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BP vs IMO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BP p.l.c. (BP) vs. Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BP p.l.c. (BP) is executing a broad portfolio overhaul, including divestitures of North Sea assets and its solar business, amid strategic refocus on core oil and gas operations.
- Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) reported more than doubled second-quarter 2026 net income, driven by higher crude prices, despite some production and refinery adjustments.
- BP p.l.c. (BP) has delivered solid year-to-date returns near 33%, supported by elevated oil prices and operational resilience.
- Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) has shown stronger relative performance with year-to-date gains exceeding 50%, reflecting robust Canadian oil sands exposure.
- Both companies operate in the integrated energy sector but differ in geographic focus, with BP p.l.c. (BP) emphasizing global transition initiatives and Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) concentrating on upstream production efficiency.
- Market sentiment for both remains tied to crude price dynamics, though Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) demonstrated clearer recent earnings momentum.
Introduction
BP p.l.c. (BP) and Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) represent two established players in the global energy sector, each with significant exposure to oil and gas markets. This comparison examines their recent performance, operational developments, and relative positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating energy equities. Market participants seeking to understand differences in business models, geographic emphasis, and short-term momentum may find the analysis relevant for portfolio construction or sector allocation decisions within the broader energy complex.
BP p.l.c. (BP) Overview and Recent Performance
BP p.l.c. (BP) is a major integrated energy company with operations spanning upstream exploration, downstream refining, and renewable energy initiatives. In recent market activity, the stock has recorded meaningful year-to-date gains amid elevated crude prices. Strategic developments include the launch of a sale process for UK North Sea assets, workforce reductions of approximately 700 non-frontline positions, and progress toward divesting its solar business Lightsource as well as a majority of bp Ventures portfolio. These moves reflect an ongoing portfolio optimization under new leadership aimed at improving returns and sharpening focus on higher-value segments. Sentiment has been influenced by both the benefits of stronger oil markets and the execution risks associated with the transition strategy.
IMO Overview and Recent Performance
Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) is a Canadian integrated oil company primarily engaged in upstream production, refining, and marketing, with notable oil sands operations. Recent market activity shows the shares achieving substantial year-to-date appreciation, supported by favorable crude price movements. The company reported second-quarter 2026 net income more than doubling year-over-year to C$2.19 billion, surpassing analyst expectations, even as upstream output faced some headwinds and refinery throughput guidance was adjusted lower. Performance reflects the company’s leverage to Canadian resource basins and its ability to capitalize on commodity strength while managing operational variables.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BP p.l.c. (BP) operates on a global scale with diversified downstream and transition-related assets, whereas Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) maintains a more concentrated Canadian footprint centered on oil sands production. Growth drivers for BP p.l.c. (BP) include portfolio simplification and cost discipline, while Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) benefits directly from upstream volume and realized pricing in a high-commodity environment. Recent momentum favors Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) based on stronger year-to-date returns and earnings outperformance, though BP p.l.c. (BP) exhibits broader international exposure that may offer different risk diversification. Risk factors for both include commodity price volatility; BP p.l.c. (BP) additionally faces execution risks from divestitures, while Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) contends with regional regulatory and production variability. Sector exposure remains similar within energy, yet market sentiment reflects IMO’s more immediate earnings visibility versus BP p.l.c. (BP)’s longer-term strategic repositioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including stronger recent earnings momentum, higher year-to-date returns, and favorable positioning amid the crude price environment, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) relative to BP p.l.c. (BP). Trend consistency and catalyst visibility appear more pronounced for the former in the latest data window, though both equities remain subject to commodity and macroeconomic influences that could alter relative positioning.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BP is a Hold and IMO is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileIMO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- IMO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BP’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IMO’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- IMO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BP (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +5.24% price change this week, while IMO (@Integrated Oil) price change was +3.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +2.14%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.68%.
Reported Earning Dates
BP is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
IMO is expected to report earnings on Oct 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+2.14% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| BP | IMO | BP / IMO | |
| Capitalization | 116B | 66.7B | 174% |
| EBITDA | 39.8B | 6.4B | 622% |
| Gain YTD | 33.666 | 59.947 | 56% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.38 | 22.27 | 96% |
| Revenue | 217B | 45.4B | 478% |
| Total Cash | 5.8B | 1.03B | 564% |
| Total Debt | 74.2B | 4.14B | 1,793% |
BP | IMO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 47 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 28 Undervalued | 56 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 4 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 63 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BP's Valuation (28) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as IMO (56). This means that BP’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (16). This means that IMO’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's SMR Rating (63) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BP (99). This means that IMO’s stock grew somewhat faster than BP’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (45). This means that IMO’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Integrated Oil industry is significantly better than the same rating for BP (99). This means that IMO’s stock grew significantly faster than BP’s over the last 12 months.
| BP | IMO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 52% | 27 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 73% |
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BP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BP has been closely correlated with SHEL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BP jumps, then SHEL could also see price increases.
IMO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IMO has been closely correlated with SU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IMO jumps, then SU could also see price increases.