational momentum, and attractive valuation relative to peers in recent analyses. While UAL shows stronger short-term momentum and scale-driven catalysts, SKYW’s consistent margins and lower market cap positioning suggest higher probability of outperformance amid sector stabilization. This probabilistic edge favors monitoring SKYW for trend consistency.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SKYW is a Buy and UAL is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SKYW’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileUAL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- SKYW’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- UAL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SKYW’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UAL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SKYW’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
- UAL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
SKYW (@Airlines) experienced а +1.27% price change this week, while UAL (@Airlines) price change was -1.08% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was +2.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.99%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.01%.
Reported Earning Dates
SKYW is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
UAL is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (+2.47% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
| SKYW | UAL | SKYW / UAL | |
| Capitalization | 3.72B | 39.5B | 9% |
| EBITDA | 654M | 5.83B | 11% |
| Gain YTD | -7.255 | 6.135 | -118% |
| P/E Ratio | 8.93 | 10.62 | 84% |
| Revenue | 4.12B | 60.5B | 7% |
| Total Cash | 627M | 14.2B | 4% |
| Total Debt | 2.48B | 31B | 8% |
SKYW | UAL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 57 Fair valued | 85 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 49 | 43 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 37 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 10 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SKYW's Valuation (57) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as UAL (85). This means that SKYW’s stock grew similarly to UAL’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's Profit vs Risk Rating (43) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as SKYW (49). This means that UAL’s stock grew similarly to SKYW’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's SMR Rating (37) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as SKYW (53). This means that UAL’s stock grew similarly to SKYW’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's Price Growth Rating (10) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SKYW (49). This means that UAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than SKYW’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's P/E Growth Rating (19) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SKYW (71). This means that UAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than SKYW’s over the last 12 months.
| SKYW | UAL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 69% | 7 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 78% |
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SKYW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SKYW has been closely correlated with DAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SKYW jumps, then DAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SKYW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKYW | 100% | +0.53% | ||
| DAL - SKYW | 75% Closely correlated | +2.07% | ||
| UAL - SKYW | 73% Closely correlated | +0.30% | ||
| ALGT - SKYW | 71% Closely correlated | +1.37% | ||
| AAL - SKYW | 70% Closely correlated | +0.56% | ||
| SNCY - SKYW | 66% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
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UAL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UAL has been closely correlated with DAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UAL jumps, then DAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UAL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAL | 100% | +0.30% | ||
| DAL - UAL | 89% Closely correlated | +2.07% | ||
| AAL - UAL | 82% Closely correlated | +0.56% | ||
| SKYW - UAL | 77% Closely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| ALK - UAL | 76% Closely correlated | -0.93% | ||
| ALGT - UAL | 71% Closely correlated | +1.37% | ||
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