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BXC vs WSO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BlueLinx Holdings (BXC) vs. Watsco (WSO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- WSO delivers strong year-to-date (YTD) performance of approximately 33%, significantly outperforming BXC's 5% gain amid broader market volatility.
- WSO's market capitalization exceeds $17 billion, dwarfing BXC's under $500 million, reflecting greater scale and investor confidence.
- Both stocks operate as distributors in construction-related sectors, but WSO benefits from HVAC demand tied to replacement cycles, while BXC faces pressure from flat building product sales.
- BXC trades at a deeply discounted forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7, versus WSO's premium 33, appealing to value-oriented traders.
- Recent momentum favors WSO with dividend hikes, while BXC shows higher debt levels and margin challenges.
Introduction
BlueLinx Holdings (BXC) and Watsco (WSO) are key players in distribution, serving construction and home improvement markets. BXC focuses on building products like lumber and siding, while WSO specializes in HVAC/R equipment. This stock comparison analyzes their relative performance, valuation, and market positioning in recent market activity. Traders seeking exposure to cyclical sectors and investors evaluating distributor resilience will find insights into momentum, risks, and growth drivers amid housing trends and economic shifts.
BXC Overview and Recent Performance
BlueLinx Holdings Inc. (BXC) distributes specialty and structural building products, including engineered wood, siding, and lumber, primarily to dealers and home centers across the U.S. In recent quarters, the company reported full-year 2025 net sales of $3 billion, flat year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) of $83 million at a 2.8% margin. Shares have exhibited volatility in recent weeks, trading around $58 after peaking near $88 in the past year, influenced by subdued demand in residential construction and softer pricing. Sentiment reflects caution due to quarterly losses and elevated debt-to-equity at 109%, though a forward P/E of 7 suggests value potential. Recent market activity shows an 18% monthly gain, buoyed by analyst buy ratings.
WSO Overview and Recent Performance
Watsco Inc. (WSO) is a leading distributor of HVAC/R equipment, parts, and supplies, serving contractors in replacement and new construction markets across the Americas. Recent quarterly results showed Q4 2025 revenue of $1.58 billion and EPS of $1.68, missing estimates slightly, yet full-year trends support steady operations with TTM revenue near $7.24 billion. Shares have surged over 30% YTD to around $441, within a 52-week range of $323-$496, driven by a dividend increase to $3.30 quarterly and resilient demand for energy-efficient systems. Performance in recent market activity reflects positive momentum despite some pullbacks, with strong return on equity (ROE) at 19% bolstering investor sentiment. Upcoming Q1 earnings are anticipated to provide further clarity.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both BXC and WSO thrive as asset-light distributors tied to construction cycles, but diverge in scale and focus: BXC emphasizes structural materials vulnerable to housing slowdowns, while WSO leverages stable HVAC replacements. Growth drivers favor WSO's international reach and parts revenue, contrasting BXC's domestic flat sales. Recent momentum tilts to WSO with superior YTD returns and lower debt/equity (15% vs. 109%), though BXC offers cheaper multiples (P/S 0.16 vs. 2.31). Risks include commodity pricing for BXC and seasonal sales for WSO; sentiment leans positive for WSO amid dividend appeal.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor WSO over BXC, citing superior trend consistency, YTD momentum exceeding 30%, robust ROE, and reliable catalysts like dividend growth. BXC's value pricing and recent upticks present contrarian appeal, but higher volatility and debt temper probability of near-term outperformance. This positioning reflects observable stability in HVAC distribution versus building products exposure.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BXC is a Hold and WSO is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BXC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileWSO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BXC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WSO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BXC’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WSO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BXC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- WSO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BXC (@Electronics Distributors) experienced а +4.15% price change this week, while WSO (@Electronics Distributors) price change was +2.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronics Distributors industry was +3.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.99%.
Reported Earning Dates
BXC is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
WSO is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronics Distributors (+3.22% weekly)Electronics distributors are companies that are involved in distribution of one or more of the following: electronic components, computer products/ peripherals and software products & services. Several electronics distributors are also becoming the point of contact for technical/pre- & post-sale support in many cases, in an attempt to bolster their position in the market. Tariffs and/or cross-border trade barriers are some of the potential threats to the electronics supply chain, but that could also potentially lead to re-directing to markets where tariffs/restrictions are lower depending on demand. The industry is also vulnerable in the event of economic slowdowns. Arrow Electronics, Inc., SYNNEX Corporation and Versum Materials, Inc. are some of the major electronics distributors in the U.S.
| BXC | WSO | BXC / WSO | |
| Capitalization | 448M | 16.2B | 3% |
| EBITDA | 69M | 734M | 9% |
| Gain YTD | -11.444 | 15.903 | -72% |
| P/E Ratio | 2309.50 | 32.90 | 7,020% |
| Revenue | 2.98B | 7.24B | 41% |
| Total Cash | 319M | 593M | 54% |
| Total Debt | 667M | 486M | 137% |
BXC | WSO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 93 Overvalued | 18 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 96 | 61 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 52 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 51 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
WSO's Valuation (18) in the Building Products industry is significantly better than the same rating for BXC (93) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that WSO’s stock grew significantly faster than BXC’s over the last 12 months.
WSO's Profit vs Risk Rating (61) in the Building Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BXC (96) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that WSO’s stock grew somewhat faster than BXC’s over the last 12 months.
WSO's SMR Rating (52) in the Building Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BXC (92) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that WSO’s stock grew somewhat faster than BXC’s over the last 12 months.
BXC's Price Growth Rating (54) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as WSO (55) in the Building Products industry. This means that BXC’s stock grew similarly to WSO’s over the last 12 months.
BXC's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for WSO (51) in the Building Products industry. This means that BXC’s stock grew somewhat faster than WSO’s over the last 12 months.
| BXC | WSO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 87% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 22 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 55% |
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BXC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BXC has been closely correlated with LPX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BXC jumps, then LPX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BXC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BXC | 100% | -1.32% | ||
| LPX - BXC | 77% Closely correlated | -2.65% | ||
| BLDR - BXC | 76% Closely correlated | -3.30% | ||
| ROCK - BXC | 71% Closely correlated | -2.29% | ||
| FBIN - BXC | 70% Closely correlated | -4.47% | ||
| OC - BXC | 67% Closely correlated | -3.58% | ||
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WSO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WSO has been loosely correlated with AIT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WSO jumps, then AIT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WSO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSO | 100% | -1.22% | ||
| AIT - WSO | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.70% | ||
| FERG - WSO | 54% Loosely correlated | -2.21% | ||
| POOL - WSO | 46% Loosely correlated | -1.89% | ||
| MSM - WSO | 46% Loosely correlated | -1.79% | ||
| BXC - WSO | 46% Loosely correlated | -1.32% | ||
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