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DOW vs OLN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dow Inc. (DOW) vs. Olin Corporation (OLN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Dow Inc. (DOW) shows stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 59%, outpacing Olin Corporation (OLN)'s 41% gain, amid a rebound from recent lows.
- Both stocks operate in the cyclical chemicals sector but exhibit volatility in recent market activity, with DOW facing pricing pressures and earnings anticipation, while OLN deals with legal charges and operational swings.
- DOW's larger market cap of $26 billion provides greater scale compared to OLN's $3.3 billion, influencing relative stability and sector exposure.
- Recent sentiment shifts for both reflect broader materials sector dynamics, including petrochemical demand and supply chain factors, with DOW showing lower beta (0.50) for reduced volatility versus OLN (1.51).
- Divergent one-year returns highlight DOW's 39% edge over OLN's 27%, driven by recovery trends in recent weeks.
Introduction
Dow Inc. (DOW) and Olin Corporation (OLN) are key players in the materials sector, particularly chemicals, making them relevant comparables for investors tracking cyclical industries. This stock comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning amid fluctuating commodity prices and economic signals. Traders seeking sector rotation opportunities or diversification within basic materials may find value in evaluating relative momentum, risk profiles, and growth drivers. With both stocks showing notable YTD gains but distinct volatility patterns, understanding these dynamics aids informed decision-making in the current environment.
DOW Overview and Recent Performance
Dow Inc. (DOW) is a global leader in materials science, producing plastics, chemicals, and agricultural products across packaging, infrastructure, and consumer sectors. Trading near $37 recently, the stock has delivered robust YTD returns of about 59% and one-year gains of 39%, rebounding sharply from 52-week lows around $20. Recent market activity reflects volatility, including a sharp pullback amid concerns over chemical pricing tailwinds fading into 2026 and anticipated Q1 losses, offset by productivity initiatives targeting $500 million in value. Sentiment has been influenced by quarterly losses, leadership shifts, and geopolitical factors affecting petrochemical demand, yet lower beta (0.50) underscores relative stability.
OLN Overview and Recent Performance
Olin Corporation (OLN) manufactures chemicals and ammunition through its Winchester division, focusing on epoxy, bleach, and defense-related products. The stock trades around $27, with YTD performance at 41% and one-year returns near 27%, recovering from lows of about $18. In recent weeks, shares have shown relative strength gains but faced pressure from Q4 losses, heavy share buybacks, and a $260 million charge from a pricing lawsuit verdict. Operational disruptions and cautious analyst views on financials have shaped sentiment, compounded by higher beta (1.51) indicating amplified market swings.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DOW boasts a diversified global model in packaging and specialty chemicals, contrasting OLN's focus on commodity chemicals and ammunition, exposing OLN to defense cyclicality. Growth drivers differ: DOW leverages scale for productivity gains, while OLN pursues buybacks amid revenue pressures. Recent momentum favors DOW's superior YTD and one-year gains, though both endure sector headwinds like pricing erosion. Risk profiles highlight DOW's lower volatility (beta 0.50) versus OLN's higher sensitivity (1.51), with DOW's larger cap offering stability. Market sentiment tilts toward DOW on rebound strength, but OLN shows pockets of relative outperformance in niche areas.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors DOW over OLN, based on trend consistency, YTD outperformance, and lower relative volatility amid chemicals sector recovery. Observable catalysts like anticipated productivity improvements bolster DOW's positioning probabilistically, though OLN's relative strength signals warrant monitoring for shifts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DOW is a Hold and OLN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DOW’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileOLN’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DOW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- OLN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DOW’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OLN’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DOW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- OLN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
DOW (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) experienced а -0.35% price change this week, while OLN (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) price change was +2.40% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was +1.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.55%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
DOW is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
OLN is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (+1.69% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
| DOW | OLN | DOW / OLN | |
| Capitalization | 24.4B | 2.86B | 853% |
| EBITDA | 1.18B | 408M | 289% |
| Gain YTD | 47.986 | 22.463 | 214% |
| P/E Ratio | 75.92 | 48.57 | 156% |
| Revenue | 39.3B | 6.72B | 585% |
| Total Cash | 3.85B | 192M | 2,006% |
| Total Debt | 19.6B | 3.31B | 592% |
DOW | OLN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 62 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 24 Undervalued | 19 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 96 | 95 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 54 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 13 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OLN's Valuation (19) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as DOW (24) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew similarly to DOW’s over the last 12 months.
OLN's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as DOW (100) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew similarly to DOW’s over the last 12 months.
OLN's SMR Rating (95) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as DOW (96) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew similarly to DOW’s over the last 12 months.
DOW's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as OLN (54) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew similarly to OLN’s over the last 12 months.
DOW's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as OLN (12) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew similarly to OLN’s over the last 12 months.
| DOW | OLN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 65% | 7 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 68% |
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DOW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DOW has been closely correlated with LYB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DOW jumps, then LYB could also see price increases.