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ASR vs PAC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) vs. Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico (PAC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ASR and PAC are Mexican airport concession operators, but their footprints, diversification, and near-term momentum differ meaningfully.
- ASR has diversified aggressively across seven countries following its recent Brazilian airport acquisition, while PAC remains concentrated in Mexico and Jamaica with a newly integrated cross-border asset.
- A Mexican regulator's revision of the airport tariff formula has pressured sentiment across the sector, with both stocks experiencing volatility in recent months.
- PAC currently shows a higher dividend yield and stronger operating margins, while ASR trades at a lower earnings multiple but carries greater regulatory and integration uncertainty.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: PAC is the favored ticker of the two, based on trend stability, margin consistency, and clearer near-term catalysts.
- For deeper coverage, explore ASR Major News, ASR Today's Price Move, PAC Major News, and PAC Today's Price Move.
- Discover curated AI-driven trading strategies on the Trending AI Robots page.
Introduction
Investors comparing ASR and PAC are, in effect, comparing two of Mexico's three major private airport operators and their distinct approaches to the same structural challenge: a shifting regulatory framework alongside uneven passenger-traffic recovery. This stock comparison is relevant for income-oriented investors evaluating dividend yield, for growth investors assessing international diversification, and for traders tracking momentum shifts within the Latin American transportation and infrastructure complex. Both companies are American Depositary Receipts (ADRs, securities that let U.S. investors hold foreign shares) listed on the New York Stock Exchange, making them accessible to a broad base of market participants seeking exposure to Mexican aviation without direct cross-border ownership.
ASR Overview and Recent Performance
ASR, officially Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASUR), operates airports concentrated in southeastern Mexico, led by Cancún, alongside assets in Puerto Rico and Colombia. In recent months the company has transformed its profile through acquisitions, completing the purchase of CPC Aeroportos, which added roughly 20 airports—mostly in Brazil—and lifted its portfolio to about 36 airports across seven countries. This diversification has strengthened revenue, with third-quarter revenue rising substantially year over year, but it has also introduced integration complexity.
The dominant driver of recent price behavior, however, has been regulatory. Mexico's airport regulator revised its tariff formula, prompting a notable sell-off across the sector and weighing disproportionately on ASR given its reliance on regulated aeronautical revenue at Cancún. Passenger traffic also declined modestly in Mexico and Puerto Rico during the recent quarter. These factors have pressured sentiment, even as analysts broadly retain a constructive longer-term view of the company's expanded footprint.
PAC Overview and Recent Performance
PAC, officially Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico (GAP), operates 12 airports across Mexico's Pacific and central regions—including Guadalajara, Tijuana, Puerto Vallarta, and Los Cabos—plus two airports in Jamaica. Its recent strategic focus has been domestic consolidation rather than geographic expansion, highlighted by the completed merger of Cross Border Xpress (CBX, the pedestrian bridge connecting Tijuana to San Diego) and the launch of a FIBRA GAP structure, a Mexican real-estate investment trust intended to fund airport infrastructure.
Despite a modest decline in passenger traffic in recent quarters, PAC has delivered resilient financial results. Revenue excluding construction services grew by double digits, and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA, a measure of core operating profitability) rose even as margins reached roughly the high-60% range. The company also maintains a sizable dividend yield, supporting income-focused positioning even amid broader sector headwinds from tariff recalibration and airline capacity adjustments.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
At the core of this stock comparison is a contrast in strategy. ASR has pursued aggressive international diversification—most notably into Brazil—which broadens its revenue base but adds execution and integration risk during a period of regulatory uncertainty. PAC, by contrast, has deepened its domestic and cross-border footprint, integrating CBX and structuring a dedicated funding vehicle through FIBRA GAP rather than acquiring new geographies.
