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AGI vs RGLD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) vs. Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AGI and RGLD benefit from elevated gold prices, which have risen significantly year-to-date despite a slight dip in recent weeks.
- AGI delivered stronger one-year returns of approximately 53% compared to RGLD's 31%, reflecting robust momentum in gold production.
- RGLD offers a higher dividend yield at 0.82% versus AGI's 0.29%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- AGI trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio (price-to-earnings, 15.71) than RGLD (34.47), indicating potential relative value.
- RGLD's lower beta of 0.55 (versus 1.35 for AGI) suggests reduced volatility relative to the market.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AGI and RGLD, two prominent players in the precious metals sector. AGI focuses on gold production, while RGLD specializes in royalties and streams. Investors interested in gold exposure amid fluctuating commodity prices may find value in contrasting their business models, performance, and risk profiles. Traders seeking relative performance insights in the current market environment, characterized by high gold prices and sector volatility, will benefit from this analysis of recent trends, valuations, and market positioning.
AGI Overview and Recent Performance
Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) is a gold producer with operations in Canada and Mexico, focusing on exploration and development of gold deposits. In recent market activity, the stock has navigated gold price fluctuations, posting year-to-date gains of about 0.9% and one-year returns near 53%, with a 52-week range of $23.75 to $55.41. Sentiment has been bolstered by strong first-quarter 2026 results, including positive production outlooks and analyst upgrades, such as price target increases to around C$80. Market cap stands at approximately $16.6 billion, with a beta of 1.35 reflecting higher volatility tied to operational execution and commodity swings.
RGLD Overview and Recent Performance
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) acquires and manages precious metal streams and royalties across multiple regions, providing exposure to gold and other metals without direct mining costs. Recent weeks have seen the stock respond to gold trends, with year-to-date performance around 4.1% and one-year gains of 31%, trading within a 52-week range of $150.75 to $306.25. Anticipation builds for first-quarter 2026 results due soon, alongside positive notes on asset integration and roadshows. With a market cap of about $19.6 billion and beta of 0.55, RGLD exhibits relative stability, supported by steady cash flows from its royalty model.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AGI’s mining operations involve direct production risks, higher capital expenditures, and sensitivity to costs, contrasting RGLD’s passive royalty and streaming model that generates predictable revenue with minimal operational exposure. Growth for AGI hinges on mine expansions and output, while RGLD benefits from partner mine advancements and new deals. Recent momentum favors AGI on longer-term returns but RGLD year-to-date; risk profiles differ markedly, with RGLD’s lower beta suiting conservative positioning. Both share gold sector exposure, yet royalties like RGLD face less pressure from rising costs. Sentiment remains constructive, with analysts highlighting upside in both amid supportive gold trends.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI would likely favor RGLD in the current environment due to its lower volatility, higher dividend yield, and royalty structure offering resilience amid cost pressures on miners and recent gold price stabilization. While AGI shows value via lower P/E and earnings momentum, RGLD’s trend consistency and relative stability position it probabilistically stronger for near-term positioning.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGI is a Hold and RGLD is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileRGLD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AGI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- RGLD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RGLD’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RGLD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AGI (@Precious Metals) experienced а +14.38% price change this week, while RGLD (@Precious Metals) price change was +8.61% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +4.44%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +12.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +55.84%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGI is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
RGLD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+4.44% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AGI | RGLD | AGI / RGLD | |
| Capitalization | 18.7B | 20.8B | 90% |
| EBITDA | 1.55B | 1.03B | 150% |
| Gain YTD | 15.360 | 10.809 | 142% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.72 | 29.67 | 60% |
| Revenue | 2.07B | 1.31B | 159% |
| Total Cash | 704M | 234M | 301% |
| Total Debt | 220M | 596M | 37% |
AGI | RGLD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 60 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 21 Undervalued | 19 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 37 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 44 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 55 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RGLD's Valuation (19) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (21). This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
AGI's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (34). This means that AGI’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
AGI's SMR Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (64). This means that AGI’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
AGI's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (53). This means that AGI’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's P/E Growth Rating (44) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AGI (95). This means that RGLD’s stock grew somewhat faster than AGI’s over the last 12 months.
| AGI | RGLD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 62% | 9 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 71% |
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AGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGI has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGI jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.
RGLD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RGLD has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RGLD jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RGLD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGLD | 100% | +0.09% | ||
| WPM - RGLD | 84% Closely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| AEM - RGLD | 83% Closely correlated | +0.11% | ||
| KGC - RGLD | 80% Closely correlated | -0.25% | ||
| OR - RGLD | 80% Closely correlated | -0.48% | ||
| GOLD - RGLD | 80% Closely correlated | -2.81% | ||
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