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ALLY vs OMF
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ally Financial (ALLY) vs. OneMain Holdings (OMF) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ALLY is the largest all-digital direct bank in the U.S., centered on auto lending, while OMF is a leading nonprime consumer lender focused on personal loans.
- ALLY has shown improving profitability and credit trends, with adjusted EPS up sharply and a newly authorized $2 billion buyback.
- OMF posted strong earnings growth in recent quarters, though rising provisions and higher delinquencies signal ongoing credit risk.
- The two firms are both partners and competitors, having launched an auto-finance collaboration while competing across adjacent consumer credit segments.
- Relative performance diverges on risk profile: ALLY skews toward secured auto and deposit funding, while OMF carries higher-yield, higher-risk unsecured exposure.
Introduction
Ally Financial (ALLY) and OneMain Holdings (OMF) both operate in U.S. consumer finance, yet they serve different ends of the credit spectrum. Ally is a digital-first bank that transformed from its auto-finance roots into a diversified financial services provider, while OneMain specializes in lending to nonprime borrowers who often lack access to traditional banking. This stock comparison is relevant for investors and traders weighing exposure to consumer credit cycles, interest-rate sensitivity, and differing growth and risk profiles. Examining their market positioning and relative performance helps clarify which business model may hold up better across shifting economic conditions.
ALLY Overview and Recent Performance
Ally Financial, formerly the captive finance arm of General Motors and rebranded in 2010, is now the largest all-digital direct bank in the United States. Its business spans auto financing, insurance, mortgage lending, corporate finance, and brokerage, though consumer auto lending remains its core, representing a majority of its loan book. In recent quarters, ALLY reported a meaningful improvement in profitability, with adjusted earnings per share rising sharply year over year and core ROTCE (return on tangible common equity, a key bank profitability measure) climbing by more than 300 basis points. Its NIM (net interest margin, the spread between interest earned and interest paid) expanded over the course of the year, supported by deposit repricing and a remix toward higher-yielding loans. Credit metrics improved, with retail auto net charge-offs (NCO, loans written off as uncollectible) trending below 2%. The company also strengthened its capital position and authorized a $2 billion share repurchase program, which several analysts interpreted as a sign of management confidence.
OMF Overview and Recent Performance
OneMain Holdings, which traces its roots to 1912 and was formerly known as Springleaf, is a leader in providing responsible access to credit for nonprime consumers. It offers personal loans, auto financing, and credit cards through more than 1,300 branch locations across 48 states and a growing digital platform. In recent quarters, OMF delivered solid earnings growth, with adjusted earnings per share rising substantially year over year and net interest income (NII, interest earned on loans minus interest paid on funding) increasing as receivables grew and yields improved. Management highlighted resilient origination volumes, an expanding credit card base, and steady progress in its auto-finance segment. At the same time, credit quality showed signs of pressure, with provisions for loan losses and net charge-offs trending higher and delinquency balances rising year over year. The company continued returning capital to shareholders through buybacks and a modestly higher dividend, while maintaining a cautious outlook that assumes a soft labor market and persistent inflation.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The sharpest contrast between these two names lies in their credit exposure and funding models. ALLY is a bank funded primarily by roughly $144 billion in retail deposits, and its portfolio is anchored in secured auto loans and dealer financing, which generally carry lower losses but thinner yields. OMF, by contrast, leans on unsecured personal loans to nonprime borrowers, commanding higher yields but absorbing greater credit risk and relying on wholesale and secured funding rather than deposits. This difference shows up in market positioning: Ally's improving margins and declining charge-offs point toward steadier, bank-like returns, whereas OneMain's results hinge more directly on the health of the subprime consumer. Notably, the two are also collaborators, having launched a partnership through which OneMain offers auto financing, underscoring how their models can be complementary even as they compete. From a sentiment standpoint, ALLY has drawn a wave of analyst upgrades and rising price targets, while OMF has received a mix of new Buy initiations and Hold ratings, reflecting greater caution around its credit cycle.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, profitability momentum, capital positioning, and relative stability, Tickeron's AI would likely favor ALLY in the current environment. Ally's combination of expanding net interest margin, improving credit performance, deposit-based funding, and a resurgent buyback program suggests a steadier, more durable earnings trajectory. OneMain's stronger near-term earnings growth is balanced by rising charge-offs and a more sensitive nonprime credit profile, which introduces greater variability. Because AI-driven signals emphasize stability and trend reliability alongside catalysts, the probabilistic tilt points toward Ally, though the relative positioning of both names could shift as macroeconomic and credit conditions evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALLY is a Hold and OMF is a StrongBuy.
