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ADC vs EPRT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) vs. Essential Properties Realty Trust (EPRT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ADC and EPRT are net-lease REITs (real estate investment trusts) benefiting from stable occupancy and long-term leases, but they serve different tenant profiles and growth models.
- ADC skews toward investment-grade, retail-focused tenants with a fortress balance sheet, while EPRT targets middle-market, service-oriented tenants and has shown stronger recent earnings momentum.
- Both companies raised their 2026 AFFO (adjusted funds from operations) guidance in recent weeks, though EPRT guided to a faster growth rate at roughly 8% at the midpoint.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: EPRT is currently favored based on stronger relative momentum, higher guided growth, and broader analyst support.
- Explore more details on each name: ADC Major News, ADC Today's Price Move, EPRT Major News, and EPRT Today's Price Move.
- For AI-driven market analysis, explore Trending AI Robots to see which trading bots are currently best positioned for market conditions.
Introduction
Net-lease REITs have become a focal point for income-oriented investors seeking steady cash flow and manageable risk, yet not all names in the space are created equal. ADC and EPRT both own single-tenant properties leased on long-term contracts, but their portfolios, growth engines, and market positioning differ meaningfully. Traders evaluating relative performance and long-term investors weighing dividend durability may find this comparison useful as both companies recently reported quarterly results against a backdrop of rising interest rates and shifting cost-of-capital dynamics. This article examines how the two stocks stack up across business model, momentum, and risk.
ADC Overview and Recent Performance
Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) is a Michigan-based REIT that owns and develops retail properties net leased primarily to investment-grade, national tenants such as Walmart, 7-Eleven, and Dollar General. Its portfolio remains exceptionally healthy, with occupancy near 99.8% and roughly 65% of base rent derived from investment-grade tenants. In recent weeks, the company reported third-quarter results that beat estimates, with AFFO of $1.15 per share and revenue up about 17% year over year, while nudging its full-year AFFO guidance higher to $4.58 to $4.59. Management, however, trimmed investment-volume guidance to roughly $1.6 billion and emphasized discipline over volume as higher interest rates compressed acquisition spreads. Despite a fortress balance sheet with investment-grade credit ratings and about $2 billion in liquidity, ADC shares have traded well below their 52-week high, reflecting investor caution around slowing per-share growth.
EPRT Overview and Recent Performance
Essential Properties Realty Trust (EPRT) is a New Jersey-based REIT focused on sale-leaseback transactions and single-tenant properties leased to middle-market, service-oriented and experience-based businesses such as car washes, restaurants, and auto services. Its portfolio spans roughly 2,580 properties across more than 700 tenant concepts, with occupancy around 99.6% and a weighted average lease term (WALT) exceeding 14 years. Recent market activity has favored the stock, which rose sharply after the company reported third-quarter AFFO of $0.51 per share and raised its 2026 AFFO guidance to $2.02 to $2.05, implying nearly 8% growth at the midpoint. The company also increased its investment-volume guidance and completed a $450 million exchangeable notes offering. Sentiment has been supported by a largely bullish analyst consensus, though shares remain below their 52-week high.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of the platform's most capable automated trading systems. Tickeron maintains hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, and performance statistics. Because not every bot is suited to every market environment, only those demonstrating the strongest alignment with current conditions earn a place in this curated section. The featured robots span varied approaches, from short-term momentum strategies to longer-horizon swing models, giving traders a spectrum of options to evaluate. For investors tracking names like ADC and EPRT, reviewing the Trending AI Robots can provide additional, data-driven context on current market positioning.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two REITs lies in tenant mix and growth profile. ADC prioritizes credit quality, with a portfolio dominated by investment-grade retail names and a disciplined, balance-sheet-led approach. Its trade-off is more modest, mid-single-digit AFFO growth and a deliberate slowdown in acquisition volume as capital costs rise. EPRT, by contrast, accepts exposure to non-investment-grade, middle-market operators in exchange for higher cap rates and faster guided growth, supported by strong rent coverage of about 3.5 times. On risk factors, both face sensitivity to interest rates and refinancing costs, but ADC carries stronger credit ratings and minimal near-term maturities, while EPRT manages higher tenant-credit variability with granular, fungible assets. Recent momentum, analyst sentiment, and guided growth currently tilt in favor of EPRT.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, guided earnings growth, and relative market positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently favor EPRT over ADC. The Essential Properties name combines stronger recent price momentum, a higher projected AFFO growth rate near 8%, and broader analyst endorsement, all while maintaining healthy occupancy and rent coverage. ADC remains the more defensive, credit-focused option, but its slower per-share growth and weaker momentum score weigh on its relative appeal in the current environment. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, and market conditions can shift as interest-rate and capital-cost dynamics evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADC is a Buy and EPRT is a StrongBuy.
