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DVN vs MTDR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Devon Energy (DVN) vs. Matador Resources (MTDR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both DVN and MTDR have posted robust year-to-date gains in recent market activity, with MTDR advancing approximately 48% and DVN around 39%.
- DVN offers greater scale with a $31.4 billion market capitalization compared to MTDR's $7.7 billion, alongside broader U.S. basin exposure.
- MTDR trades at a lower price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 10.24 versus DVN's 12.12, suggesting relative value, while providing a higher dividend yield of 2.41%.
- Recent merger speculation with Coterra Energy has lifted DVN sentiment, alongside analyst upgrades ahead of quarterly earnings.
- MTDR's recent earnings beat and leadership promotions underscore operational strength in the Delaware Basin.
- Oil price resilience supports both stocks' momentum, though DVN's lower beta of 0.48 indicates relative stability versus MTDR's 0.91.
Introduction
Devon Energy (DVN) and Matador Resources (MTDR) are prominent independent exploration and production (E&P) companies in the U.S. oil and gas sector, with significant exposure to high-productivity shale plays. This stock comparison evaluates their business models, recent performance, and market positioning amid fluctuating energy prices and sector tailwinds. Traders seeking momentum plays and long-term investors eyeing dividend yields or growth potential in the Permian and other basins will find these insights valuable for assessing relative performance and sector dynamics.
DVN Overview and Recent Performance
Devon Energy Corporation is an independent energy firm engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids across key U.S. basins, including the Delaware Basin, Eagle Ford, Anadarko, Williston, and Powder River. In recent market activity, DVN shares have risen sharply, with year-to-date gains near 39% and one-year returns exceeding 66%, trading around $50.56 near its 52-week high of $52.71. Sentiment has been buoyed by speculation of a merger with Coterra Energy, analyst upgrades, and upward revisions to earnings estimates ahead of first-quarter results. Strong free cash flow generation of $2.12 billion trailing twelve months (TTM) and a focus on capital discipline have supported performance amid volatile oil prices.
MTDR Overview and Recent Performance
Matador Resources Company focuses on oil and natural gas acquisition, exploration, development, and production, primarily in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays of the Delaware Basin and Haynesville shale, complemented by a midstream segment for gathering and processing. Over recent weeks, MTDR stock has shown solid momentum, up about 48% year-to-date and 59% over the past year, closing near $62.36 within its 52-week range of $37.14 to $66.84. Key drivers include a fourth-quarter earnings beat, quarterly dividend declaration, and recent leadership promotions emphasizing capital discipline. Despite oil price dips impacting shares occasionally, robust profit margins of 20.76% TTM and production growth projections have sustained positive sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both DVN and MTDR operate as E&P (exploration and production) firms with heavy Delaware Basin weighting, but DVN's larger scale and multi-basin portfolio provide diversification against regional risks, while MTDR's midstream assets offer integrated revenue streams. Growth drivers include production efficiencies and acquisitions, with MTDR emphasizing Haynesville gas potential amid LNG demand. Recent momentum favors MTDR's higher YTD returns, though DVN shows steadier trends with lower volatility (beta 0.48 vs. 0.91). Risk factors are similar—commodity price swings and regulatory shifts—but DVN's debt-to-equity ratio aligns closely at 56% versus MTDR's 59%. Market sentiment leans positive for both, fueled by oil resilience, yet DVN benefits from M&A (mergers and acquisitions) buzz.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor DVN over MTDR in this matchup, citing its superior trend consistency, lower volatility, substantial free cash flow, and emerging catalysts like potential consolidation. While MTDR's valuation edge and growth metrics are compelling, DVN's scale and positioning suggest higher probability of outperformance in the near term amid sector rotation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DVN is a Hold and MTDR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DVN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMTDR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DVN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MTDR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DVN’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTDR’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DVN’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MTDR’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DVN (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -1.10% price change this week, while MTDR (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -1.40% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -1.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.55%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.59%.
Reported Earning Dates
DVN is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
MTDR is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-1.16% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| DVN | MTDR | DVN / MTDR | |
| Capitalization | 49.7B | 6.29B | 790% |
| EBITDA | 7.06B | 2.09B | 338% |
| Gain YTD | 18.981 | 21.095 | 90% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.99 | 13.06 | 92% |
| Revenue | 16.5B | 3.59B | 459% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 30.5M | - |
| Total Debt | 8.59B | 3.57B | 241% |
DVN | MTDR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 55 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 37 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 60 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 57 | 76 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTDR's Valuation (37) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DVN (71). This means that MTDR’s stock grew somewhat faster than DVN’s over the last 12 months.
MTDR's Profit vs Risk Rating (60) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (66). This means that MTDR’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
DVN's SMR Rating (57) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MTDR (76). This means that DVN’s stock grew similarly to MTDR’s over the last 12 months.
DVN's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MTDR (62). This means that DVN’s stock grew similarly to MTDR’s over the last 12 months.
MTDR's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (16). This means that MTDR’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
| DVN | MTDR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 69% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 67% | 6 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 62% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| DVXE | 35.51 | 0.53 | +1.51% |
| WEBs Energy XLE Defined Volatility ETF | |||
| OCIO | 38.06 | 0.03 | +0.07% |
| ClearShares OCIO ETF | |||
| PNOV | 44.24 | -0.05 | -0.11% |
| Innovator US Equity Power Buffer ETF Nov | |||
| BND | 73.14 | -0.20 | -0.27% |
| Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | |||
| SCLZ | 56.12 | -0.28 | -0.49% |
| Swan Enhanced Dividend Income ETF | |||