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AEM vs KGC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) vs. Kinross Gold (KGC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AEM has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 18%, edging out KGC's 15% amid recent gold price strength.
- KGC boasts superior one-year returns of around 125%, significantly outpacing AEM's 70%, driven by operational momentum.
- AEM exhibits lower volatility with a beta of 0.70 (a measure of stock price sensitivity to market movements), compared to KGC's 1.40.
- Both companies benefit from gold sector tailwinds, but AEM's larger market cap of $100 billion provides greater stability versus KGC's $39 billion.
- Upcoming quarterly earnings for both highlight production growth and cost management as key focuses in recent market activity.
- AEM's recent strategic acquisitions in Finland contrast with KGC's emphasis on earnings beats and portfolio optimization.
Introduction
This stock comparison pits two prominent gold mining companies, AEM and KGC, against each other in the context of a robust gold market. Investors and traders seeking exposure to precious metals amid economic uncertainty, inflation concerns, and geopolitical tensions may find value in evaluating their relative performance, risk profiles, and growth prospects. With gold prices supporting sector gains in recent weeks, understanding how these firms stack up on metrics like production efficiency, valuation, and momentum can inform portfolio decisions in volatile conditions.
AEM Overview and Recent Performance
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM), a leading gold producer with operations across Canada, Europe, Latin America, and Australia, has demonstrated resilience in recent market activity. The company's stock, trading around $200 with a market cap exceeding $100 billion, has risen about 18% YTD and 70% over the past year. Key influences include strategic acquisitions in Finland's Central Lapstone Greenstone Belt, bolstering its high-grade asset base, and anticipation of strong quarterly earnings driven by higher gold output and favorable prices. Sentiment remains positive, supported by a P/E ratio (price-to-earnings, a valuation measure) of 22.6 and low beta of 0.70, reflecting steady performance amid gold's rally and broader mining sector pressures.
KGC Overview and Recent Performance
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) operates mines in the Americas, West Africa, and Canada, focusing on cost-efficient production. Its shares, near $33 with a $39 billion market cap, have advanced roughly 15% YTD and an impressive 125% over the past year. Recent performance reflects consistent earnings beats, robust revenue growth to over $2 billion quarterly, and benefits from elevated gold prices, though shares pulled back somewhat post-earnings in recent weeks. Trading at a P/E of 16.8 with a beta of 1.40, KGC appeals to those tolerant of higher volatility, buoyed by operational improvements and upcoming results expected to show EPS growth.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both AEM and KGC are pure-play gold producers, but AEM's diversified, high-quality assets yield greater scale and stability, while KGC emphasizes growth through efficient operations in emerging regions. Recent momentum favors KGC's explosive one-year gains versus AEM's steadier climb, yet AEM leads YTD and over five years with returns around 240%. Risk factors differ: AEM's lower beta suits conservative investors, contrasting KGC's sensitivity to gold swings. Sector exposure is similar, tied to gold prices, but AEM benefits from premium reserves, while KGC leverages cost controls. Market sentiment tilts toward AEM for reliability amid trade-offs in valuation—AEM's higher P/E reflects quality, KGC's lower multiple suggests value.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward AEM with higher probability in the near term, citing its consistent trends, lower volatility, and strategic catalysts like Finland expansions amid gold's strength. KGC's momentum is compelling, but AEM's relative stability and positioning offer a more balanced edge for prevailing conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEM is a Hold and KGC is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileKGC’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- KGC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KGC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KGC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а -0.62% price change this week, while KGC (@Precious Metals) price change was -2.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +7.85%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.81%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
KGC is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+7.85% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AEM | KGC | AEM / KGC | |
| Capitalization | 81.4B | 30.6B | 266% |
| EBITDA | 9.74B | 5.15B | 189% |
| Gain YTD | -3.656 | -8.924 | 41% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.31 | 10.89 | 141% |
| Revenue | 13.5B | 7.96B | 170% |
| Total Cash | 3.12B | 2.19B | 143% |
| Total Debt | 319M | 738M | 43% |
AEM | KGC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 61 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 93 Overvalued | 28 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 49 | 40 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 27 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 90 | 83 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KGC's Valuation (28) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AEM (93) in the null industry. This means that KGC’s stock grew somewhat faster than AEM’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's Profit vs Risk Rating (40) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (49) in the null industry. This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's SMR Rating (27) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (43) in the null industry. This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (62) in the null industry. This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's P/E Growth Rating (83) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (90) in the null industry. This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
| AEM | KGC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 70% | 6 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 61% |
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