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ALLE vs MSA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Allegion plc (ALLE) vs. MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ALLE and MSA provide safety and security solutions, but ALLE focuses on access control while MSA emphasizes worker protection gear.
- Recent weeks show MSA with stronger momentum, up about 5.7% over the past month versus ALLE's 2.3%.
- ALLE trades at a lower P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) of 19.6 compared to MSA's 24.0, suggesting relative value.
- YTD performance is similar at around 6-8%, but MSA leads over one year with 12% gains versus ALLE's 5-6%.
- Analyst targets imply upside for both, with MSA seeing recent raises to $235 by some firms.
- Upcoming Q1 earnings for both could shift sentiment, with ALLE on April 28 and MSA on May 4.
Introduction
Allegion plc (ALLE) and MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) operate in the safety and security industry, catering to residential, commercial, and industrial needs. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market performance, business drivers, and relative positioning amid shifting economic conditions. Traders seeking defensive industrials exposure or investors eyeing stability in volatile markets may find value in evaluating these peers, particularly as both await Q1 earnings amid broader sector resilience.
ALLE Overview and Recent Performance
Allegion plc (ALLE) designs and manufactures security products, including locks, doors, and electronic access solutions for commercial and residential markets. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $146, reflecting modest gains YTD of about 8% but lagging over longer periods. Sentiment was pressured by a Q4 2025 earnings miss tied to weak residential demand, yet 2026 guidance signals revenue growth of 5-7% and adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $8.70-$8.90. Recent developments include a shift toward electronics and AI-enabled security, plus the DCI acquisition to bolster access control. Upcoming Q1 results on April 28 could highlight progress in non-residential segments, supporting stable performance amid market fluctuations.
MSA Overview and Recent Performance
MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) develops safety products like gas detection, respirators, and head protection for industrial workers and infrastructure. The stock hovers near $170, with YTD returns around 6% and stronger one-year gains of 12%. Recent weeks have seen positive momentum, up roughly 5.7% monthly, bolstered by analyst upgrades such as Baird's target hike to $205 in March. Q4 2025 EPS beat estimates, and expectations build for Q1 on May 4 alongside a potential dividend increase. Focus on firefighter protection and core revenue growth has sustained sentiment, even as shares navigate broader industrials volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ALLE and MSA share industrials sector exposure but diverge in focus: ALLE's residential-commercial security contrasts MSA's B2B worker safety emphasis, offering ALLE cyclical sensitivity versus MSA's steadier end-markets. Growth drivers include ALLE's electronics pivot amid residential headwinds, while MSA benefits from infrastructure demand. Recent momentum favors MSA with higher one-month and one-year returns; risk profiles show similar betas under 1.0, but ALLE's lower P/E suggests valuation edge. Market sentiment tilts toward MSA via target upgrades, though both exhibit resilience versus broader indices.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would likely favor MSA in the current environment, given its superior recent momentum, analyst target upside to $235, and consistent EPS beats. ALLE offers value at a discounted P/E and promising guidance, but residential pressures weigh on trend consistency. Relative positioning points to higher probability of near-term outperformance for MSA among trend-following strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALLE is a StrongBuy and MSA is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALLE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMSA’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ALLE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MSA’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALLE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MSA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALLE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MSA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ALLE (@Miscellaneous Commercial Services) experienced а -2.07% price change this week, while MSA (@Miscellaneous Commercial Services) price change was +0.90% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry was -3.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.04%, and the average quarterly price growth was +107.51%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALLE is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
MSA is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Miscellaneous Commercial Services (-3.63% weekly)The sector produces general business services, and are not classified elsewhere. For example, FleetCor Technologies provides fuel cards and workforce payment products and services; Copart, Inc. provides online vehicle auction and remarketing services across various nations; Equifax Inc. collects and aggregates credit information on consumers and businesses worldwide, along with selling credit monitoring and fraud-prevention services. Many of the companies in this category have multi-billion market capitalizations.
| ALLE | MSA | ALLE / MSA | |
| Capitalization | 11.1B | 6.28B | 177% |
| EBITDA | 1B | 488M | 206% |
| Gain YTD | -17.116 | 2.965 | -577% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.89 | 22.13 | 81% |
| Revenue | 4.16B | 1.92B | 217% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 180M | - |
| Total Debt | 2.03B | 658M | 309% |
ALLE | MSA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 18 | 7 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 50 Fair valued | 91 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 96 | 89 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 29 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 55 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ALLE's Valuation (50) in the Building Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MSA (91) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that ALLE’s stock grew somewhat faster than MSA’s over the last 12 months.
MSA's Profit vs Risk Rating (89) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is in the same range as ALLE (96) in the Building Products industry. This means that MSA’s stock grew similarly to ALLE’s over the last 12 months.
ALLE's SMR Rating (29) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as MSA (42) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that ALLE’s stock grew similarly to MSA’s over the last 12 months.
ALLE's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as MSA (58) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that ALLE’s stock grew similarly to MSA’s over the last 12 months.
MSA's P/E Growth Rating (55) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is in the same range as ALLE (61) in the Building Products industry. This means that MSA’s stock grew similarly to ALLE’s over the last 12 months.
| ALLE | MSA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 52% | 8 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 57% | 16 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 56% |
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ALLE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALLE has been loosely correlated with EXPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ALLE jumps, then EXPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALLE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALLE | 100% | -1.98% | ||
| EXPO - ALLE | 61% Loosely correlated | -1.86% | ||
| EFX - ALLE | 46% Loosely correlated | -0.29% | ||
| ARLO - ALLE | 46% Loosely correlated | +1.23% | ||
| REZI - ALLE | 45% Loosely correlated | -2.44% | ||
| CTAS - ALLE | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.82% | ||
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MSA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MSA has been loosely correlated with GHC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MSA jumps, then GHC could also see price increases.