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DHI vs LEN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? D.R. Horton (DHI) vs. Lennar (LEN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DHI has delivered stronger one-year returns compared to LEN, with approximately 18-20% gains versus lower double-digit or flat performance for Lennar.
- Both companies operate in the residential construction sector and face similar headwinds from elevated mortgage rates and broader macroeconomic uncertainty.
- DHI reported a strong fiscal Q2 2026 earnings result, while LEN is scheduled to release its Q2 2026 results in mid-June 2026.
- Year-to-date performance shows DHI holding relatively steady near 1.7%, while LEN has experienced more pronounced declines in some metrics.
- Analyst consensus for both stocks leans toward Hold ratings, with price targets suggesting modest upside potential from recent levels around $145 for DHI and $90 for LEN.
- DHI benefits from greater scale in certain markets and more consistent recent trend behavior according to comparative analytics.
Introduction
This comparison examines DHI and LEN, two leading U.S. homebuilders, to highlight differences in recent market positioning, performance metrics, and operational dynamics. Both companies serve the residential housing market and are sensitive to interest rates, consumer demand, and economic conditions. The analysis targets institutional investors, active traders, and portfolio managers seeking data-driven insights into relative strength within the consumer cyclical sector. It focuses on verifiable developments over recent weeks to provide a balanced view of how each stock has responded to prevailing market environments.
D.R. Horton (DHI) Overview and Recent Performance
D.R. Horton, Inc. is the largest U.S. homebuilder by volume, operating across numerous markets with a focus on entry-level and move-up homes. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near $145.60, reflecting a modest decline from its 52-week high while maintaining positive one-year returns of approximately 18-20%. Performance has been influenced by a strong fiscal second-quarter 2026 earnings report, though shares have underperformed broader indexes amid concerns over mortgage rates and housing affordability. Year-to-date returns stand around 1.7%, supported by operational scale and cost management initiatives. Upcoming earnings scheduled for July 2026 will provide further clarity on revenue and margin trends in a challenging interest-rate environment.
Lennar (LEN) Overview and Recent Performance
Lennar Corporation ranks among the top U.S. homebuilders, emphasizing affordable housing and integrated financial services. Recent trading has placed the stock near $90.49, with year-to-date performance showing variability across metrics and one-year returns in the mid-teens or lower. The company is set to report second-quarter 2026 results in mid-June, following earlier earnings that highlighted share repurchases and order trends. Recent weeks have seen the stock respond to sector-wide pressures from elevated borrowing costs and macroeconomic signals, resulting in more pronounced short-term fluctuations compared to some peers. Operational focus remains on backlog management and market positioning in key regions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both DHI and LEN share exposure to the residential construction sector, yet differ in scale and execution emphasis. DHI maintains a larger operational footprint across more markets, contributing to relatively steadier recent momentum and stronger one-year relative returns. LEN integrates financial services more prominently, which can introduce additional volatility tied to mortgage and investment activities. Growth drivers for both center on new orders and backlog conversion amid elevated mortgage rates, though DHI has shown more consistent trend behavior in comparative analytics. Risk factors include interest-rate sensitivity and housing demand fluctuations for each, with market sentiment reflecting caution ahead of earnings releases. Trade-offs involve DHI’s scale advantage versus LEN’s potential for differentiated service offerings.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently indicate a probabilistic preference for DHI over LEN, citing greater trend consistency, superior one-year relative performance, and robust scale in recent market positioning. Both benefit from sector tailwinds, yet DHI’s stability and execution edge suggest a higher probability of outperformance amid housing uncertainties. This assessment draws from observable technical and fundamental factors without constituting investment advice.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DHI is a StrongBuy and LEN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DHI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileLEN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DHI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- LEN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DHI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LEN’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DHI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LEN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
DHI (@Homebuilding) experienced а +5.83% price change this week, while LEN (@Homebuilding) price change was -0.21% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was +2.75%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +13.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
DHI is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
LEN is expected to report earnings on Sep 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (+2.75% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| DHI | LEN | DHI / LEN | |
| Capitalization | 43.7B | 22.2B | 197% |
| EBITDA | 4.03B | 2.41B | 167% |
| Gain YTD | 7.614 | -11.300 | -67% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.47 | 14.15 | 102% |
| Revenue | 33.3B | 33.2B | 100% |
| Total Cash | 1.92B | 2.39B | 80% |
| Total Debt | 6.63B | 5.26B | 126% |
DHI | LEN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 30 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 62 Fair valued | 89 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 56 | 94 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 63 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DHI's Valuation (62) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (89). This means that DHI’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
DHI's Profit vs Risk Rating (56) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LEN (94). This means that DHI’s stock grew somewhat faster than LEN’s over the last 12 months.
DHI's SMR Rating (63) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (79). This means that DHI’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
DHI's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (60). This means that DHI’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
LEN's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as DHI (18). This means that LEN’s stock grew similarly to DHI’s over the last 12 months.
| DHI | LEN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 66% | 6 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 63% | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 66% |
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DHI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DHI has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 92% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DHI jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.
LEN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LEN has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LEN jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.