On valuation and income, PAC carries a higher earnings multiple but compensates with a materially higher dividend yield and stronger operating margins. ASR trades at a lower earnings multiple, which may appeal to value-oriented investors, but its near-term earnings profile is more exposed to the tariff-formula recalibration given its concentration at Cancún. Both face shared sector risks—including traffic softness and regulatory change—but PAC's more stable margin profile and clearer capital structure give it a steadier relative positioning in recent market activity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would currently favor PAC over ASR. The assessment reflects PAC's more consistent operating margins, its higher dividend yield supporting downside resilience, and the completion of concrete catalysts such as the CBX integration and FIBRA GAP structure. While ASR's Brazilian expansion offers a longer-horizon growth narrative, its near-term outlook is clouded by greater regulatory sensitivity at Cancún and ongoing integration demands. This is a probabilistic evaluation of trend consistency and relative positioning rather than a definitive forecast, and either stock's trajectory could shift as traffic data and regulatory clarity evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASR is a Buy and PAC is a Buy.
ASR in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026
The 10-day moving average for ASR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ASR as a result. In 59 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ASR just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where ASR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
ASR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASR advanced for three days, in 203 of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 160 of 241 cases where ASR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 15 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
ASR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 4 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 34 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.247) is normal, around the industry mean (0.918). P/E Ratio (0.796) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-5.910). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.920) is also within normal values, averaging (0.572). Dividend Yield (0.083) settles around the average of (0.062) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.352) is also within normal values, averaging (8.002).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ASR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
PAC in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
The 10-day moving average for PAC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 18 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PAC as a result. In 57 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PAC just turned positive on October 19, 2026. Looking at past instances where PAC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
PAC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAC advanced for three days, in 221 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 14 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
PAC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 1 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 37 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.281) is normal, around the industry mean (0.918). P/E Ratio (1.348) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-5.910). PAC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.072) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.572). PAC has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.171) as compared to the industry average of (0.062). P/S Ratio (4.885) is also within normal values, averaging (8.002).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
ASR | PAC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 37 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 34 Fair valued | 37 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 31 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 34 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 97 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 4 | 1 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASR's Valuation (34) in the Other Transportation industry is in the same range as PAC (37). This means that ASR’s stock grew similarly to PAC’s over the last 12 months.
PAC's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Other Transportation industry is in the same range as ASR (50). This means that PAC’s stock grew similarly to ASR’s over the last 12 months.
ASR's SMR Rating (34) in the Other Transportation industry is in the same range as PAC (35). This means that ASR’s stock grew similarly to PAC’s over the last 12 months.
PAC's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Other Transportation industry is in the same range as ASR (50). This means that PAC’s stock grew similarly to ASR’s over the last 12 months.
PAC's P/E Growth Rating (97) in the Other Transportation industry is in the same range as ASR (97). This means that PAC’s stock grew similarly to ASR’s over the last 12 months.
| ASR | PAC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 8 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 62% | 15 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | N/A |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while PAC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ASR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- PAC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASR’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAC’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PAC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASR (@Air Freight/Couriers) experienced а +3.96% price change this week, while PAC (@Air Freight/Couriers) price change was +5.87% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +1.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was -22.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
PAC is expected to report earnings on Feb 24, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Air Freight/Couriers (+1.63% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
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ASR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASR has been closely correlated with PAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASR jumps, then PAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASR | 100% | +0.60% | ||
| PAC - ASR | 78% Closely correlated | +2.21% | ||
| OMAB - ASR | 77% Closely correlated | +0.38% | ||
| CAAP - ASR | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.88% | ||
| JOBY - ASR | 25% Poorly correlated | -4.21% | ||
| UP - ASR | 19% Poorly correlated | -10.87% | ||
More | ||||
PAC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAC has been closely correlated with ASR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAC jumps, then ASR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAC | 100% | +2.21% | ||
| ASR - PAC | 77% Closely correlated | +0.60% | ||
| CAAP - PAC | 47% Loosely correlated | -0.88% | ||
| UP - PAC | 20% Poorly correlated | -10.87% | ||
| JOBY - PAC | 17% Poorly correlated | -4.21% | ||
| OMAB - PAC | 14% Poorly correlated | +0.38% | ||
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| 1 Day | |||
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