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ADC vs EPRT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) vs. Essential Properties Realty Trust (EPRT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ADC and EPRT are retail REITs (real estate investment trusts) specializing in net-lease properties, but ADC focuses on omni-channel retailers while EPRT targets service-oriented tenants like car washes and restaurants.
- EPRT has delivered stronger year-to-date performance at 13.42% compared to ADC's 11.61%.
- ADC offers a higher dividend yield of 4.03% versus EPRT's 3.72%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- EPRT trades at a lower P/E (price-to-earnings) ratio of 26.02 compared to ADC's 44.95, suggesting relatively better valuation.
- ADC shows lower volatility with a beta of 0.53 versus EPRT's 1.02.
- Recent analyst actions include Truist raising ADC's price target to $82, while EPRT recently increased its dividend.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ADC and EPRT, two prominent net-lease retail REITs navigating the current commercial real estate landscape. Investors seeking stable income through dividends or growth via acquisitions may find value in evaluating their relative performance, valuations, and market positioning. In recent market activity, both have benefited from sector resilience amid interest rate dynamics, but differences in tenant focus, growth trajectories, and momentum offer trade-offs for portfolio diversification. Traders monitoring REIT relative performance will appreciate insights into recent sentiment shifts and catalysts ahead of upcoming earnings.
ADC Overview and Recent Performance
Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) is a self-administered REIT owning approximately 2,674 retail properties net-leased to leading omni-channel tenants across all 50 states, totaling 55.5 million square feet. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near the upper end of its 52-week range (69.56-82.08), reflecting year-to-date gains of 11.61% and a market cap of $9.58 billion. Sentiment has been supported by analyst upgrades, such as Truist's price target increase to $82, and steady acquisition activity amid retail sector shifts. The stock's low beta of 0.53 underscores its defensive positioning, bolstered by a 4.03% dividend yield, though higher P/E of 44.95 signals premium valuation tied to portfolio quality and AFFO (adjusted funds from operations) consistency.
EPRT Overview and Recent Performance
Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (EPRT) acquires and manages single-tenant properties net-leased long-term to middle-market service businesses, including restaurants, car washes, and medical services. Recent market activity has driven the stock toward its 52-week high (28.95-34.73), with year-to-date returns of 13.42% and a $7.02 billion market cap. Positive momentum stems from a quarterly dividend hike to $0.31 per share and strong acquisition pipeline, enhancing growth prospects. Trading at a P/E of 26.02 with a 3.72% yield and beta of 1.02, EPRT balances income and upside potential, though higher leverage introduces moderate risk amid economic sensitivity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both ADC and EPRT operate net-lease models minimizing operational risk, but ADC's emphasis on national retailers provides broader geographic diversification versus EPRT's niche service tenants offering higher growth via acquisitions. Growth drivers favor EPRT with projected 7% AFFO growth in 2026/2027 against ADC's 5%. Recent momentum tilts to EPRT's superior YTD returns, while ADC counters with higher yield and stability. Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity for both, amplified by EPRT's higher beta and debt/equity. Sector exposure remains retail-focused, but market sentiment leans toward EPRT's value amid lower multiples.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI tools would likely favor EPRT in the current environment due to its stronger recent momentum, attractive valuation, and higher projected AFFO growth, positioning it for outperformance probability amid REIT rotation toward growth. ADC remains a solid choice for stability seekers, but relative trends tilt toward EPRT.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADC is a StrongBuy and EPRT is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADC’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileEPRT’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ADC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- EPRT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADC’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EPRT’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- EPRT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
ADC (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) experienced а +3.30% price change this week, while EPRT (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) price change was +2.02% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Investment Trusts industry was +1.92%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.79%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADC is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
EPRT is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Investment Trusts (+1.92% weekly)A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.
| ADC | EPRT | ADC / EPRT | |
| Capitalization | 9.11B | 6.68B | 136% |
| EBITDA | 650M | 534M | 122% |
| Gain YTD | 7.137 | 5.173 | 138% |
| P/E Ratio | 40.99 | 24.31 | 169% |
| Revenue | 750M | 591M | 127% |
| Total Cash | 25.1M | 15.2M | 165% |
| Total Debt | 3.76B | 2.63B | 143% |
ADC | EPRT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 57 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 48 | 47 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 89 | 83 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 67 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EPRT's Valuation (57) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as ADC (83) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. This means that EPRT’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
EPRT's Profit vs Risk Rating (47) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as ADC (48) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. This means that EPRT’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
EPRT's SMR Rating (83) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as ADC (89) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. This means that EPRT’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
ADC's Price Growth Rating (53) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as EPRT (57) in the Real Estate Development industry. This means that ADC’s stock grew similarly to EPRT’s over the last 12 months.
ADC's P/E Growth Rating (55) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as EPRT (67) in the Real Estate Development industry. This means that ADC’s stock grew similarly to EPRT’s over the last 12 months.
| ADC | EPRT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 32% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 38% | 4 days ago 53% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 39% | 4 days ago 45% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 45% | 6 days ago 56% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 34% | 12 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 38% | 4 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 44% | 4 days ago 38% |
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EPRT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EPRT has been closely correlated with EPR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EPRT jumps, then EPR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EPRT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPRT | 100% | +1.75% | ||
| EPR - EPRT | 72% Closely correlated | +1.17% | ||
| ADC - EPRT | 68% Closely correlated | +1.40% | ||
| EGP - EPRT | 67% Closely correlated | +1.30% | ||
| CUBE - EPRT | 67% Closely correlated | +0.41% | ||
| NNN - EPRT | 67% Closely correlated | +1.04% | ||
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