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CMS vs ED
Which Stock Would AI Choose? CMS Energy (CMS) vs. Consolidated Edison (ED) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CMS is a Michigan-focused regulated utility with a consensus "Buy" rating and a market capitalization near $21 billion.
- ED is a New York-centric utility more than twice the size of CMS, with a consensus "Hold" rating and market cap near $40 billion.
- CMS offers a faster guided earnings growth rate of 6%–8% annually, while ED is reaffirming a more moderate earnings outlook.
- ED has leaned on a $2 billion at-the-market equity program, whereas CMS has moved to concentrate earnings on its regulated Michigan rate base.
- Recent momentum, analyst conviction, and relative valuation currently tilt slightly toward CMS, although ED offers scale and defensive diversification.
Introduction
Utilities occupy a distinct corner of the equity market: they are capital-intensive, heavily regulated, and prized by investors seeking predictable dividends rather than rapid price appreciation. This stock comparison examines two established names from that space — CMS (CMS Energy Corporation) and ED (Consolidated Edison, Inc.). Both operate regulated electric and gas businesses, yet they serve very different geographies and pursue different growth strategies. Income-oriented investors, defensive allocators, and traders monitoring sector rotation may find the relative performance and market positioning of these two stocks instructive as interest-rate expectations and electricity demand continue to shape utility valuations.
CMS Overview and Recent Performance
CMS (CMS Energy) is headquartered in Michigan and operates primarily through its subsidiary Consumers Energy, serving roughly 1.9 million electric and 1.8 million natural gas customers. The company has increasingly focused its strategy on its regulated utility operations, announcing plans to exit non-utility renewable development and redeploy capital into Michigan rate-base projects. This shift is intended to concentrate earnings on predictable, regulated assets.
In recent weeks, CMS shares have traded in the high-$60s range, with the stock easing from higher levels while longer-term holders retain meaningful gains. A special investor call in early October drew fresh attention to the company's funding plans and earnings profile. Management has reaffirmed full-year adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance and introduced 2027 guidance consistent with its 6%–8% long-term growth range. Analysts broadly maintain a "Buy" consensus, with an average price target near $76, implying double-digit upside from recent prices. A modest pullback in momentum has been offset by solid profitability and valuation metrics.
ED Overview and Recent Performance
ED (Consolidated Edison) is a New York–based holding company serving New York City, Westchester County, and parts of New Jersey through its regulated utilities CECONY and Orange & Rockland. It is among the largest U.S. utilities by customer base and a key enabler of New York's electrification and grid-resilience goals. Recent developments include approval of the Propel NY electric transmission project and a $2 billion at-the-market (ATM) equity offering program to fund infrastructure investment.
ED shares have traded around the $106–$112 range in recent months, reflecting steady but restrained sentiment. The company reported first-quarter revenue above expectations while adjusted EPS came in slightly below consensus, and it has reaffirmed full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $6.00–$6.20. Analyst opinion remains more divided than for CMS, with a consensus "Hold" rating and an average price target near the current share price. Notably, Wells Fargo upgraded ED to "Overweight" in early October, citing its defensive diversification away from the broader AI trade and relative insulation from election-related risk.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two names is scale and geography. ED operates in one of the most densely populated, economically significant markets in the country, giving it a large and stable customer base but exposing it to a historically demanding regulatory environment. CMS operates in Michigan, a market often cited for a comparatively constructive regulatory backdrop, and is deliberately concentrating its earnings on regulated rate base.
Growth dynamics also diverge. CMS targets EPS growth toward the high end of a 6%–8% range, supported by a multi-year capital plan of roughly $24 billion for 2026–2030. ED's growth is steadier but more moderate, funded partly through equity issuance that can weigh on per-share metrics. On valuation and analyst sentiment, CMS currently screens more favorably: it carries a "Buy" consensus with notable upside to average targets, while ED's "Hold" consensus and target near the current price reflect more cautious positioning. Both offer dividend yields near 3%, but CMS's faster earnings growth and higher analyst conviction have underpinned stronger relative performance in recent trading.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward CMS in the current environment. The stock combines a more constructive analyst consensus, a faster guided earnings growth rate, and a strategy that concentrates earnings on predictable regulated assets — qualities that tend to support trend consistency and stability. ED offers scale and defensive appeal, but its moderate growth, mixed analyst ratings, and equity-funded capital program present slightly weaker relative momentum. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive: sector-level shifts in interest rates, regulatory decisions, or weather-driven demand could alter the balance between the two names at any time.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMS is a Buy and ED is a Buy.
CMS in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026
The 10-day moving average for CMS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CMS as a result. In 39 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CMS just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where CMS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
CMS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.77% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMS advanced for three days, in 168 of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 105 of 260 cases where CMS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 40%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CMS moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 12 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 39%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 25 of 69 cases where CMS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 36%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.
CMS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 51, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CMS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.302) is normal, around the industry mean (2.063). P/E Ratio (21.051) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.917). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.257) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.291) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
ED's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ED turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where ED's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ED as a result. In 38 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
ED moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ED crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +2.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ED advanced for three days, in 169 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 128 of 295 cases where ED Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 43%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 17 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for ED moved below the 200-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ED declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 43%.
ED broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 51, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ED’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 51 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.677) is normal, around the industry mean (2.063). P/E Ratio (19.121) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.917). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.034) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.171) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
CMS | ED | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 51 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 10 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 66 | 75 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 29 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 36 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ED's Valuation (51) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (75). This means that ED’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
ED's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CMS (44). This means that ED’s stock grew somewhat faster than CMS’s over the last 12 months.
CMS's SMR Rating (66) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as ED (75). This means that CMS’s stock grew similarly to ED’s over the last 12 months.
ED's Price Growth Rating (29) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (48). This means that ED’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
ED's P/E Growth Rating (36) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (46). This means that ED’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
| CMS | ED | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 39% | 3 days ago 46% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 36% | 3 days ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 46% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 52% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 45% | 5 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 27% | 3 days ago 37% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 43% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMS’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while ED’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CMS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ED’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMS’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ED’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ED’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CMS (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +0.75% price change this week, while ED (@Electric Utilities) price change was +0.78% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMS is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
ED is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.47% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
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CMS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMS has been closely correlated with DTE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMS jumps, then DTE could also see price increases.
ED and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ED has been closely correlated with DUK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ED jumps, then DUK could also see price increases.