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AR vs CNX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Antero Resources (AR) vs. CNX Resources (CNX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AR commands a larger market capitalization of $11.7 billion compared to CNX's $5.5 billion, reflecting greater operational scale.
- CNX offers a lower trailing P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) of 9.7 versus AR's 18.6, indicating potential value on current earnings.
- AR has outperformed year-to-date (YTD) with a 9.8% return against CNX's 4.6%, amid recent natural gas market dynamics.
- Both stocks exhibit low volatility with betas (measure of market sensitivity) of 0.42 for AR and 0.65 for CNX, appealing to risk-averse energy investors.
- Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings for both could catalyze shifts in sentiment, with analysts forecasting growth.
- AR's forward P/E of 10.2 suggests stronger growth prospects relative to CNX's 15.6.
Introduction
In the natural gas sector, AR (Antero Resources Corporation) and CNX (CNX Resources Corporation) are prominent peers operating primarily in the Appalachian Basin. This comparison evaluates their business models, recent stock performance, valuation metrics, and market positioning amid volatile commodity prices and shifting energy demand. Energy sector investors and traders seeking relative value, momentum plays, or hedges against broader market swings will find insights into how these stocks stack up in the current environment, particularly with Q1 earnings on the horizon.
AR Overview and Recent Performance
Antero Resources Corporation (AR) is an independent exploration and production company focused on natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and oil assets in the Appalachian Basin. It operates extensive gathering and compression systems supporting its 537,000 net acres. In recent market activity, AR shares have traded in the mid-$30s to upper-$30s range, reflecting resilience amid natural gas price fluctuations. Year-to-date gains of 9.8% have outpaced the sector, driven by quarterly revenue growth of 11% year-over-year (yoy) and earnings expansion of 29% yoy, alongside analyst upgrades and optimism around LPG (liquefied petroleum gas) tailwinds. Sentiment has been bolstered by positive valuation reassessments and inclusion in value stock lists.
CNX Overview and Recent Performance
CNX Resources Corporation (CNX) operates as an independent natural gas producer with midstream assets in the Appalachian Basin, emphasizing shale and coalbed methane formations across Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Ohio. It manages 2,600 miles of gathering pipelines and water management services. Recently, CNX shares have hovered around $38, with year-to-date returns of 4.6% lagging peers but strong one-year performance of 32%. Influences include debt management via tender offers, ESG reporting advancements, and profitability highlights, though recent weeks show mild pullbacks amid broader energy sector rotation. Analysts note its high profit margins and free cash flow potential.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both AR and CNX share upstream natural gas focus in Appalachia, exposing them to similar drivers like U.S. LNG exports and domestic demand, but AR diversifies into NGLs and oil for broader revenue streams. AR's larger scale yields higher quarterly growth, while CNX boasts superior EPS (earnings per share) of $3.98 TTM and better ROE (return on equity). Valuation contrasts highlight CNX's trailing value edge versus AR's attractive forward metrics. Risk profiles differ with AR's lower beta offering stability, though both face commodity volatility. Recent momentum favors AR YTD, but CNX excels over one year, balancing growth versus value trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward AR based on consistent YTD momentum, lower beta for reduced volatility, compelling forward P/E positioning ahead of earnings, and robust production growth trends. While CNX presents value appeal, AR's scale and stability offer higher probability of outperformance in the near term amid energy sector uncertainties.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AR is a Hold and CNX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileCNX’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- CNX’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AR’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CNX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CNX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AR (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +1.83% price change this week, while CNX (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was +0.30% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -1.20%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.52%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.47%.
Reported Earning Dates
AR is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
CNX is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-1.20% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| AR | CNX | AR / CNX | |
| Capitalization | 10.7B | 4.74B | 226% |
| EBITDA | 2.18B | 2.26B | 97% |
| Gain YTD | -1.248 | -9.709 | 13% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.01 | 4.43 | 249% |
| Revenue | 5.48B | 2.32B | 237% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 3.75M | - |
| Total Debt | 4.75B | 2.54B | 187% |
AR | CNX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 52 | 52 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 35 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 75 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 99 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CNX's Valuation (58) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as AR (71) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that CNX’s stock grew similarly to AR’s over the last 12 months.
CNX's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as AR (58) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that CNX’s stock grew similarly to AR’s over the last 12 months.
CNX's SMR Rating (35) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as AR (64) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that CNX’s stock grew similarly to AR’s over the last 12 months.
CNX's Price Growth Rating (75) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as AR (76) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that CNX’s stock grew similarly to AR’s over the last 12 months.
CNX's P/E Growth Rating (99) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as AR (99) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that CNX’s stock grew similarly to AR’s over the last 12 months.
| AR | CNX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 84% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 79% | 20 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 77% | 6 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 68% |
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AR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AR has been closely correlated with RRC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AR jumps, then RRC could also see price increases.
CNX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNX has been closely correlated with RRC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNX jumps, then RRC could also see price increases.