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ADM vs BG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) vs. Bunge Global (BG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Bunge Global (BG) has outperformed Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) year-to-date with a 40.69% gain compared to ADM's 31.34%.
- BG recently reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $1.83, beating estimates and raising full-year guidance to $9.00–$9.50.
- ADM approaches its Q1 earnings on May 5 with expected EPS of $0.66 and revenue of $21.11 billion, amid analyst views of potential undervaluation.
- Both stocks offer attractive forward P/E (price-to-earnings) ratios around 15, with ADM at 16.34 and BG at 14.53, alongside dividend yields near 2.5%.
- ADM boasts a larger market cap of $36.11 billion and lower debt-to-equity ratio (42.38%) versus BG's $24.18 billion and 93.21%.
Introduction
Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) and Bunge Global (BG) are prominent players in the agribusiness sector, focusing on oilseeds processing, grain merchandising, and nutrition solutions. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market performance, financial metrics, and sector dynamics amid volatile commodity prices and global supply chain shifts. Investors in consumer staples seeking defensive positions with growth potential, or traders eyeing relative momentum in agricultural equities, will find value in understanding their contrasts in scale, recent catalysts, and valuation. Both companies navigate similar headwinds like weather impacts and trade policies, making head-to-head insights essential for portfolio positioning.
ADM Overview and Recent Performance
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company engages in agricultural origination, processing, and nutrition globally, spanning ag services, oilseeds, carbohydrate solutions, and nutrition segments. Its stock trades around $74.94 with a market cap of $36.11 billion. In recent market activity, ADM has shown resilience, gaining 31.34% year-to-date amid broader staples sector gains. Sentiment has been buoyed by perceptions of undervaluation relative to peers and strong long-term momentum, with shares approaching the 52-week high of $75.78. Key influences include anticipation for Q1 earnings and analyst upgrades, such as Jefferies raising its price target. However, high trailing P/E (33.61) reflects profitability pressures from segment mix shifts, tempered by a forward P/E of 16.34 and robust dividend yield of 2.78%.
BG Overview and Recent Performance
Bunge Global SA operates in soybean, softseed, and grain processing, serving food, feed, and biofuel markets worldwide. Trading near $124.61 with a $24.18 billion market cap, BG has delivered superior year-to-date returns of 40.69%. Recent weeks have featured positive momentum from Q1 2026 results, with adjusted EPS of $1.83 surpassing estimates despite revenue of $21.86 billion slightly missing views; the company raised full-year EPS guidance to $9.00–$9.50, citing Viterra integration synergies. Analyst upgrades to Strong Buy and a new buyback program have enhanced sentiment, pushing shares toward the 52-week high of $131.93. Valuation shows trailing P/E at 32.79 but forward at 14.53, supported by a 2.25% dividend yield.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both ADM and BG thrive on commodity cycles in oilseeds and grains, but ADM's diversified nutrition arm provides broader exposure versus BG's focus on processing and merchandising. Growth drivers differ: BG benefits from Viterra merger synergies and buybacks, fueling recent momentum, while ADM leverages scale in carbohydrate solutions. Recent relative performance favors BG's YTD edge, though ADM exhibits lower beta (0.58 vs. 0.63) for stability. Risk factors include volatile input costs and trade tensions, with ADM's lower debt/equity (42% vs. 93%) offering a safety margin. Market sentiment tilts toward BG post-earnings, but ADM's size signals resilience.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models would likely favor BG in the current environment, given its superior YTD momentum, recent earnings beat, guidance upgrade, and analyst upgrades signaling stronger trend consistency and catalysts. While ADM offers greater stability and scale, BG's relative positioning suggests higher probability of near-term outperformance amid agribusiness recovery.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADM is a Hold and BG is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADM’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileBG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ADM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- BG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- BG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ADM (@Agricultural Commodities/Milling) experienced а -3.76% price change this week, while BG (@Agricultural Commodities/Milling) price change was -9.41% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Agricultural Commodities/Milling industry was -0.64%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADM is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
BG is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Agricultural Commodities/Milling (-0.64% weekly)The Agricultural Commodities/Milling industry includes companies that are involved in farming activities, such as crop production, livestock management and animal feed, for commercial purposes. The industry includes a wide range of operations from growing corn, to grain and oilseed processing to the operation of flour mills. Changes in consumer tastes is one of the critical factors influencing what products are grown and raised in this industry. Potential risks to the business include climate change and fluctuations in global prices of agricultural products. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Elanco Animal Health, Inc., Bunge Limited and Canopy Growth Corporation are some of the biggest U.S. companies operating in this industry.
| ADM | BG | ADM / BG | |
| Capitalization | 36.8B | 21.6B | 170% |
| EBITDA | 3.08B | 2.44B | 126% |
| Gain YTD | 34.583 | 26.554 | 130% |
| P/E Ratio | 34.06 | 29.32 | 116% |
| Revenue | 80.6B | 80.5B | 100% |
| Total Cash | 624M | 1.7B | 37% |
| Total Debt | 10.7B | 16.3B | 66% |
ADM | BG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 56 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 27 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 74 | 58 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 86 | 85 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 6 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ADM's Valuation (25) in the Agricultural Commodities Or Milling industry is in the same range as BG (27). This means that ADM’s stock grew similarly to BG’s over the last 12 months.
BG's Profit vs Risk Rating (58) in the Agricultural Commodities Or Milling industry is in the same range as ADM (74). This means that BG’s stock grew similarly to ADM’s over the last 12 months.
BG's SMR Rating (85) in the Agricultural Commodities Or Milling industry is in the same range as ADM (86). This means that BG’s stock grew similarly to ADM’s over the last 12 months.
ADM's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Agricultural Commodities Or Milling industry is in the same range as BG (51). This means that ADM’s stock grew similarly to BG’s over the last 12 months.
BG's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Agricultural Commodities Or Milling industry is in the same range as ADM (12). This means that BG’s stock grew similarly to ADM’s over the last 12 months.
| ADM | BG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 27 days ago 58% | 14 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | N/A |
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ADM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADM has been closely correlated with BG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADM jumps, then BG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADM | 100% | +1.58% | ||
| BG - ADM | 69% Closely correlated | -1.03% | ||
| DOLE - ADM | 24% Poorly correlated | -0.93% | ||
| TSN - ADM | 23% Poorly correlated | +0.09% | ||
| ALCO - ADM | 22% Poorly correlated | -0.72% | ||
| AGRO - ADM | 21% Poorly correlated | -0.97% | ||
More | ||||
BG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BG has been closely correlated with ADM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BG jumps, then ADM could also see price increases.