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CWST vs WM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Casella Waste Systems (CWST) vs. Waste Management (WM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CWST and WM both operate in the resilient waste management and environmental services sector, but differ significantly in scale, geographic reach, and growth trajectory.
- WM commands a dominant market position with a market capitalization exceeding $90 billion, while CWST is a nimble, regionally focused player with a market cap closer to $6 billion.
- Recent relative performance favors CWST in terms of revenue growth rate, though WM offers superior margin stability and dividend consistency.
- Both companies benefit from long-term secular tailwinds tied to sustainability, recycling infrastructure investment, and regulatory-driven demand for environmental services.
- AI-driven analysis suggests one stock currently exhibits stronger trend consistency and momentum characteristics based on observable market data.
Introduction
The waste management and environmental services industry represents a compelling corner of the market — defined by steady demand, high barriers to entry, and increasingly relevant sustainability tailwinds. Comparing CWST and WM offers investors a lens into two distinct plays within the same sector: one a fast-growing regional consolidator, the other a mature industry titan. Whether evaluating relative performance, growth prospects, or risk profiles, this stock comparison helps clarify how scale, strategy, and market positioning shape outcomes for shareholders in the current market environment.
CWST Overview and Recent Performance
CWST, or Casella Waste Systems, Inc., is a vertically integrated solid waste services company headquartered in Rutland, Vermont. The company operates primarily across the northeastern United States, providing collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling services. In recent weeks, CWST has drawn attention for its disciplined acquisition strategy — steadily expanding its landfill capacity and collection footprint through bolt-on acquisitions that deepen its regional density. This roll-up approach has supported above-industry-average organic and inorganic revenue growth.
Recent market activity has reflected optimism around Casella's operational execution and its ability to integrate acquired assets efficiently. The company's focus on resource solutions, including recycling modernization investments, has resonated with investors attuned to sustainability themes. While smaller in scale than its national peers, CWST's growth narrative and expanding margins have contributed to favorable relative performance in recent periods.
WM Overview and Recent Performance
WM, formerly known as Waste Management, Inc., is the largest comprehensive waste and environmental services company in North America. Based in Houston, Texas, WM serves millions of residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers through an expansive network of collection operations, transfer stations, landfills, and recycling facilities. With decades of operational history, WM is widely regarded as a benchmark in the sector.
In recent weeks, WM's stock performance has reflected its characteristic stability, underpinned by contractual revenue streams, pricing power, and ongoing investments in automation and fleet efficiency. The company continues to advance its sustainability platform, including renewable natural gas projects and advanced recycling infrastructure. While WM's growth rate is more modest than that of smaller competitors, its profitability metrics — including industry-leading EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) margins and consistent free cash flow generation — remain distinguishing features.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
When comparing CWST and WM side by side, several contrasts emerge. Scale and market reach represent the most obvious divergence: WM's national infrastructure and diversified customer base provide unmatched revenue visibility, while CWST's concentrated northeastern presence creates both higher growth potential and geographic risk.
Growth dynamics also differ meaningfully. CWST has consistently posted double-digit revenue growth in recent quarters, fueled by acquisitions and pricing initiatives, whereas WM generates more moderate single-digit top-line expansion. However, WM's mature operations translate into superior operating margins and stronger free cash flow conversion — attributes that support its long-running dividend growth track record.
On the risk front, CWST carries integration and leverage risks associated with its acquisition-heavy model, while WM faces regulatory scrutiny in certain markets and the challenge of maintaining growth at scale. Sector exposure is similar, with both benefiting from non-discretionary waste generation, though WM's greater exposure to industrial and energy sector customers introduces modest cyclicality. Market sentiment in recent weeks has trended more enthusiastically toward growth-oriented names, which has benefited CWST's relative price action, though WM's defensive characteristics continue to attract institutional capital seeking stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend strength, momentum characteristics, and relative positioning in the current market environment, Tickeron's AI-driven analysis would likely express a modest preference for CWST in the near term. The rationale centers on CWST's more pronounced positive trend consistency in recent weeks, supported by above-sector-average revenue growth and a steady cadence of strategic acquisitions that have reinforced its regional moat. WM remains a structurally superior business by many fundamental measures — profitability, scale, and dividend reliability — but AI models that prioritize trend persistence and momentum signals tend to favor securities exhibiting stronger directional conviction. This assessment is probabilistic in nature and reflects current observable market patterns rather than any prediction of long-term superiority.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CWST is a Hold and WM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CWST’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileWM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CWST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CWST’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CWST’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- WM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CWST (@Environmental Services) experienced а +0.63% price change this week, while WM (@Environmental Services) price change was -2.10% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Environmental Services industry was +3.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.22%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.89%.
Reported Earning Dates
CWST is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
WM is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Environmental Services (+3.76% weekly)Environmental Services includes companies that collect and dispose of hazardous and non-hazardous waste. Their services include removal of toxic waste from soil, removing medical waste etc. Some companies also operate incinerators, sewerage systems, waste treatment plants, and landfills. Demand for waste management is likely to rise with increasing urbanization/industrialization. Waste Management, Inc., Republic Services, Inc., Waste Connections, Inc. and Tetra Tech, Inc. are some of the major companies in this business.
| CWST | WM | CWST / WM | |
| Capitalization | 5.79B | 89.6B | 6% |
| EBITDA | 386M | 7.46B | 5% |
| Gain YTD | -7.055 | 2.898 | -243% |
| P/E Ratio | 1137.88 | 59.04 | 1,927% |
| Revenue | 1.88B | 25.7B | 7% |
| Total Cash | 127M | 557M | 23% |
| Total Debt | 1.24B | 23.4B | 5% |
CWST | WM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 97 Overvalued | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 22 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 34 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 45 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
WM's Valuation (39) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CWST (97). This means that WM’s stock grew somewhat faster than CWST’s over the last 12 months.
WM's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CWST (67). This means that WM’s stock grew somewhat faster than CWST’s over the last 12 months.
WM's SMR Rating (34) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CWST (91). This means that WM’s stock grew somewhat faster than CWST’s over the last 12 months.
WM's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as CWST (61). This means that WM’s stock grew similarly to CWST’s over the last 12 months.
CWST's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as WM (10). This means that CWST’s stock grew similarly to WM’s over the last 12 months.
| CWST | WM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 49% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 38% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 41% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 36% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 22 days ago 48% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 61% | 1 day ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 44% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| MAGX | 56.86 | 1.36 | +2.45% |
| Roundhill Daily 2X Lon Mag Sev ETF | |||
| SHOC | 110.07 | 1.07 | +0.99% |
| Strive U.S. Semiconductor ETF | |||
| DGRO | 80.00 | 0.16 | +0.20% |
| iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF | |||
| UFOX | 87.77 | -0.02 | -0.02% |
| Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF | |||
| GDT | 35.66 | -0.47 | -1.31% |
| WisdomTree Efficient TIPS Plus Gold Fund | |||
CWST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CWST has been loosely correlated with WM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CWST jumps, then WM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CWST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWST | 100% | +0.52% | ||
| WM - CWST | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.93% | ||
| RSG - CWST | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| GFL - CWST | 40% Loosely correlated | +1.91% | ||
| CLH - CWST | 32% Poorly correlated | +1.13% | ||
| GWAV - CWST | 9% Poorly correlated | -6.58% | ||
More | ||||
WM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WM has been closely correlated with RSG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WM jumps, then RSG could also see price increases.