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CAT vs DE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) vs. Deere & Company (DE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CAT has delivered significantly stronger year-to-date returns compared to DE, driven by infrastructure and mining demand.
- Caterpillar Inc. reported robust Q1 2026 results with 22% sales growth and maintains a record backlog supporting momentum.
- Deere & Company posted solid Q2 earnings beats but faces recent pressure from an FTC settlement on right-to-repair issues.
- CAT benefits from diversified exposure including data centers and energy transition, while DE remains more tied to agricultural cycles.
- Both companies have announced dividend increases and share repurchase programs in recent months.
- Relative performance shows CAT outperforming in the industrial machinery sector amid broader market conditions.
Introduction
This comparison examines CAT and DE, two leading manufacturers of heavy equipment. Caterpillar Inc. focuses on construction, mining, and industrial machinery, while Deere & Company specializes in agricultural, forestry, and construction equipment with precision technology. The analysis is relevant for traders and investors seeking insights into relative performance, sector-specific drivers, and market positioning within the industrial goods space. It highlights observable differences in business exposure, recent momentum, and risk factors to support informed evaluation of these stocks in the current environment.
CAT Overview and Recent Performance
Caterpillar Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, and related services. In recent market activity, the stock has shown strong upward momentum, with year-to-date gains exceeding 60% amid robust demand for infrastructure projects and mining operations. First-quarter 2026 results reflected 22% sales growth to $17.4 billion, supported by higher volumes and price realization, alongside a record backlog. Recent developments include the acquisition of Skycatch to enhance mining technology capabilities and an 8% dividend increase, alongside ongoing share repurchases. Sentiment has been influenced by exposure to data center construction and energy transition themes, though some short positions have referenced valuation concerns tied to broader technology trends.
DE Overview and Recent Performance
Deere & Company produces agricultural, construction, and forestry equipment, with a growing emphasis on precision agriculture technology and connected solutions. In recent market activity, the stock has posted more moderate gains, with year-to-date returns around 30%, reflecting steadier but less pronounced momentum compared to broader industrials. Second-quarter results demonstrated earnings and revenue beats, aided by technology adoption and operational efficiencies, while the company raised full-year guidance and authorized additional share repurchases. Recent developments include a quarterly dividend declaration and a settlement with the FTC addressing right-to-repair allegations. Performance has been shaped by agricultural market conditions and tariff-related support, with some short-term pressure observed following the regulatory resolution.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Caterpillar Inc. operates a more diversified model across construction, mining, and engines, offering broader exposure to infrastructure spending and industrial cycles, whereas Deere & Company maintains heavier concentration in agricultural equipment with complementary construction lines. Growth drivers for CAT include mining technology advancements and data center demand, contrasting with DE’s focus on precision farming and operational efficiencies. Recent momentum favors CAT with stronger returns and backlog visibility, while DE shows resilience through earnings beats but greater sensitivity to farm economics. Risk factors for CAT include valuation scrutiny amid technology hype, whereas DE contends with regulatory and cyclical agricultural pressures. Market sentiment reflects CAT’s outperformance in the current industrial environment.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, backlog strength, and relative sector positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of outperformance to Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) over the near term. The company’s diversified catalysts and recent performance metrics provide a more stable foundation in prevailing market conditions compared to Deere & Company’s agricultural-centric exposure.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAT is a Hold and DE is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAT’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileDE’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CAT’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- DE’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAT’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DE’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CAT (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -0.72% price change this week, while DE (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -3.18% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was +1.84%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
DE is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (+1.84% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| CAT | DE | CAT / DE | |
| Capitalization | 430B | 158B | 272% |
| EBITDA | 15B | 11.5B | 130% |
| Gain YTD | 63.616 | 26.217 | 243% |
| P/E Ratio | 46.48 | 33.11 | 140% |
| Revenue | 70.8B | 46.3B | 153% |
| Total Cash | 4.07B | 9.34B | 44% |
| Total Debt | 43.1B | 64.2B | 67% |
CAT | DE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 65 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 26 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 2 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 47 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 25 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DE's Valuation (26) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CAT (82). This means that DE’s stock grew somewhat faster than CAT’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (24). This means that CAT’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's SMR Rating (20) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (47). This means that CAT’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Price Growth Rating (4) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DE (49). This means that CAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than DE’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (25). This means that CAT’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
| CAT | DE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 73% | 16 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 61% |
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