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AMD vs ASML
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) vs. ASML Holding (ASML) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AMD has delivered stronger recent momentum, with shares rising over 60% in the past month amid surging AI chip demand.
- ASML posted robust Q1 2026 results, including €8.8 billion in net sales and a 53% gross margin, while lifting full-year 2026 sales guidance to €36-40 billion.
- Both stocks benefit from artificial intelligence (AI) driven growth in the semiconductor sector, but AMD shows higher year-to-date (YTD) gains at around 51% compared to ASML's 30%.
- AMD trades at a higher price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 124 versus ASML's 46, reflecting a growth premium.
- ASML maintains a near-monopoly in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography equipment essential for advanced chip production.
- Analyst sentiment favors both, with upgrades for AMD following Intel's recent results signaling shifts in CPU demand.
Introduction
AMD and ASML are pivotal players in the semiconductor ecosystem fueling the AI revolution. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), a fabless chip designer, competes in high-performance computing with CPUs and GPUs tailored for data centers. ASML Holding, the dominant provider of photolithography systems, enables the production of cutting-edge chips. This stock comparison suits growth-oriented investors and traders tracking AI infrastructure trends, relative performance, and market positioning in a sector poised for expansion amid rising demand for advanced computing power.
AMD Overview and Recent Performance
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) specializes in semiconductors, including central processing units (CPUs), graphics processing units (GPUs), and AI accelerators, primarily serving data centers, PCs, and gaming markets. In recent market activity, AMD shares have exhibited robust upward momentum, gaining over 60% in the past month and around 51% year-to-date. This surge stems from expanding server market share—reaching 41% revenue share in Q4 2025 per Mercury Research—and heightened AI demand. Investor sentiment has brightened following Intel's weaker CPU performance, prompting upgrades like DA Davidson's Buy rating with a $375 price target, underscoring structural shifts toward AMD's offerings. Broader AI tailwinds and partnerships, such as with OpenAI, continue to bolster performance despite sector volatility.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding (ASML) commands the market for lithography equipment, particularly EUV systems critical for manufacturing chips at advanced nodes below 7nm. Recent weeks have seen mixed price action for ASML shares, up about 5% over the past month and 22-30% year-to-date, tempered by concerns over TSMC's delayed EUV adoption. Q1 2026 results shone brightly, with €8.8 billion in total net sales, €2.8 billion net income, and a 53% gross margin, surpassing expectations. The company raised its 2026 sales outlook to €36-40 billion, driven by AI-fueled demand for chip production tools. Sentiment remains positive on ASML's irreplaceable role, though export restrictions and trade tensions introduce caution.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AMD and ASML both thrive on AI growth but differ in business models: AMD as a fabless designer faces intense competition from Nvidia and Intel, while ASML's equipment monopoly offers moat-like stability. Growth drivers include data center expansion for AMD and EUV orders for ASML, with the latter's raised 2026 guidance signaling steadier visibility. Recent momentum favors AMD's explosive gains versus ASML's consolidation. Risk factors contrast too—AMD contends with execution in AI chips, ASML with geopolitical export curbs. Sector exposure ties both to semiconductors, yet AMD's higher P/E reflects aggressive growth bets amid positive market sentiment for both in AI infrastructure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors AMD with higher conviction, based on superior trend consistency, recent momentum exceeding 60% monthly gains, and stronger relative YTD positioning in the AI chip race. ASML offers compelling stability via upgraded guidance, but AMD's catalysts like server share gains and analyst upgrades suggest greater near-term upside probability in volatile markets.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMD is a Hold and ASML is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMD’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileASML’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- AMD’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMD’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ASML’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMD’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ASML’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AMD (@Semiconductors) experienced а +10.10% price change this week, while ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +4.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +5.64%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +41.01%, and the average quarterly price growth was +83.05%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +0.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +22.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was +147.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMD is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+5.64% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Production Equipment (+0.38% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| AMD | ASML | AMD / ASML | |
| Capitalization | 733B | 600B | 122% |
| EBITDA | 8.09B | 11.9B | 68% |
| Gain YTD | 109.983 | 49.147 | 224% |
| P/E Ratio | 149.90 | 52.21 | 287% |
| Revenue | 37.5B | 33.7B | 111% |
| Total Cash | 12.3B | 8.38B | 147% |
| Total Debt | 3.87B | 2.71B | 143% |
AMD | ASML | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 85 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 77 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASML's Valuation (79) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as AMD (84) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to AMD’s over the last 12 months.
AMD's Profit vs Risk Rating (14) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (24) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that AMD’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMD (77) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMD’s over the last 12 months.
AMD's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASML (39) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that AMD’s stock grew somewhat faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
AMD's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (14) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that AMD’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
| AMD | ASML | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 74% |
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