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BMY vs PFE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) vs. Pfizer (PFE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) has delivered stronger year-to-date and one-year total returns compared with Pfizer (PFE) amid a robust growth portfolio.
- Both companies raised 2026 revenue guidance following solid second-quarter results, with non-COVID or legacy portfolio momentum supporting performance.
- BMY trades at a lower trailing price-to-earnings ratio and offers a dividend yield near 4%, while PFE provides a higher yield above 6% with ongoing cost-reduction initiatives.
- Recent pipeline updates, including positive clinical data for BMY’s Sotyktu and PFE’s oncology and vaccine programs, have influenced market sentiment in recent weeks.
- BMY exhibits lower beta and more consistent recent momentum, whereas PFE benefits from a broader product base and announced productivity savings extending into 2029.
- Sector exposure remains similar in pharmaceuticals, with both firms navigating patent expirations through new launches and acquisitions.
Introduction
Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) and Pfizer (PFE) represent two established players in the pharmaceutical sector, each managing large portfolios of branded medicines while transitioning from legacy products facing patent expirations. Investors and traders focused on healthcare equities, dividend income, or relative sector performance often examine these names together because of their comparable market capitalizations, exposure to oncology and specialty therapeutics, and ongoing efforts to expand growth portfolios. This comparison highlights observable differences in recent price behavior, financial metrics, and pipeline developments to assist in evaluating positioning within the broader market environment.
BMY Overview and Recent Performance
Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) develops and commercializes medicines primarily in oncology, hematology, immunology, and cardiovascular disease. In recent market activity, the stock has shown resilience, posting year-to-date gains exceeding 20% and one-year returns near 45% despite a modest pullback over the past month. Second-quarter 2026 results featured revenue of approximately $13 billion, up 6% year over year, driven by a 15% increase in the growth portfolio that includes Opdivo, Reblozyl, and Camzyos. The company raised full-year revenue guidance to a range of $49 billion to $50 billion. Positive two-year data for Sotyktu in psoriatic arthritis and new regulatory progress, including accelerated approval for ZENBEXUS, have supported sentiment. Dividend announcements and pipeline advancements have contributed to a constructive tone in recent weeks.
PFE Overview and Recent Performance
Pfizer (PFE) focuses on vaccines, oncology, internal medicine, and rare diseases, with a significant legacy in infectious disease products. In recent market activity, shares have advanced roughly 17% year to date and 23% over the past year, though performance moderated with a slight decline over the trailing month. Second-quarter 2026 revenue reached $15 billion, reflecting operational growth in non-COVID products of 5% and an 18% increase in launched and acquired medicines. The company raised the midpoint of its 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $60.5 billion to $62.5 billion while expanding cost-saving targets. Pipeline developments, including positive Phase 3 results in oncology and updates on COVID-19 vaccine adaptations, alongside manufacturing and productivity initiatives, have shaped recent sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) and Pfizer (PFE) both operate diversified pharmaceutical businesses but differ in portfolio composition and recent momentum. BMY derives a larger share of revenue from its growth portfolio, which has expanded faster than legacy products, while PFE emphasizes non-COVID growth through acquired assets and cost discipline. Valuation metrics show BMY trading at a lower trailing price-to-earnings multiple with moderate leverage, whereas PFE offers a higher dividend yield supported by a larger market capitalization. Recent price behavior favors BMY on a relative basis over the past year, though both stocks have benefited from earnings beats and guidance increases. Risk factors include patent cliffs for key products at each firm, offset by pipeline catalysts; BMY displays lower historical volatility, while PFE’s broader revenue base provides diversification. Market sentiment in recent weeks has reflected pipeline progress at both companies without clear dominance by either name.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative returns, and portfolio momentum in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable positioning to Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) over Pfizer (PFE). Stronger year-to-date performance, a more pronounced contribution from growth assets, and lower beta support this probabilistic assessment, though outcomes remain dependent on upcoming catalysts and broader sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BMY is a Hold and PFE is a Hold.
BMY in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026
The 10-day moving average for BMY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
BMY moved below its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BMY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
The Aroon Indicator for BMY entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BMY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 31 of 59 cases where BMY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BMY just turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where BMY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
Following a +6.88% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BMY advanced for three days, in 174 of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
BMY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 30 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 42 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.848) is normal, around the industry mean (19.199). P/E Ratio (14.070) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.793). BMY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (17.786) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.738). Dividend Yield (0.039) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.642) is also within normal values, averaging (4.033).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BMY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BMY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock worse than average.
PFE in +1.27% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on October 16, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where PFE advanced for three days, in 149 of 278 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PFE as a result. In 46 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PFE just turned positive on October 14, 2026. Looking at past instances where PFE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 17 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 40%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PFE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
PFE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for PFE entered a downward trend on October 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 20 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.922) is normal, around the industry mean (19.199). P/E Ratio (37.789) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.793). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (13.137) is also within normal values, averaging (5.738). PFE has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.060) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (2.469) is also within normal values, averaging (4.033).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. PFE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PFE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock worse than average.
BMY | PFE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 48 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 42 Fair valued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 22 | 83 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 20 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 5 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 30 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PFE's Valuation (20) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry is in the same range as BMY (42). This means that PFE’s stock grew similarly to BMY’s over the last 12 months.
BMY's Profit vs Risk Rating (77) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry is in the same range as PFE (100). This means that BMY’s stock grew similarly to PFE’s over the last 12 months.
BMY's SMR Rating (22) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PFE (83). This means that BMY’s stock grew somewhat faster than PFE’s over the last 12 months.
PFE's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry is in the same range as BMY (46). This means that PFE’s stock grew similarly to BMY’s over the last 12 months.
PFE's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BMY (65). This means that PFE’s stock grew somewhat faster than BMY’s over the last 12 months.
| BMY | PFE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 53% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 40% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 54% | 13 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 59% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BMY’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while PFE’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- BMY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PFE’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BMY’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PFE’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BMY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PFE’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BMY (@Pharmaceuticals: Major) experienced а +1.07% price change this week, while PFE (@Pharmaceuticals: Major) price change was +4.60% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Pharmaceuticals: Major industry was -0.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
BMY is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
PFE is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Pharmaceuticals: Major (-0.91% weekly)The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.
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BMY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BMY has been loosely correlated with PFE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BMY jumps, then PFE could also see price increases.
PFE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PFE has been loosely correlated with BMY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PFE jumps, then BMY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PFE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFE | 100% | +0.48% | ||
| BMY - PFE | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.35% | ||
| AMGN - PFE | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.35% | ||
| BIIB - PFE | 48% Loosely correlated | -1.15% | ||
| NVS - PFE | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.16% | ||
| SNY - PFE | 47% Loosely correlated | +0.79% | ||
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