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APH vs TEL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amphenol Corporation (APH) vs. TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Amphenol Corporation (APH) has shown stronger recent revenue growth driven by AI and datacenter demand, with Q2 2026 sales reaching a record $8.8 billion.
- TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL) delivered solid Q3 fiscal 2026 results with $5.16 billion in sales, up 14% year over year, supported by transportation and industrial segments, plus a pending acquisition.
- APH stock has experienced post-split consolidation in recent weeks, trading near $77-78, while TEL has maintained relative stability around $205 amid modest analyst target increases.
- Both companies operate in the interconnect solutions space but differ in end-market exposure, with APH more heavily weighted toward high-growth communications and TEL toward diversified industrial applications.
- Market sentiment remains constructive for both, though APH benefits from elevated AI-related order momentum and TEL from consistent cash generation and acquisition activity.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between APH's higher growth profile and TEL's steadier valuation and dividend characteristics.
Introduction
Amphenol Corporation (APH) and TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL) represent two leading players in the global market for electrical connectors, sensors, and interconnect systems. Investors and traders focused on the technology hardware sector often compare these stocks due to their overlapping yet distinct exposures to end markets such as data communications, automotive, industrial, aerospace, and defense. This analysis examines recent performance, business drivers, and positioning to assist those evaluating relative opportunities in the current environment.
APH Overview and Recent Performance
Amphenol Corporation (APH) designs and manufactures a broad range of interconnect products serving communications, industrial, automotive, and defense applications. In recent weeks, the stock has consolidated following a 2-for-1 split in early September 2026, with shares trading in the $77-79 range amid broader market activity. The company's Q2 2026 results highlighted robust demand, particularly in IT datacom, where sales surged 89% year over year on accelerated artificial intelligence infrastructure needs. Record orders of $10.7 billion and raised guidance for the third quarter supported positive sentiment, though near-term price action reflected post-split adjustment and general sector rotation.
TEL Overview and Recent Performance
TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL) provides connectivity and sensor solutions primarily for transportation, industrial, and communications markets. Recent market activity has featured steady performance, with the stock holding near $205 following its fiscal Q3 2026 earnings. The quarter delivered record sales of $5.16 billion, up 14% year over year, alongside adjusted earnings per share growth of 22% and record orders of $5.7 billion. A pending $1.4 billion acquisition of Astrodyne TDI to bolster industrial power solutions and analyst price target increases, including one to $220, contributed to constructive sentiment in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both companies compete in the interconnect and sensor industry but pursue differentiated strategies. Amphenol Corporation (APH) maintains greater exposure to high-growth AI and datacenter end markets, which fueled outsized organic growth in recent quarters, while TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL) emphasizes a balanced portfolio across transportation and industrial solutions with steady order momentum. Valuation metrics show APH trading at a premium multiple consistent with its growth trajectory, whereas TEL offers a comparatively lower price-to-earnings ratio alongside a higher dividend yield. Risk factors include APH's sensitivity to technology spending cycles and TEL's exposure to automotive production volumes. Recent momentum favors APH's AI-driven catalysts, though TEL demonstrates resilience through acquisitions and cash flow generation. Market sentiment reflects these contrasts, with analysts maintaining constructive ratings for both amid sector-wide interest in connectivity solutions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in order growth, stability of recent performance, and positioning relative to AI-driven catalysts, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to Amphenol Corporation (APH). Its stronger recent organic expansion in high-demand segments and elevated book-to-bill ratio provide a measurable advantage in the current environment, though outcomes remain subject to broader market dynamics and execution on guidance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is APH is a Hold and TEL is a Hold.
APH in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on September 11, 2026
APH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 27 of the 45 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 60%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for APH moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 50 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 50%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 38 of 68 cases where APH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on APH as a result. In 50 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for APH just turned positive on September 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where APH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
APH moved above its 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for APH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +1.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where APH advanced for three days, in 250 of 355 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 233 of 318 cases where APH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. APH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: APH's P/B Ratio (13.477) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.615). P/E Ratio (42.310) is within average values for comparable stocks, (81.453). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.968) is also within normal values, averaging (1.658). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.005) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.859) is also within normal values, averaging (4.796).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
TEL in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on September 25, 2026
TEL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 25 of the 42 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 60%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 33 of 64 cases where TEL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TEL turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 57%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TEL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TEL as a result. In 65 of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
TEL moved above its 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TEL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
Following a +4.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TEL advanced for three days, in 205 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 108 of 215 cases where TEL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 50%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 42 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.693) is normal, around the industry mean (5.615). P/E Ratio (21.029) is within average values for comparable stocks, (81.453). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.919) is also within normal values, averaging (1.658). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.005) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.089) is also within normal values, averaging (4.796).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TEL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
APH | TEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 66 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 42 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 29 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 27 | 41 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 31 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 93 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TEL's Valuation (42) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as APH (68). This means that TEL’s stock grew similarly to APH’s over the last 12 months.
APH's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as TEL (29). This means that APH’s stock grew similarly to TEL’s over the last 12 months.
APH's SMR Rating (27) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as TEL (41). This means that APH’s stock grew similarly to TEL’s over the last 12 months.
APH's Price Growth Rating (31) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as TEL (47). This means that APH’s stock grew similarly to TEL’s over the last 12 months.
APH's P/E Growth Rating (56) in the Electronic Components industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TEL (93). This means that APH’s stock grew somewhat faster than TEL’s over the last 12 months.
| APH | TEL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 70% | 13 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 50% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APH’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while TEL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- APH’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APH’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TEL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APH’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TEL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
APH (@Electronic Components) experienced а -3.08% price change this week, while TEL (@Electronic Components) price change was -1.64% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Components industry was -8.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.85%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.87%.
Reported Earning Dates
APH is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
TEL is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Components (-8.02% weekly)The Electronic Components industry produces electronic equipment for industries and consumer electronics products, such as mobile devices, televisions, and circuit boards. TE Connectivity Ltd, for example, is a company that designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor products for harsh environments in various industries, such as automotive, industrial equipment, aerospace, and oil & gas. Another major player, Corning Inc., makes advanced optics including end-to-end fiber and wireless solutions for communications networks along with various other technologies catering to industrial and scientific applications.
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APH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, APH has been loosely correlated with TEL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if APH jumps, then TEL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To APH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APH | 100% | -0.35% | ||
| TEL - APH | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| BELFA - APH | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.48% | ||
| BELFB - APH | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.32% | ||
| CLS - APH | 52% Loosely correlated | +2.86% | ||
| BHE - APH | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.74% | ||
More | ||||
TEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TEL has been closely correlated with APH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TEL jumps, then APH could also see price increases.