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BCC vs VMC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Boise Cascade (BCC) vs. Vulcan Materials (VMC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BCC has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at +15.25% compared to VMC's +2.37%, reflecting recent momentum in wood products.
- VMC boasts superior one-year returns of +18.81% versus BCC's +10.49%, supported by robust aggregates demand.
- BCC trades at a lower trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.84 compared to VMC's 35.69, suggesting relative value.
- Both stocks operate in the construction materials sector but differ in focus: BCC on wood products and distribution, VMC on aggregates for infrastructure.
- VMC exhibits lower volatility with a beta of 1.10 versus BCC's 1.20, appealing to stability-focused investors.
- Tickeron's AI analysis leans toward VMC for its stronger return on equity (ROE) and infrastructure catalysts.
Introduction
This comparison examines BCC and VMC, two key players in the construction materials sector. Both stocks offer exposure to housing, commercial building, and infrastructure trends, but they differ in product focus and market dynamics. Traders seeking cyclical opportunities amid fluctuating demand for building products, or investors eyeing relative performance in recent market activity, will find value in understanding their contrasts. With ongoing public works and residential recovery influencing sentiment, this analysis highlights price behavior, financial metrics, and positioning to aid informed decision-making.
BCC Overview and Recent Performance
Boise Cascade (BCC) manufactures engineered wood products like laminated veneer lumber and plywood, while distributing a broad range of building materials across the U.S. and Canada. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $84, with a market cap of approximately $3 billion. It has shown resilience, posting YTD gains of 15.25% and climbing over 10% in the past year, amid a 52-week range of $65 to $98. Key influences include its Q4 2025 earnings beat, with EPS of $0.24 despite lower net income, reflecting softer wood prices and distribution volumes. Sentiment has improved with analyst buy ratings and a trailing P/E of 23.84, supported by a 1.02% dividend yield. However, higher beta (1.20) signals sensitivity to sector cycles.
VMC Overview and Recent Performance
Vulcan Materials (VMC) is a leading producer of construction aggregates—crushed stone, sand, and gravel—essential for highways, housing, and public works. Trading near $291 with a $38 billion market cap, the stock has advanced 18.81% over the past year within a 52-week range of $242 to $331. Recent weeks reflect steady performance, buoyed by infrastructure demand, though YTD returns stand at 2.37%. Q4 2025 results showed EPS of $1.70 amid revenue growth to $1.91 billion, with analysts anticipating 25% EPS expansion in upcoming Q1 2026 earnings. A trailing P/E of 35.69 and ROE of 12.97% underscore premium valuation, tempered by a beta of 1.10 and 0.71% yield. Positive sentiment stems from federal spending catalysts.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BCC and VMC both thrive in construction but diverge in models: BCC emphasizes wood manufacturing and distribution, vulnerable to lumber price swings, while VMC focuses on aggregates with steadier infrastructure ties. Growth drivers favor VMC's higher ROE (12.97% vs. 6.29%) and revenue scale ($7.9B vs. $6.4B), though BCC offers cheaper valuation (P/E 24 vs. 36) and higher dividend yield. Recent momentum tilts to BCC's YTD surge, contrasting VMC's consistent yearly gains. Risk profiles show BCC's elevated beta amplifying downturns, versus VMC's relative stability. Sector exposure links both to building cycles, but VMC benefits more from public projects, while BCC tracks housing sentiment shifts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors VMC due to its superior long-term trend consistency, higher ROE, lower volatility, and catalysts from infrastructure spending. While BCC shows short-term momentum and value appeal, VMC's relative positioning suggests higher probability of sustained outperformance in the prevailing environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BCC is a StrongBuy and VMC is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BCC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileVMC’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BCC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- VMC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BCC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VMC’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BCC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- VMC’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
BCC (@Forest Products) experienced а +1.33% price change this week, while VMC (@Construction Materials) price change was +3.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Forest Products industry was -0.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.60%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Construction Materials industry was -0.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.78%.
Reported Earning Dates
BCC is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
VMC is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Forest Products (-0.77% weekly)Forest products are materials derived from forestry for direct consumption or commercial use. Wood, for example, has variety or uses ranging from generating wood fuel (e.g. in the form of firewood or charcoal) to providing structural materials for the construction of buildings and home improvement, or in the form of wood pulp that is used in the paper production. . Pulp and paper industry, in particular, creates high volume demand for the wood materials including both softwood and hardwood. Major companies making such products include Trex Company, Inc. (manufacturer of wood-alternative decking and railings), Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (makes engineered wood building products) and Universal Forest Products, Inc. (manufactures and distributes wood and wood-alternative products, pressure-treated wood, and is a solid-sawn lumber buyer; makes products for use in home improvement and construction industries).
@Construction Materials (-0.83% weekly)Many naturally occurring substances, such as clay, rocks, sand, and wood, even twigs and leaves have been used in construction material. Many man-made products are also in use. Vulcan Materials Co., Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. and Owens Corning Inc. are examples of construction material companies in the U.S. Performance of companies that extract or produce construction materials could at times depend on demand for residential and commercial buildings/real estate, and therefore in some cases could feel impacted by economic cycles.
| BCC | VMC | BCC / VMC | |
| Capitalization | 2.53B | 38.8B | 7% |
| EBITDA | 337M | 2.38B | 14% |
| Gain YTD | -0.863 | 7.136 | -12% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.42 | 36.07 | 68% |
| Revenue | 6.37B | 8.06B | 79% |
| Total Cash | 339M | 140M | 242% |
| Total Debt | 540M | 5.09B | 11% |
BCC | VMC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 39 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 17 Undervalued | 77 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 81 | 27 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 85 | 62 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 21 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 53 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BCC's Valuation (17) in the Forest Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for VMC (77) in the Construction Materials industry. This means that BCC’s stock grew somewhat faster than VMC’s over the last 12 months.
VMC's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Construction Materials industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BCC (81) in the Forest Products industry. This means that VMC’s stock grew somewhat faster than BCC’s over the last 12 months.
VMC's SMR Rating (62) in the Construction Materials industry is in the same range as BCC (85) in the Forest Products industry. This means that VMC’s stock grew similarly to BCC’s over the last 12 months.
VMC's Price Growth Rating (21) in the Construction Materials industry is in the same range as BCC (49) in the Forest Products industry. This means that VMC’s stock grew similarly to BCC’s over the last 12 months.
BCC's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Forest Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for VMC (53) in the Construction Materials industry. This means that BCC’s stock grew somewhat faster than VMC’s over the last 12 months.
| BCC | VMC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 75% | 16 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 47% |
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BCC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BCC has been closely correlated with UFPI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BCC jumps, then UFPI could also see price increases.
VMC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VMC has been closely correlated with MLM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VMC jumps, then MLM could also see price increases.