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BTBT vs RIOT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Bit Digital (BTBT) vs. Riot Platforms (RIOT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Bit Digital (BTBT) has repositioned itself as an Ethereum (ETH) treasury and staking business, while building AI/HPC (artificial intelligence/high-performance computing) exposure through its majority stake in WhiteFiber.
- Riot Platforms (RIOT) remains a large-scale Bitcoin miner that is expanding into AI data center hosting, anchored by a multi-billion-dollar long-term lease agreement.
- Both names trade near 52-week lows with elevated beta, making them high-volatility, sentiment-driven holdings tied to the broader digital-asset complex.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: RIOT (Riot Platforms) is the currently favored ticker, reflecting its larger scale, deeper balance-sheet liquidity, and clearer near-term catalyst pipeline.
- Explore BTBT Major News and BTBT Today's Price Move, plus RIOT Major News and RIOT Today's Price Move, for the latest updates on each ticker.
- Discover curated, market-tested trading strategies on the Trending AI Robots page.
Introduction
Investors evaluating digital-asset equities often encounter two very different companies carrying the same broad label. BTBT (Bit Digital) and RIOT (Riot Platforms) are both publicly traded infrastructure businesses with roots in crypto mining, yet their strategies have diverged sharply. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and investors seeking exposure to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and AI data center infrastructure, and for those weighing relative performance and market positioning between a smaller, treasury-focused operator and a larger, vertically integrated miner. Understanding how each company generates revenue, manages its balance sheet, and positions itself for the AI buildout can help clarify which profile may better suit a given risk tolerance.
BTBT Overview and Recent Performance
Bit Digital is a "Strategic Asset Company" focused on Ethereum strategies and AI/HPC infrastructure. The company purchases and stakes ETH to generate protocol-native yield while maintaining a majority ownership position in WhiteFiber, a Nasdaq-listed data center operator, to gain exposure to AI and cloud computing workloads. This marks a deliberate departure from its earlier Bitcoin mining emphasis, which the company has been winding down in recent quarters.
Recent market activity has been challenging for BTBT, which trades near its 52-week low after a sharp drawdown over the past year. The company's headline results have been weighed down by non-cash, mark-to-market adjustments on its ETH holdings rather than operational weakness. In its most recent quarters, revenue has been supported by growing cloud services and colocation revenue, while ETH staking and mining revenue declined alongside weaker digital-asset prices. Management has emphasized a "productive balance sheet" strategy, borrowing against a portion of its ETH treasury to fund WhiteFiber's expansion rather than selling assets or issuing equity. Analysts maintain a generally constructive view, but the stock's elevated short interest and persistent discount to the estimated value of its holdings reflect investor caution about execution and regulatory uncertainty.
RIOT Overview and Recent Performance
Riot Platforms is a vertically integrated Bitcoin mining and digital infrastructure company operating large-scale facilities in Texas and Kentucky. The business spans Bitcoin mining, power distribution equipment manufacturing, and, increasingly, AI data center hosting. During recent quarters, the company reported a shift in its revenue mix, with Bitcoin mining still the largest contributor, followed by engineering and a growing data center segment.
RIOT has also faced sustained selling pressure, trading near its 52-week low. The company's earnings have been affected by non-cash mark-to-market losses on its Bitcoin holdings and elevated depreciation and data center development expenses. The central catalyst for the stock is a 20-year lease signed with a leading AI lab covering 191 megawatts at its Rockdale campus, which management has described as a turning point toward large-scale data center development. While the lease represents significant potential long-term revenue, it does not yet contribute near-term cash flow, and analysts have trimmed price targets in recent weeks amid concerns about financing, construction costs, and near-term lease catalysts. Riot maintains a substantial Bitcoin position and cash balance, which provides a liquidity buffer as it funds its buildout.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ most fundamentally in scale, business model, and asset exposure. Riot Platforms is a materially larger enterprise, with a multi-billion-dollar market capitalization and trailing twelve-month revenue measured in the hundreds of millions, whereas Bit Digital operates at a smaller scale with a market capitalization in the hundreds of millions. Riot's core remains Bitcoin mining, complemented by an emerging AI hosting business, while Bit Digital's value is increasingly tied to its ETH treasury and its WhiteFiber stake rather than mining operations.
