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CAT vs DE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) vs. Deere & Company (DE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) delivered stronger recent revenue growth, with first-quarter 2026 sales rising 22% year-over-year to $17.4 billion, driven by power generation demand.
- Deere & Company (DE) reported more modest performance amid agricultural cycle pressures, with analysts projecting an EPS decline for the upcoming quarter while noting signs of stabilization in construction segments.
- Year-to-date returns favor CAT significantly over DE, reflecting divergent sector exposures and momentum in infrastructure versus agriculture markets.
- Both companies maintain solid backlogs and cash deployment strategies, yet CAT benefits from broader industrial tailwinds while DE focuses on precision agriculture and cost management.
- Market sentiment has shifted positively for heavy machinery stocks in recent weeks, though relative performance highlights trade-offs between energy-related growth and farm-equipment recovery.
- Valuation metrics and analyst targets suggest CAT holds a slight edge in long-term positioning based on current trend consistency.
Introduction
This comparison examines Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) and Deere & Company (DE), two leading industrial equipment manufacturers with overlapping yet distinct market exposures. CAT specializes in construction, mining, and power systems, while DE focuses primarily on agricultural machinery and forestry equipment. The analysis targets traders and investors seeking to understand relative performance, sector dynamics, and positioning in the current market environment. Professionals monitoring industrial cyclical trends, earnings momentum, and macroeconomic influences on heavy machinery will find this relevant for portfolio allocation decisions.
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Overview and Recent Performance
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) is a global leader in construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, and industrial power systems. In recent market activity, the stock has benefited from robust demand in power generation, particularly for data center infrastructure, contributing to first-quarter 2026 sales and revenues of $17.4 billion, a 22% increase from the prior year. Adjusted profit per share reached $5.54, exceeding expectations. Record backlog levels have supported positive sentiment, with the company deploying substantial cash for share repurchases and dividends. Recent weeks have seen fluctuations around elevated price levels amid broader market volatility, yet underlying volume growth and favorable pricing have sustained relative strength.
Deere & Company (DE) Overview and Recent Performance
Deere & Company (DE) designs and manufactures agricultural, construction, and forestry equipment, with a strong emphasis on precision technology solutions. Recent performance reflects ongoing adjustments in the agricultural cycle, with the company positioning 2026 as a potential bottoming point. First-quarter results showed mixed outcomes, including revenue growth in construction and small agriculture segments, prompting management to raise full-year guidance in prior reporting. Analysts anticipate an EPS decline for the upcoming quarter amid production cost pressures. In recent weeks, the stock has traded with moderate gains, supported by signs of stabilization in key end markets and ongoing focus on cost efficiencies and product innovation.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) and Deere & Company (DE) operate in the industrial machinery sector but differ in primary growth drivers. CAT maintains broader exposure to infrastructure, mining, and power generation, enabling stronger recent momentum from data center buildouts and energy demand. In contrast, DE remains more tied to agricultural cycles, where recovery signals coexist with ongoing volume pressures and cost management efforts. Recent relative performance shows CAT outpacing DE on a year-to-date basis, reflecting divergent sector tailwinds. Risk factors include tariff exposure and inventory dynamics for both, though CAT benefits from a larger backlog cushion. Market sentiment favors stability in construction-related segments for CAT, while DE investors monitor farm income trends and precision agriculture adoption for longer-term positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative sector positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of outperformance to Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). Stronger volume growth in power generation and infrastructure segments, combined with a record backlog, provide more stable catalysts compared with agricultural cycle uncertainties affecting Deere & Company (DE). This assessment reflects probabilistic evaluation of recent performance patterns rather than definitive forecasts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAT is a Hold and DE is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAT’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileDE’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CAT’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- DE’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DE’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- DE’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CAT (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а +9.46% price change this week, while DE (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was +4.02% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was +1.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.85%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.44%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
DE is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (+1.31% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| CAT | DE | CAT / DE | |
| Capitalization | 471B | 162B | 291% |
| EBITDA | 15B | 11.5B | 130% |
| Gain YTD | 79.207 | 28.947 | 274% |
| P/E Ratio | 50.91 | 33.91 | 150% |
| Revenue | 70.8B | 46.3B | 153% |
| Total Cash | 4.07B | 9.34B | 44% |
| Total Debt | 43.1B | 64.2B | 67% |
CAT | DE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 30 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 40 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 2 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 47 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 28 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 25 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DE's Valuation (40) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CAT (83). This means that DE’s stock grew somewhat faster than CAT’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (25). This means that CAT’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's SMR Rating (19) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (47). This means that CAT’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (28). This means that CAT’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (25). This means that CAT’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
| CAT | DE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 58% | 16 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 56% |
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CAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAT has been loosely correlated with TEX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CAT jumps, then TEX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAT | 100% | +3.70% | ||
| TEX - CAT | 60% Loosely correlated | +3.17% | ||
| CNH - CAT | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| ASTE - CAT | 54% Loosely correlated | +3.05% | ||
| MTW - CAT | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.61% | ||
| CMCO - CAT | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.88% | ||
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DE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DE has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DE jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.