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ADC vs NNN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) vs. NNN REIT, Inc. (NNN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ADC and NNN are retail-focused real estate investment trusts (REITs), but they occupy distinct niches within the sector.
- ADC emphasizes faster external growth and a monthly dividend, while NNN is anchored by a 36-year record of consecutive annual distribution increases.
- NNN currently offers a higher dividend yield, whereas ADC trades at a richer valuation reflecting its stronger growth profile.
- Both stocks have pulled back in recent weeks amid broader interest-rate sensitivity, compressing net-lease REIT valuations.
- Relative performance and market positioning hinge on growth versus income priorities and each company's balance-sheet flexibility.
Introduction
Investors comparing ADC and NNN are weighing two respected names in the net-lease retail REIT space, a sector prized for predictable cash flows and durable dividends. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for income-oriented investors and those monitoring interest-rate-sensitive equities, because both companies depend on cost of capital to fund acquisitions. While the two businesses share a broad category, their growth strategies, payout policies, and valuation profiles differ meaningfully. Understanding these contrasts helps traders and investors assess relative performance and decide which market positioning better fits their objectives in the current environment.
ADC Overview and Recent Performance
ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) is a retail REIT that acquires and develops net-leased properties leased primarily to investment-grade, industry-leading tenants. The company has positioned itself as a growth-oriented operator, maintaining an active acquisition pipeline and a development program. In recent market activity, the stock has experienced notable volatility, with its share price down roughly 17% over the past 90 days despite a longer-term record of solid total shareholder returns. Sentiment has been shaped by a combination of elevated funding costs, which pressure acquisition spreads, and the broader pullback across the REIT sector. The company recently raised its monthly dividend, and management has reported record quarterly capital deployment while increasing full-year investment guidance, signaling continued confidence in external growth despite a softer share price.
NNN Overview and Recent Performance
NNN (NNN REIT, Inc.) is a single-tenant net-lease retail REIT with a diversified portfolio of freestanding properties leased to tenants across convenience stores, automotive service, and restaurants, among other retail lines. The company is distinguished by its lengthy track record of returning capital to shareholders, having increased its annual dividend for 36 consecutive years. In recent weeks, its share price has also drifted lower alongside the broader net-lease group, reflecting sensitivity to interest-rate expectations and sector-wide valuation compression. Despite near-term price softness, the company maintains historically high occupancy and a stable tenant base. Its relatively conservative growth approach and disciplined acquisition strategy continue to anchor investor sentiment around reliability and income consistency rather than rapid expansion.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest trade-off between these two stocks is growth versus income. ADC pursues a more aggressive acquisition and development agenda, which supports faster growth in adjusted funds from operations (AFFO, a key cash-flow metric for REITs) but carries a higher earnings multiple and a comparatively lower dividend yield. NNN emphasizes a steadier, income-first model, offering a higher current yield backed by an exceptionally long dividend-growth streak, though with a more moderate growth trajectory and lower valuation. On risk factors, both are exposed to interest rates and tenant credit quality, but their sector exposures differ in tenant mix. Market sentiment has favored stability in recent weeks, yet momentum remains mixed for both, leaving relative performance closely tied to how investors balance capital appreciation potential against dependable income.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, dividend stability, and relative market positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward NNN in the current environment. Its longer record of consecutive distribution increases, higher dividend yield, and lower relative valuation suggest greater downside resilience during a period of interest-rate-driven compression. ADC offers a stronger growth catalyst through its acquisition pipeline, which could support outperformance if financing conditions improve. Accordingly, the AI's preference reflects a probabilistic judgment favoring income stability now, while acknowledging that growth-oriented positioning could shift the balance if market sentiment and cost of capital conditions change.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADC is a StrongBuy and NNN is a Buy.
ADC's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADC turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 24 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ADC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 9 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 32%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 26 of 57 cases where ADC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADC as a result. In 44 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
Following a +2.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADC advanced for three days, in 152 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
ADC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for ADC moved below the 200-day moving average on September 25, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 37%.
The Aroon Indicator for ADC entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ADC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.264) is normal, around the industry mean (2.646). P/E Ratio (34.672) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.201). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (10.790) is also within normal values, averaging (12.808). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (305.774) among similar stocks. ADC's P/S Ratio (10.277) is slightly higher than the industry average of (6.739).
Momentum Indicator for NNN turns positive, indicating new upward trend
NNN saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 93 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 55 of the 93 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 59%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NNN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 13 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NNN just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where NNN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
Following a +1.81% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NNN advanced for three days, in 140 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 50-day moving average for NNN moved below the 200-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NNN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
NNN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for NNN entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NNN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.752) is normal, around the industry mean (2.646). P/E Ratio (20.059) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.201). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (19.520) is also within normal values, averaging (12.808). Dividend Yield (0.061) settles around the average of (305.774) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.271) is also within normal values, averaging (6.739).
ADC | NNN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 52 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 86 | 75 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 72 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 67 | 40 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NNN's Valuation (82) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as ADC (88). This means that NNN’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
NNN's Profit vs Risk Rating (52) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as ADC (61). This means that NNN’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
NNN's SMR Rating (75) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as ADC (86). This means that NNN’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
NNN's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as ADC (72). This means that NNN’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
NNN's P/E Growth Rating (40) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as ADC (67). This means that NNN’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
| ADC | NNN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 32% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 39% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 45% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 44% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 46% | 7 days ago 46% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 37% | 22 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 34% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 37% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADC’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while NNN’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ADC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NNN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADC’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NNN’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NNN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ADC (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) experienced а +0.77% price change this week, while NNN (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) price change was +2.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Investment Trusts industry was +2.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.83%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.05%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADC is expected to report earnings on Feb 16, 2027.
NNN is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Investment Trusts (+2.87% weekly)A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.
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