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TEO vs TMUS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Telecom Argentina S.A. (TEO) vs. T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- TEO trades at around $11.50 with a market cap of $5B, showing modest YTD gains of 1%, while TMUS is at $196 with a $219B cap and 3% YTD return amid recent pullbacks.
- Both telecom firms reported strong Q4 2025 revenue growth—TEO up 53% in constant pesos from TMA acquisition, TMUS up 11% with postpaid customer adds—but face profitability pressures.
- TMUS exhibits superior scale, positive EPS of $9.73 (P/E 20), and analyst targets averaging $269, contrasting TEO's negative EPS and recent downgrade.
- Recent market activity reveals TMUS down 9% monthly amid insider sales and competition, while TEO holds steadier but with higher volatility tied to Argentine economics.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight TMUS stability in U.S. 5G leadership versus TEO's emerging market risks.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines TEO and TMUS, two telecom providers navigating global wireless demand and infrastructure upgrades. Telecom Argentina S.A. dominates fixed and mobile services in South America, while T-Mobile US, Inc. leads U.S. 5G rollout. Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing long-term sector exposure will find value in contrasting their recent revenue surges, customer growth, and market positioning. Amid competitive pressures and economic shifts, this analysis highlights relative performance, risks, and AI-driven insights for informed decision-making in the evolving telecom landscape.
TEO Overview and Recent Performance
Telecom Argentina S.A. (TEO) is a leading provider of mobile, fixed-line telephony, internet, and cable TV services primarily in Argentina, with operations extending to Paraguay, Uruguay, and beyond. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $11.50, reflecting a modest YTD gain of about 1% but lagging its local benchmark. Key influences include Q4 2025 earnings showing consolidated revenues exceeding $5.7 billion, a 53% year-over-year rise in constant Argentine pesos driven by the Telefonica Moviles Argentina (TMA) acquisition. EBITDA margin improved to over 30%, though a net loss emerged from financial factors and severance costs. Sentiment has been mixed, with a Scotiabank downgrade to Sector Underperform amid macroeconomic challenges in Argentina, yet analysts' average price target stands at $13. Broader performance over one year shows 23% gains, underscoring resilience despite currency volatility and regulatory hurdles.
TMUS Overview and Recent Performance
T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) delivers wireless voice, data, and broadband services across the U.S., Puerto Rico, and U.S. Virgin Islands under brands like T-Mobile and Metro by T-Mobile. The stock, near $196, has posted a 3% YTD return but faced recent weakness, declining about 9% over the past month amid insider sales and competitive dynamics. Q4 2025 results beat expectations with $24.3 billion in revenue, up 11% year-over-year, fueled by 962,000 postpaid phone net adds and low 1.02% churn. Core profit rose, though GAAP EPS dipped due to workforce costs. Positive catalysts include AI-RAN partnerships with Nvidia and satellite collaborations, supporting 5G leadership. Analysts maintain bullish outlooks with targets averaging $269, despite high debt concerns. One-year returns stand at 22%, reflecting steady subscriber momentum in a saturated market.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
TEO and TMUS operate in telecom but diverge sharply in scale and geography: TEO's regional focus exposes it to Argentine inflation and FX risks, while TMUS leverages U.S. stability and 5G primacy. Growth drivers contrast—TEO via TMA integration boosting revenues 53%, TMUS through postpaid adds and broadband (495,000 Q4 nets). Recent momentum favors neither decisively: TMUS down monthly on competition and debt, TEO steadier but downgraded. Risk profiles highlight trade-offs—TEO's negative EPS (-$0.28) and volatility versus TMUS's profitability (P/E 20) tempered by insider selling. Sector sentiment tilts to U.S. giants amid AI infrastructure builds, positioning TMUS for lower-beta exposure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TMUS based on trend consistency in subscriber metrics, 5G catalysts like AI-RAN integrations, and relative stability versus TEO's macroeconomic headwinds. Oversold oscillators suggest a potential TMUS bounce, with stronger profit-vs-risk ratings and fair valuation. While TEO shows revenue momentum, its downward trends and negative earnings lower probabilistic appeal. This positioning indicates higher odds of outperformance for TMUS in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TEO is a Hold and TMUS is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
TEO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTMUS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- TEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TMUS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
TEO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TMUS’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- TEO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TMUS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
TEO (@Major Telecommunications) experienced а +15.26% price change this week, while TMUS (@Major Telecommunications) price change was +6.18% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Major Telecommunications industry was +2.56%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.43%.
Reported Earning Dates
TEO is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
TMUS is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Major Telecommunications (+2.56% weekly)Major telecommunications include companies that make communication possible across the globe – by providing voice and data transmission via multiple channels such as phone or the Internet, through airwaves or cables, through wires or wirelessly. The ease with which we connect with anyone, anywhere in the world is thanks in large part to the infrastructure created by the telecom industry. Some major telecom players include AT&T Inc., Verizon Communications Inc. and Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation.
| TEO | TMUS | TEO / TMUS | |
| Capitalization | 7.15B | 205B | 3% |
| EBITDA | 3.17T | 31.8B | 9,975% |
| Gain YTD | 31.438 | -5.910 | -532% |
| P/E Ratio | 27.03 | 20.10 | 134% |
| Revenue | 8.88T | 90.5B | 9,812% |
| Total Cash | 1.07T | 3.52B | 30,398% |
| Total Debt | 5.89T | 121B | 4,868% |
TEO | TMUS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 11 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 52 Fair valued | 38 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 64 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 55 | 49 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 98 | 61 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TMUS's Valuation (38) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry is in the same range as TEO (52) in the Major Telecommunications industry. This means that TMUS’s stock grew similarly to TEO’s over the last 12 months.
TEO's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Major Telecommunications industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TMUS (64) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry. This means that TEO’s stock grew somewhat faster than TMUS’s over the last 12 months.
TMUS's SMR Rating (49) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry is in the same range as TEO (55) in the Major Telecommunications industry. This means that TMUS’s stock grew similarly to TEO’s over the last 12 months.
TEO's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Major Telecommunications industry is in the same range as TMUS (62) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry. This means that TEO’s stock grew similarly to TMUS’s over the last 12 months.
TMUS's P/E Growth Rating (61) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TEO (98) in the Major Telecommunications industry. This means that TMUS’s stock grew somewhat faster than TEO’s over the last 12 months.
| TEO | TMUS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 50% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 74% | 10 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 66% |
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TEO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that TEO and LUMN have been poorly correlated (+32% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that TEO and LUMN's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TEO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEO | 100% | -4.51% | ||
| LUMN - TEO | 32% Poorly correlated | N/A | ||
| S - TEO | 25% Poorly correlated | +0.61% | ||
| TIMB - TEO | 24% Poorly correlated | +0.54% | ||
| IDCC - TEO | 24% Poorly correlated | +2.56% | ||
| VEON - TEO | 22% Poorly correlated | +3.82% | ||
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TMUS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TMUS has been loosely correlated with T. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TMUS jumps, then T could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TMUS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMUS | 100% | +1.77% | ||
| T - TMUS | 61% Loosely correlated | +2.52% | ||
| VZ - TMUS | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.49% | ||
| TEO - TMUS | 39% Loosely correlated | -4.51% | ||
| CMCSA - TMUS | 33% Loosely correlated | +2.21% | ||
| S - TMUS | 27% Poorly correlated | +0.61% | ||
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