ALLY's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ALLY turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where ALLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ALLY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ALLY as a result. In 53 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Following a +3.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALLY advanced for three days, in 205 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for ALLY moved below the 200-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
ALLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ALLY entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 21 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.879) is normal, around the industry mean (3.711). P/E Ratio (9.105) is within average values for comparable stocks, (5.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.268) is also within normal values, averaging (3.918). Dividend Yield (0.031) settles around the average of (0.175) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.311) is also within normal values, averaging (5.901).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ALLY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALLY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
OMF in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026
OMF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 30 of 35 cases where OMF's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where OMF's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for OMF just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where OMF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Following a +1.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OMF advanced for three days, in 214 of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on OMF as a result. In 60 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The 10-day moving average for OMF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OMF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator for OMF entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 20 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.895) is normal, around the industry mean (3.711). P/E Ratio (8.366) is within average values for comparable stocks, (5.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.050) is also within normal values, averaging (3.918). Dividend Yield (0.075) settles around the average of (0.175) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.391) is also within normal values, averaging (5.901).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OMF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
ALLY | OMF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 21 Undervalued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 51 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 6 | 7 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 63 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OMF's Valuation (20) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as ALLY (21). This means that OMF’s stock grew similarly to ALLY’s over the last 12 months.
OMF's Profit vs Risk Rating (51) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALLY (100). This means that OMF’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALLY’s over the last 12 months.
ALLY's SMR Rating (6) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as OMF (7). This means that ALLY’s stock grew similarly to OMF’s over the last 12 months.
OMF's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as ALLY (58). This means that OMF’s stock grew similarly to ALLY’s over the last 12 months.
OMF's P/E Growth Rating (63) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALLY (96). This means that OMF’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALLY’s over the last 12 months.
| ALLY | OMF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 70% | 14 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 86% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 53% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALLY’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while OMF’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ALLY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- OMF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALLY’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OMF’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALLY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- OMF’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ALLY (@Savings Banks) experienced а +3.66% price change this week, while OMF (@Savings Banks) price change was -0.41% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Savings Banks industry was -2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.84%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALLY is expected to report earnings on Jan 15, 2027.
OMF is expected to report earnings on Oct 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Savings Banks (-2.34% weekly)A savings bank primary function is to take deposits and paying interest on those deposits. Originating in Europe during the 18th century, these banks were generally introduced to incentivize people of all stripes to save money and park them with banks. By the 1990s, the internet ushered in online savings banks that allowed savers to deposit/transact with banks digitally, without requiring to visit a branch office. Savings banks have potentially encouraged lower-income population to save and have access to a financial institution to earn interest on their money. New York Community Bancorp, Inc, Webster Financial Corporation, Washington Federal, Inc. are examples of savings banks.
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ALLY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALLY has been closely correlated with SYF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALLY jumps, then SYF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALLY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALLY | 100% | -0.64% | ||
| SYF - ALLY | 73% Closely correlated | -1.93% | ||
| COF - ALLY | 72% Closely correlated | -1.03% | ||
| OMF - ALLY | 71% Closely correlated | -2.43% | ||
| AXP - ALLY | 70% Closely correlated | -3.68% | ||
| BFH - ALLY | 64% Loosely correlated | -2.50% | ||
More | ||||
OMF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OMF has been closely correlated with SYF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OMF jumps, then SYF could also see price increases.