On growth drivers, Riot's trajectory hinges on converting its substantial AI lease into revenue and refinancing its bridge debt, while Bit Digital's outlook depends on data center ramp timing, ETH price stability, and closing the gap between its share price and the estimated value of its holdings. Risk profiles also diverge: Bit Digital carries higher short interest and concentration risk around a single crypto asset and a majority-owned subsidiary, whereas Riot faces execution and financing risk around a large infrastructure buildout. In terms of relative performance and market sentiment, both stocks have been weak recently, but Riot's greater liquidity, broader revenue base, and larger cash and Bitcoin reserves generally provide a more diversified footing than Bit Digital's more concentrated, treasury-centric model.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, balance-sheet stability, and the presence of identifiable near-term catalysts, Tickeron's AI framework currently leans toward RIOT (Riot Platforms) over BTBT (Bit Digital). Riot's larger scale, greater liquidity, and diversified revenue streams tend to correspond with more stable market positioning, while its multi-billion-dollar AI lease represents a defined, if not yet realized, catalyst. Bit Digital offers a differentiated and potentially higher-upside profile through its ETH treasury and WhiteFiber stake, but that profile also carries greater concentration risk and a wider valuation disconnect. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive: relative positioning can shift quickly with changes in digital-asset prices, financing outcomes, and data center execution.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BTBT is a Hold and RIOT is a Buy.
BTBT in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026
BTBT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 34 of 37 cases where BTBT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BTBT's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 28 of 35 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTBT just turned positive on November 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where BTBT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Following a +11.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BTBT advanced for three days, in 217 of 250 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
BTBT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BTBT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BTBT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
The Aroon Indicator for BTBT entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 64 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.685) is normal, around the industry mean (3.120). P/E Ratio (-0.873) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.734). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (8.976) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.852) is also within normal values, averaging (16.899).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BTBT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BTBT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
RIOT's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for RIOT moved out of oversold territory on November 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 29 of the 32 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RIOT as a result. In 73 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RIOT just turned positive on November 03, 2026. Looking at past instances where RIOT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Following a +8.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RIOT advanced for three days, in 241 of 272 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for RIOT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
The 50-day moving average for RIOT moved below the 200-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RIOT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
RIOT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for RIOT entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RIOT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.860) is normal, around the industry mean (3.120). P/E Ratio (-4.352) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.734). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.800) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.239) settles around the average of (8.976) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.504) is also within normal values, averaging (16.899).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RIOT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
BTBT | RIOT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 52 | 39 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 64 Fair valued | 88 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 98 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 91 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 98 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BTBT's Valuation (64) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as RIOT (88) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that BTBT’s stock grew similarly to RIOT’s over the last 12 months.
BTBT's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as RIOT (100) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that BTBT’s stock grew similarly to RIOT’s over the last 12 months.
BTBT's SMR Rating (98) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as RIOT (98) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that BTBT’s stock grew similarly to RIOT’s over the last 12 months.
RIOT's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Financial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as BTBT (91) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry. This means that RIOT’s stock grew similarly to BTBT’s over the last 12 months.
RIOT's P/E Growth Rating (98) in the Financial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as BTBT (98) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry. This means that RIOT’s stock grew similarly to BTBT’s over the last 12 months.
| BTBT | RIOT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 90% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 87% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 87% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 89% | 10 days ago 87% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BTBT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while RIOT’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- BTBT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RIOT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BTBT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RIOT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BTBT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RIOT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BTBT (@Investment Banks/Brokers) experienced а -13.72% price change this week, while RIOT (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was +28.96% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -3.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.39%, and the average quarterly price growth was -23.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
BTBT is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
RIOT is expected to report earnings on Mar 03, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-3.40% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
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BTBT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BTBT has been closely correlated with CLSK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BTBT jumps, then CLSK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BTBT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTBT | 100% | -7.38% | ||
| CLSK - BTBT | 80% Closely correlated | -4.92% | ||
| MARA - BTBT | 76% Closely correlated | +10.54% | ||
| RIOT - BTBT | 76% Closely correlated | +2.38% | ||
| HIVE - BTBT | 76% Closely correlated | -4.97% | ||
| GLXY - BTBT | 76% Closely correlated | -2.76% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
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| PUI | 44.04 | 0.09 | +0.20% |
| Invesco Dorsey Wright Utilities Momentum ETF (PUI) | |||
| LVHI | 43.60 | 0.06 | +0.14% |
| Franklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF (LVHI) | |||
| ELM | 29.04 | -0.09 | -0.32% |
| Elm Market Navigator ETF (ELM) | |||
| CATF | 49.05 | -0.17 | -0.34% |
| American Century California Municipal Bond ETF (CATF) | |||
| BGRO | 38.28 | -0.36 | -0.94% |
| iShares Large Cap Growth Active ETF (BGRO) | |||