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AVY vs PKG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) vs. Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PKG recently reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $2.40, beating estimates, while AVY is set to release Q1 results on April 28, 2026.
- PKG boasts a larger market capitalization of approximately $19 billion compared to AVY's $12.7 billion.
- AVY has shown stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at +8.56% versus PKG's +3.8% amid recent market activity.
- Both stocks operate in the packaging sector but focus on distinct areas: AVY on labels and functional materials, PKG on corrugated containers.
- Analyst price targets suggest upside potential for both, with PKG averaging $230.50 and AVY at $205.00.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AVY and PKG, two prominent players in the packaging industry serving consumer goods, logistics, and industrial sectors. Investors tracking materials and containers stocks may find value in understanding their relative performance amid fluctuating demand for sustainable packaging solutions and supply chain dynamics. Traders focused on short-term momentum or longer-term sector exposure will benefit from insights into recent earnings trends, valuation metrics, and market positioning in the current environment.
AVY Overview and Recent Performance
Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) specializes in materials science, providing pressure-sensitive labels, packaging, and functional materials for branding and logistics applications. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $165.50, within a 52-week range of $156.23 to $199.54, reflecting share price weakness. Year-to-date gains stand at +8.56%, supported by a trailing P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of 18.83 and market cap of $12.73 billion. Sentiment has been influenced by analysts revising growth expectations downward amid valuation adjustments, with mixed ratings including buy maintains but lowered targets. Key developments include anticipation for Q1 2026 earnings, expected EPS of $2.41, as broader sector pressures from pricing and demand shifts weigh on performance.
PKG Overview and Recent Performance
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is a leading producer of corrugated packaging products and containerboard, catering to e-commerce and consumer sectors. The stock recently closed near $212.87, in a 52-week range of $178.30 to $249.51, with YTD performance around +3.8%. Market cap approximates $19 billion, with a trailing P/E of 24.81. Recent weeks saw positive momentum from Q1 2026 earnings, reporting adjusted EPS of $2.40 (beating estimates) on $2.37 billion revenue, despite cost pressures from acquisitions like Greif. Management highlighted sustained demand and pricing gains, guiding Q2 EPS at $2.33, bolstering investor sentiment despite a slight revenue miss.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AVY and PKG both benefit from packaging demand but diverge in business models: AVY emphasizes innovative labels and RFID solutions, while PKG focuses on containerboard production. Growth drivers for PKG include e-commerce volumes and pricing power, evident in recent earnings beats, contrasting AVY's exposure to branding cycles. Recent momentum favors AVY YTD, but PKG shows stability with higher volume and analyst upgrades. Risk factors involve raw material costs and supply chain issues for both, though PKG's larger scale offers resilience. Market sentiment tilts toward PKG post-earnings, while AVY trades at a discount P/E, highlighting valuation trade-offs in the sector.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward PKG based on stronger trend consistency from recent earnings beats, positive guidance, and relative stability in container demand. While AVY offers attractive valuation and YTD outperformance, upcoming results introduce uncertainty. This positioning suggests higher probability of near-term upside for PKG amid packaging sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AVY is a Buy and PKG is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AVY’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePKG’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s).
- AVY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PKG’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AVY’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PKG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AVY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- PKG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AVY (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а -1.46% price change this week, while PKG (@Containers/Packaging) price change was +1.77% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was -0.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.95%.
Reported Earning Dates
AVY is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
PKG is expected to report earnings on Jul 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (-0.27% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
| AVY | PKG | AVY / PKG | |
| Capitalization | 12B | 20.9B | 57% |
| EBITDA | 1.42B | 1.82B | 78% |
| Gain YTD | -12.429 | 14.902 | -83% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.73 | 28.44 | 62% |
| Revenue | 9.01B | 9.22B | 98% |
| Total Cash | 255M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 3.79B | 4.37B | 87% |
AVY | PKG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 31 Undervalued | 33 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 32 | 53 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 20 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 66 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AVY's Valuation (31) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as PKG (33). This means that AVY’s stock grew similarly to PKG’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is significantly better than the same rating for AVY (100). This means that PKG’s stock grew significantly faster than AVY’s over the last 12 months.
AVY's SMR Rating (32) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as PKG (53). This means that AVY’s stock grew similarly to PKG’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AVY (58). This means that PKG’s stock grew somewhat faster than AVY’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AVY (66). This means that PKG’s stock grew somewhat faster than AVY’s over the last 12 months.
| AVY | PKG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 45% | 9 days ago 62% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 6 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 62% |
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AVY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AVY has been loosely correlated with HNI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AVY jumps, then HNI could also see price increases.
PKG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PKG has been closely correlated with SW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PKG jumps, then SW could also see price increases.