AGNC vs ARR
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) and ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) invest primarily in government-backed residential mortgage debt securities. They are REITs which distribute at least 90% of their profits to investors. Many REITs such as these were unable to collect projected revenues in 2020 due to the Covid-19 pandemic, but ARR has had a negative revenue and earnings since 2018, due to losses on derivatives related to interest rate changes, although this did not cause a dramatic dive in its unit prices. ARR is slightly more invested in non-guaranteed mortgage-backed securities than its counterpart, and is also much smaller. AGNC has a market cap of over $8B, while ARR is still just under $1B. The larger company’s margins and ROE also look healthier, but of course the dividend yield of the smaller company is higher by over 2% in order to compete.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGNC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileARR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AGNC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ARR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGNC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ARR’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGNC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ARR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AGNC (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) experienced а -0.42% price change this week, while ARR (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) price change was -0.83% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Investment Trusts industry was -0.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.66%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.48%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGNC is expected to report earnings on Jan 29, 2025.
ARR is expected to report earnings on Feb 12, 2025.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Investment Trusts (-0.87% weekly)A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.
| AGNC | ARR | AGNC / ARR | |
| Capitalization | 6.82B | 956M | 713% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 11.685 | 14.189 | 82% |
| P/E Ratio | 196.00 | 147.06 | 133% |
| Revenue | 251M | -62.56M | -401% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 133M | - |
| Total Debt | 80M | 12.1B | 1% |
AGNC | ARR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 6 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 92 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 61 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AGNC's Valuation (5) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as ARR (6). This means that AGNC’s stock grew similarly to ARR’s over the last 12 months.
AGNC's Profit vs Risk Rating (92) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as ARR (100). This means that AGNC’s stock grew similarly to ARR’s over the last 12 months.
ARR's SMR Rating (59) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AGNC (92). This means that ARR’s stock grew somewhat faster than AGNC’s over the last 12 months.
ARR's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as AGNC (53). This means that ARR’s stock grew similarly to AGNC’s over the last 12 months.
ARR's P/E Growth Rating (61) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AGNC (100). This means that ARR’s stock grew somewhat faster than AGNC’s over the last 12 months.
| AGNC | ARR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 40% | 7 days ago 41% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 10 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 61% | 6 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 38% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 58% |
AGNC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGNC has been closely correlated with NLY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGNC jumps, then NLY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AGNC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGNC | 100% | -0.83% | ||
| NLY - AGNC | 91% Closely correlated | -1.42% | ||
| ARR - AGNC | 82% Closely correlated | -0.73% | ||
| IVR - AGNC | 79% Closely correlated | -1.16% | ||
| DX - AGNC | 78% Closely correlated | -1.10% | ||
| ORC - AGNC | 78% Closely correlated | -1.11% | ||
More | ||||
ARR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARR has been closely correlated with NLY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARR jumps, then NLY could also see price increases.