AMBC
Price
$14.81
Change
-$0.06 (-0.40%)
Updated
May 3, 1:25 PM EST
3 days until earnings call
MBI
Price
$6.48
Change
-$0.01 (-0.15%)
Updated
May 3, 1:12 PM EST
6 days until earnings call
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Analysis and predictions AMBC vs MBI

Header iconAMBC vs MBI Comparison
Open Charts AMBC vs MBIBanner chart's image
Ambac Financial Group
Price$14.81
Change-$0.06 (-0.40%)
Volume$300
CapitalizationN/A
MBIA
Price$6.48
Change-$0.01 (-0.15%)
Volume$600
CapitalizationN/A
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AMBC vs MBI Comparison Chart

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AMBCDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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MBIDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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AMBC vs. MBI commentary
May 03, 2024

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMBC is a Hold and MBI is a Hold.

COMPARISON
Comparison
May 03, 2024
Stock price -- (AMBC: $14.89 vs. MBI: $6.49)
Brand notoriety: AMBC and MBI are both not notable
Both companies represent the Specialty Insurance industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: AMBC: 78% vs. MBI: 59%
Market capitalization -- AMBC: $700.08M vs. MBI: $343.04M
AMBC [@Specialty Insurance] is valued at $700.08M. MBI’s [@Specialty Insurance] market capitalization is $343.04M. The market cap for tickers in the [@Specialty Insurance] industry ranges from $14.46B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Specialty Insurance] industry is $3.01B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

AMBC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMBI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • AMBC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • MBI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, MBI is a better buy in the long-term than AMBC.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

AMBC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MBI’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • AMBC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • MBI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, AMBC is a better buy in the short-term than MBI.

Price Growth

AMBC (@Specialty Insurance) experienced а +3.55% price change this week, while MBI (@Specialty Insurance) price change was +2.53% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Insurance industry was -0.20%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.90%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.39%.

Reported Earning Dates

AMBC is expected to report earnings on Aug 08, 2024.

MBI is expected to report earnings on Aug 07, 2024.

Industries' Descriptions

@Specialty Insurance (-0.20% weekly)

Specialty insurance typically caters to niche-markets, and covers items that are special or unique and/or items that are not typically covered under other insurance policies. Restoration or purchase of a one-of-a-kind collector’s item, high-value home, recreational vehicles, sailboat or even jet skis, horses and farms, all-terrain vehicle, funerals, museums and fine art collections are some examples– one or more of which are covered by a specialty insurance provider. In some cases, a specialty insurance could also complement someone’s existing auto, home and umbrella policies. Markel Corp, for Fidelity National Financial, Inc., Assurant, Inc. and Athene Holding Ltd. are examples of specialty insurance providers.

SUMMARIES
A.I.dvisor published
a Summary for AMBC with price predictions.
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A.I.dvisor published
a Summary for MBI with price predictions.
OPEN
FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
AMBC($700M) has a higher market cap than MBI($343M). MBI YTD gains are higher at: 6.046 vs. AMBC (-9.648). AMBC has more cash in the bank: 2.24B vs. MBI (1.7B). MBI has less debt than AMBC: MBI (3.16B) vs AMBC (3.48B). AMBC has higher revenues than MBI: AMBC (266M) vs MBI (6M).
AMBCMBIAMBC / MBI
Capitalization700M343M204%
EBITDAN/AN/A-
Gain YTD-9.6486.046-160%
P/E Ratio86.06N/A-
Revenue266M6M4,433%
Total Cash2.24B1.7B132%
Total Debt3.48B3.16B110%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
AMBC vs MBI: Fundamental Ratings
AMBC
MBI
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
7377
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
92
Overvalued
98
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
10067
SMR RATING
1..100
94100
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
5637
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
11
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
50n/a

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

AMBC's Valuation (92) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as MBI (98). This means that AMBC’s stock grew similarly to MBI’s over the last 12 months.

MBI's Profit vs Risk Rating (67) in the Specialty Insurance industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMBC (100). This means that MBI’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMBC’s over the last 12 months.

AMBC's SMR Rating (94) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as MBI (100). This means that AMBC’s stock grew similarly to MBI’s over the last 12 months.

MBI's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as AMBC (56). This means that MBI’s stock grew similarly to AMBC’s over the last 12 months.

MBI's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as AMBC (1). This means that MBI’s stock grew similarly to AMBC’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
AMBCMBI
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
67%
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
62%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
62%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
68%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
73%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
75%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
68%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
74%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
75%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
68%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
68%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
78%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
78%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
63%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
68%
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AMBC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMBC has been loosely correlated with AGO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 39% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMBC jumps, then AGO could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AMBC
1D Price
Change %
AMBC100%
+0.47%
AGO - AMBC
39%
Loosely correlated
+0.51%
FNF - AMBC
39%
Loosely correlated
+1.74%
NMIH - AMBC
38%
Loosely correlated
+2.59%
ESNT - AMBC
37%
Loosely correlated
+1.29%
MTG - AMBC
37%
Loosely correlated
-0.19%
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