ADC's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for ADC moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 21 of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADC as a result. In 41 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADC just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
ADC moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ADC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +2.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADC advanced for three days, in 152 of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 38%.
ADC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ADC entered a downward trend on October 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ADC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 61, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 92 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.370) is normal, around the industry mean (2.797). P/E Ratio (37.565) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.193). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (10.790) is also within normal values, averaging (12.808). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (339.763) among similar stocks. ADC's P/S Ratio (10.277) is slightly higher than the industry average of (6.739).
EPRT's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EPRT turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where EPRT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EPRT as a result. In 51 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
EPRT moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for EPRT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
Following a +3.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EPRT advanced for three days, in 181 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 119 of 243 cases where EPRT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 49%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for EPRT moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 16 of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 53%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EPRT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
EPRT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. EPRT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EPRT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 61, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.372) is normal, around the industry mean (2.797). P/E Ratio (21.515) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.193). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.250) is also within normal values, averaging (12.808). Dividend Yield (0.046) settles around the average of (339.763) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.050) is also within normal values, averaging (6.739).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
ADC | EPRT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 67 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 86 | 80 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 60 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EPRT's Valuation (71) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as ADC (92) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. This means that EPRT’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
ADC's Profit vs Risk Rating (57) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as EPRT (67) in the Real Estate Development industry. This means that ADC’s stock grew similarly to EPRT’s over the last 12 months.
EPRT's SMR Rating (80) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as ADC (86) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. This means that EPRT’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
EPRT's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as ADC (53) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. This means that EPRT’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
EPRT's P/E Growth Rating (60) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as ADC (62) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. This means that EPRT’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
| ADC | EPRT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 50% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 47% | 7 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 30% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 21% | 1 day ago 49% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADC’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while EPRT’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ADC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- EPRT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADC’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EPRT’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- EPRT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ADC (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) experienced а -0.23% price change this week, while EPRT (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) price change was -0.53% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Investment Trusts industry was +1.93%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.05%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.77%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADC is expected to report earnings on Feb 16, 2027.
EPRT is expected to report earnings on Feb 17, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Investment Trusts (+1.93% weekly)A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.
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ADC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADC has been closely correlated with NNN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADC jumps, then NNN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC | 100% | -0.11% | ||
| NNN - ADC | 79% Closely correlated | -0.86% | ||
| O - ADC | 79% Closely correlated | +0.05% | ||
| EPRT - ADC | 79% Closely correlated | -0.36% | ||
| FCPT - ADC | 75% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| NTST - ADC | 72% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
More | ||||
EPRT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EPRT has been closely correlated with ADC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EPRT jumps, then ADC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EPRT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPRT | 100% | -0.36% | ||
| ADC - EPRT | 79% Closely correlated | -0.11% | ||
| FCPT - EPRT | 77% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| NNN - EPRT | 74% Closely correlated | -0.86% | ||
| NTST - EPRT | 74% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
| O - EPRT | 73% Closely correlated | +0.05% | ||
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
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| VOT | 293.17 | 5.97 | +2.08% |
| Vanguard Morningstar Mid-Cap Growth ETF (VOT) | |||
| FBCV | 44.45 | -0.07 | -0.16% |
| Fidelity Blue Chip Value ETF (FBCV) | |||
| LEMB | 42.07 | -0.11 | -0.26% |
| iShares J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF (LEMB) | |||
| AIVI | 58.42 | -0.26 | -0.44% |
| WisdomTree International AI Enhanced Value Fund (AIVI) | |||
| JOBX | 6.51 | -0.04 | -0.63% |
| Tradr 2X Long JOBY Daily ETF (JOBX) | |||