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AAP vs GPC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Advance Auto Parts (AAP) vs. Genuine Parts Company (GPC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Advance Auto Parts (AAP) and Genuine Parts Company (GPC) are both major players in the automotive aftermarket parts sector, with AAP focusing more on North American retail and professional installer channels while GPC maintains a broader global distribution network for automotive and industrial parts.
- Recent market activity shows AAP delivering stronger comparable sales growth in its latest reported quarter, contributing to notable stock appreciation year-to-date, whereas GPC has exhibited steadier momentum with a 14% rise over the past month ahead of its upcoming earnings release.
- Valuation metrics indicate differences in forward price-to-earnings ratios, with GPC often trading at a premium reflective of its scale and diversification compared to AAP's more compressed multiple following operational improvements.
- Sector exposure for both remains tied to consumer spending on vehicle maintenance, though GPC's industrial segment provides an additional buffer against cyclical swings in automotive demand.
- Market sentiment has favored AAP's recent earnings outperformance and margin expansion, while GPC benefits from consistent analyst expectations around revenue growth in the low single digits.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs in stability versus growth catalysts, with both stocks navigating similar macroeconomic pressures on discretionary auto repairs.
Introduction
Advance Auto Parts (AAP) and Genuine Parts Company (GPC) represent two established names in the automotive aftermarket industry, making them natural subjects for comparison among investors and traders seeking exposure to vehicle maintenance and parts distribution. This analysis examines their business models, recent price behavior, and positioning within the current market environment to assist those evaluating relative value, momentum, and risk profiles. The comparison is particularly relevant for portfolio managers and active traders focused on consumer cyclicals, dividend considerations, and sector rotation strategies amid evolving economic conditions.
AAP Overview and Recent Performance
Advance Auto Parts (AAP) operates as a leading provider of automotive replacement parts and accessories in North America, serving both do-it-yourself consumers and professional installers through its extensive store network. In recent weeks, the stock has reflected positive sentiment following first-quarter 2026 results that featured 3.5% comparable sales growth—the strongest in five years—and significant margin expansion. These developments, coupled with reaffirmed full-year guidance, supported notable appreciation in the shares during the broader reporting period. Market activity has centered on the company's operational improvements and earnings beat, which contrasted with prior challenges in the sector.
GPC Overview and Recent Performance
Genuine Parts Company (GPC) distributes automotive and industrial replacement parts globally through its network of subsidiaries, offering a diversified revenue base that includes both aftermarket automotive components and industrial products. Recent market activity has featured steady share price gains, including a 14% increase over the past month, as investors position ahead of the company's second-quarter earnings release. Analyst expectations point to modest revenue growth around 3.6% year-over-year alongside stable earnings per share estimates, contributing to a measured sentiment supported by the firm's scale and consistent dividend history.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Advance Auto Parts (AAP) and Genuine Parts Company (GPC) share exposure to the automotive aftermarket but differ in geographic reach and product diversification, with GPC maintaining a larger industrial parts segment that can moderate automotive cyclicality. Business model contrasts include AAP’s heavier emphasis on North American retail operations versus GPC’s established global supply chain. Recent momentum has tilted toward AAP following its earnings outperformance and margin gains, while GPC has demonstrated more consistent month-to-month stability. Risk factors for both involve sensitivity to consumer spending patterns and supply chain dynamics, though GPC’s broader base may offer relative resilience. Market sentiment currently reflects optimism around AAP’s turnaround progress alongside cautious anticipation for GPC’s upcoming results. Valuation and growth driver trade-offs position the stocks as alternatives within the same sector rather than direct substitutes.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings consistency, margin trends, and relative price momentum, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probability of favorable positioning to Advance Auto Parts (AAP) over Genuine Parts Company (GPC) in the near term. This assessment draws from AAP’s demonstrated operational improvements and stronger comparable sales performance in the latest period, which have supported more pronounced share appreciation. GPC maintains competitive attributes in scale and diversification that could support steadier outcomes depending on earnings delivery. The verdict remains probabilistic and subject to evolving market data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AAP is a Buy and GPC is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AAP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileGPC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AAP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- GPC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AAP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GPC’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AAP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- GPC’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AAP (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а -0.47% price change this week, while GPC (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was +0.13% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was -1.79%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.58%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.28%.
Reported Earning Dates
AAP is expected to report earnings on Aug 25, 2026.
GPC is expected to report earnings on Oct 15, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (-1.79% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
| AAP | GPC | AAP / GPC | |
| Capitalization | 3.35B | 17.1B | 20% |
| EBITDA | 509M | 742M | 69% |
| Gain YTD | 43.445 | 3.184 | 1,364% |
| P/E Ratio | 49.59 | 497.48 | 10% |
| Revenue | 8.63B | 25.1B | 34% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 559M | - |
| Total Debt | 5.23B | 6.65B | 79% |
AAP | GPC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | 89 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 88 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 1 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AAP's Valuation (18) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for GPC (89) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that AAP’s stock grew significantly faster than GPC’s over the last 12 months.
GPC's Profit vs Risk Rating (88) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as AAP (100) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that GPC’s stock grew similarly to AAP’s over the last 12 months.
AAP's SMR Rating (90) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as GPC (91) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that AAP’s stock grew similarly to GPC’s over the last 12 months.
GPC's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as AAP (58) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that GPC’s stock grew similarly to AAP’s over the last 12 months.
GPC's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AAP (56) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that GPC’s stock grew somewhat faster than AAP’s over the last 12 months.
| AAP | GPC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 53% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 65% | 5 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 42% |
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AAP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AAP has been loosely correlated with GPC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AAP jumps, then GPC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AAP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAP | 100% | -1.16% | ||
| GPC - AAP | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.37% | ||
| ORLY - AAP | 50% Loosely correlated | +2.28% | ||
| LKQ - AAP | 48% Loosely correlated | -0.66% | ||
| AZO - AAP | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.32% | ||
| CPRT - AAP | 46% Loosely correlated | -1.51% | ||
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GPC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GPC has been loosely correlated with CPRT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GPC jumps, then CPRT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GPC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPC | 100% | -0.37% | ||
| CPRT - GPC | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.51% | ||
| LKQ - GPC | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.66% | ||
| AAP - GPC | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.16% | ||
| MNRO - GPC | 46% Loosely correlated | -8.89% | ||
| LOW - GPC | 42% Loosely correlated | -1.08% | ||
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