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BP vs IMO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BP p.l.c. (BP) vs. Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- IMO has shown stronger short-term momentum, rising over 13% in recent weeks amid favorable oil prices, compared to more modest gains for BP.
- Both stocks benefit from elevated energy prices, but BP's global diversification provides stability, while IMO leverages Canadian upstream strength.
- Year-to-date, BP has delivered around 34% returns, trailing IMO's steeper climb.
- BP reported robust Q1 2026 profits from oil trading, offsetting regional disruptions.
- IMO beat earnings expectations in recent quarters, supporting its relative outperformance.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight IMO's edge in momentum metrics over the past year.
Introduction
BP p.l.c. (BP) and Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) represent key players in the integrated oil and gas sector, offering exposure to upstream production, refining, and marketing amid volatile energy markets. This comparison analyzes their recent stock performance, business drivers, and market positioning, aiding traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing long-term energy stability. With oil prices influenced by geopolitical tensions and supply dynamics, understanding relative strengths helps in portfolio allocation for energy-focused strategies.
BP Overview and Recent Performance
BP, a multinational energy company, operates across gas and low-carbon energy, oil production, and operations worldwide. In recent market activity, its shares have exhibited steady upward momentum, with year-to-date gains around 34% and 52-week returns exceeding 60%. Strong Q1 2026 results, featuring $3.2 billion in underlying profit, were bolstered by robust oil trading despite Middle East disruptions. Sentiment has been supported by higher crude prices and strategic focus on core oil and gas, though net debt rose slightly. Broader energy transition efforts add diversification, influencing investor views on long-term resilience versus peers.
IMO Overview and Recent Performance
Imperial Oil Limited (IMO), a leading Canadian integrated oil company, engages in upstream exploration and production, downstream refining, and chemicals through segments including Upstream, Product Sales, and Fuel Infrastructure. Recent weeks have seen IMO shares surge over 13%, driven by rising oil prices from Middle East tensions and strong energy sector sentiment. The stock has climbed nearly 80% over the past year, outperforming broader indices. Q4 2025 earnings beat estimates, with positive surprises in EPS (earnings per share), reinforcing confidence amid favorable commodity dynamics and operational efficiency in key Canadian assets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both BP and IMO operate integrated models blending upstream production with downstream refining, but BP’s global footprint contrasts IMO’s Canada-centric focus, exposing the latter more to North American oil sands dynamics. Growth drivers differ: BP emphasizes trading and low-carbon transitions, while IMO capitalizes on upstream efficiency. Recent momentum favors IMO, with faster price appreciation amid oil rallies, versus BP’s steadier climb. Risk factors include commodity volatility for both, but BP faces higher geopolitical exposure. Sector-wise, energy sentiment lifts them equally, though IMO shows superior 12-month growth, trading at a premium valuation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis leans toward IMO in the current environment, citing consistent short-term trend strength, higher momentum scores, and relative outperformance in recent oil-driven rallies. BP offers greater stability through diversification, but IMO’s catalysts like earnings beats position it probabilistically better for near-term upside amid sustained energy demand.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BP is a Hold and IMO is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileIMO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- IMO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IMO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- IMO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BP (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -6.54% price change this week, while IMO (@Integrated Oil) price change was -5.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -7.95%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.05%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.63%.
Reported Earning Dates
BP is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
IMO is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-7.95% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| BP | IMO | BP / IMO | |
| Capitalization | 106B | 55.7B | 190% |
| EBITDA | 35B | 6.4B | 547% |
| Gain YTD | 18.415 | 32.302 | 57% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.48 | 27.08 | 120% |
| Revenue | 195B | 45.4B | 430% |
| Total Cash | 35.8B | 1.03B | 3,479% |
| Total Debt | 74.2B | 4.14B | 1,793% |
BP | IMO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 24 Undervalued | 48 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 8 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BP's Valuation (24) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as IMO (48). This means that BP’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (26). This means that IMO’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's SMR Rating (100) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (100). This means that IMO’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (51). This means that IMO’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Integrated Oil industry is significantly better than the same rating for BP (99). This means that IMO’s stock grew significantly faster than BP’s over the last 12 months.
| BP | IMO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 59% | 7 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 47% |
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