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DVN vs MTDR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Devon Energy (DVN) vs. Matador Resources (MTDR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DVN and MTDR are both independent oil and gas exploration and production companies with significant exposure to U.S. shale basins.
- DVN has demonstrated stronger year-to-date total returns compared to broader market benchmarks in recent market activity.
- Both stocks are influenced by commodity price fluctuations, with upcoming earnings reports serving as near-term catalysts for DVN.
- MTDR maintains a more concentrated asset base, potentially offering higher operational leverage but also greater single-basin risk.
- Market sentiment for the sector remains tied to energy demand trends and production discipline among peers.
- Relative performance has shown divergence in volatility measures over recent weeks.
Introduction
Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) and Matador Resources Company (MTDR) represent two mid-sized players in the U.S. energy exploration and production sector. Investors and traders often compare these names when evaluating opportunities in oil and natural gas equities, particularly those seeking exposure to domestic shale resources. This analysis examines their business profiles, recent stock behavior, and relative positioning to assist portfolio managers and active traders in understanding key differences. The comparison focuses on observable metrics and developments without projecting future outcomes.
DVN Overview and Recent Performance
Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) is a diversified energy producer with operations spanning multiple U.S. basins. In recent market activity, the stock has posted solid year-to-date gains amid broader energy sector movements. Performance over recent weeks has reflected sensitivity to crude oil price trends and inventory data. The company is scheduled to release second-quarter 2026 earnings shortly, which market participants typically monitor for updates on production volumes and capital allocation. Sentiment has been supported by the firm’s scale and diversified asset portfolio, though it remains subject to commodity volatility common to the sector.
MTDR Overview and Recent Performance
Matador Resources Company (MTDR) operates primarily as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company with a focus on the Permian Basin. Recent stock behavior has aligned with sector-wide responses to energy prices and operational updates. Over recent weeks, the shares have experienced typical fluctuations associated with smaller-cap energy names. The company’s performance reflects its asset concentration, which can amplify both upside from successful drilling and downside from localized challenges. Broader market activity in the energy space continues to shape sentiment around MTDR, consistent with peers in the independent producer group.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DVN operates with greater geographic diversification across multiple basins, while MTDR maintains higher concentration in the Permian, creating different risk-return profiles. Business models overlap in upstream production but differ in scale, with DVN generally exhibiting larger enterprise value and broader analyst coverage. Recent momentum has favored DVN in total return terms relative to market benchmarks, though both remain exposed to oil and gas price swings. Risk factors include regulatory changes and capital expenditure requirements for DVN, versus operational leverage and basin-specific events for MTDR. Sector exposure is comparable, yet market sentiment often differentiates them based on earnings visibility and debt metrics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in recent market activity, scale-related stability, and positioning ahead of earnings, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a probabilistic preference toward DVN over MTDR for relative strength considerations. This assessment reflects broader data patterns rather than definitive signals and remains subject to ongoing market developments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DVN is a Hold and MTDR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DVN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMTDR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DVN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MTDR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DVN’s TA Score shows that 8 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTDR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DVN’s TA Score: 8 bullish, 2 bearish.
- MTDR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DVN (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +3.26% price change this week, while MTDR (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was +5.81% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -1.03%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.02%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.02%.
Reported Earning Dates
DVN is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
MTDR is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-1.03% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| DVN | MTDR | DVN / MTDR | |
| Capitalization | 50.8B | 6.06B | 838% |
| EBITDA | 7.06B | 2.09B | 338% |
| Gain YTD | 21.744 | 16.649 | 131% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.27 | 12.58 | 98% |
| Revenue | 16.5B | 3.59B | 459% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 30.5M | - |
| Total Debt | 8.59B | 3.57B | 241% |
DVN | MTDR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 62 Fair valued | 38 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 69 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 57 | 76 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTDR's Valuation (38) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (62). This means that MTDR’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
DVN's Profit vs Risk Rating (68) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MTDR (69). This means that DVN’s stock grew similarly to MTDR’s over the last 12 months.
DVN's SMR Rating (57) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MTDR (76). This means that DVN’s stock grew similarly to MTDR’s over the last 12 months.
DVN's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MTDR (60). This means that DVN’s stock grew similarly to MTDR’s over the last 12 months.
MTDR's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (14). This means that MTDR’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
| DVN | MTDR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 70% | 15 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 75% |
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DVN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DVN has been closely correlated with CHRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DVN jumps, then CHRD could also see price increases.
MTDR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTDR has been closely correlated with CHRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTDR jumps, then CHRD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTDR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTDR | 100% | -0.06% | ||
| CHRD - MTDR | 85% Closely correlated | -1.75% | ||
| OVV - MTDR | 82% Closely correlated | -1.83% | ||
| PR - MTDR | 82% Closely correlated | -1.91% | ||
| MGY - MTDR | 81% Closely correlated | -2.19% | ||
| DVN - MTDR | 81% Closely correlated | -1.17% | ||
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