EC
Price
$15.15
Change
-$0.49 (-3.13%)
Updated
Jun 5 closing price
Capitalization
29.81B
59 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SU
Price
$62.22
Change
-$3.25 (-4.96%)
Updated
Jun 5 closing price
Capitalization
73.73B
65 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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EC vs SU

Header iconEC vs SU Comparison
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Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) vs. Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) Stock Comparison

Key Takeaways

  • Suncor Energy (SU) has delivered superior year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 45% compared to Ecopetrol's (EC) 34% gain, driven by record production and refining throughput.
  • EC offers a higher dividend yield of 5.14% versus SU's 2.75%, appealing to income-focused investors amid volatile oil markets.
  • Both stocks have shown strong one-year returns, with SU at 90% and EC at 63%, outperforming broader benchmarks in recent market activity.
  • SU exhibits a lower debt-to-equity ratio (32%) than EC (100%), indicating relatively stronger balance sheet stability.
  • Recent credit downgrade for EC by Moody's contrasts with SU's positive Q1 results, influencing short-term sentiment.
  • Integrated operations position both for resilience, but SU's oil sands focus provides consistent output amid global energy demand.

Introduction

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) and Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) are prominent integrated energy companies in the oil and gas sector, offering exposure to exploration, production, refining, and marketing. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, financial metrics, and market positioning amid fluctuating crude prices and geopolitical tensions. Traders seeking momentum and volatility plays, alongside long-term investors focused on dividends and growth in energy demand, will find value in evaluating these peers' relative strengths in the current environment.

EC Overview and Recent Performance

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC), Colombia's largest integrated energy firm, operates across exploration and production, transport and logistics, refining, petrochemicals, and infrastructure concessions. Headquartered in Bogotá, it maintains key refineries at Barrancabermeja and Cartagena, with international presence in the U.S., Brazil, and beyond.

In recent market activity, EC shares have traded around $12.64, within a 52-week range of $8.18–$15.62. YTD gains stand at 34%, with a one-year return of 63%, bolstered by stable production despite oil price swings. Sentiment has been tempered by a Moody's downgrade to Ba2 (with negative outlook) due to fiscal pressures and policy risks in Colombia. Strategic moves, including partnerships like the $250 million deal with Parex Resources for Magdalena Basin assets and a potential stake in Brazil's Brava Energia, aim to diversify output. A trailing P/E of 9.3 and ROE of 11.8% reflect value, though quarterly revenue dipped 17% year-over-year amid higher royalties and refining margins.

SU Overview and Recent Performance

Suncor Energy Inc. (SU), based in Calgary, Canada, is a fully integrated energy company spanning oil sands mining and in-situ production, offshore exploration, refining, and marketing through its Petro-Canada network. It focuses on bitumen extraction from the Athabasca region, with operations in the U.S. and international assets.

Recent weeks have seen SU shares near $64, in a 52-week span of $34.67–$70.29. YTD performance reaches 45%, with a one-year surge of 90%, fueled by record Q1 2026 production and $2.1 billion in earnings. Strong refining throughput and upstream efficiency have driven 18% quarterly revenue growth and 24% EPS improvement. The stock's lower beta of 0.59 signals reduced volatility, supported by a debt-to-equity ratio of 32% and ROE of 14%. Dividend declarations and buyback increases underscore shareholder focus, with positive analyst sentiment amid sustained oil sands output.

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Head-to-Head Comparison

Both EC and SU operate integrated models, blending upstream production with downstream refining to hedge commodity risks, but differ in geographic focus: EC's Latin American emphasis versus SU's Canadian oil sands dominance.

Growth drivers highlight SU's edge in production ramp-ups and refining margins, contrasting EC's asset partnerships amid regulatory hurdles. Recent momentum favors SU with higher YTD gains, though EC provides superior dividend yield.

Risk factors include EC's elevated debt (100% debt/equity) and political exposure in Colombia, versus SU's stable operations but sensitivity to Western Canadian Select pricing discounts. Sector exposure aligns in oil/gas integrated, yet SU's lower beta (0.59 vs. EC's -0.04) suggests steadier market positioning. Overall sentiment tilts toward SU on operational reliability.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Tickeron’s AI currently favors Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) over Ecopetrol S.A. (EC), based on stronger trend consistency from record outputs, superior YTD momentum (45% vs. 34%), healthier balance sheet (lower leverage), and positive catalysts like buybacks. While EC offers higher yield and value pricing, its credit downgrade and revenue contraction introduce elevated short-term risks. Probabilistic edge leans to SU for relative stability in energy upcycles.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.

VS
EC vs. SU commentary
Jun 07, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EC is a Buy and SU is a Hold.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Jun 07, 2026
Stock price -- (EC: $15.15 vs. SU: $62.22)
Brand notoriety: EC: Not notable vs. SU: Notable
Both companies represent the Integrated Oil industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: EC: 68% vs. SU: 111%
Market capitalization -- EC: $29.81B vs. SU: $73.73B
EC [@Integrated Oil] is valued at $29.81B. SU’s [@Integrated Oil] market capitalization is $73.73B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Integrated Oil] industry ranges from $621.41B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Integrated Oil] industry is $115.71B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

EC’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileSU’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).

  • EC’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
  • SU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
According to our system of comparison, SU is a better buy in the long-term than EC.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

EC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SU’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • EC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • SU’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 8 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, EC is a better buy in the short-term than SU.

Price Growth

EC (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +3.70% price change this week, while SU (@Integrated Oil) price change was -0.22% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +1.55%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.96%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.32%.

Reported Earning Dates

EC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.

SU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Integrated Oil (+1.55% weekly)

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
SU($73.7B) has a higher market cap than EC($29.8B). SU has higher P/E ratio than EC: SU (16.44) vs EC (11.01). EC YTD gains are higher at: 66.851 vs. SU (40.261). EC has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 45.13T vs. SU (16.2B). EC has higher revenues than SU: EC (119.69T) vs SU (54.5B).
ECSUEC / SU
Capitalization29.8B73.7B40%
EBITDA45.13T16.2B278,568%
Gain YTD66.85140.261166%
P/E Ratio11.0116.4467%
Revenue119.69T54.5B219,622%
Total CashN/A3.27B-
Total DebtN/A14.8B-
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
EC vs SU: Fundamental Ratings
EC
SU
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
8982
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
26
Undervalued
33
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
116
SMR RATING
1..100
10061
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
3741
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
1217
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
6585

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

EC's Valuation (26) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (33). This means that EC’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.

EC's Profit vs Risk Rating (1) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (16). This means that EC’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.

SU's SMR Rating (61) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EC (100). This means that SU’s stock grew somewhat faster than EC’s over the last 12 months.

EC's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (41). This means that EC’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.

EC's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (17). This means that EC’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
ECSU
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
73%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
69%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
63%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
78%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
67%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
62%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
65%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
70%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
56%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
69%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
52%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 12 days ago
70%
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
68%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
60%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
59%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
73%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
54%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
69%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
48%
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EC
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SU
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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EC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EC has been loosely correlated with CRGY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EC jumps, then CRGY could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To EC
1D Price
Change %
EC100%
-3.13%
CRGY - EC
61%
Loosely correlated
-5.41%
E - EC
59%
Loosely correlated
-1.12%
EQNR - EC
57%
Loosely correlated
-1.89%
BP - EC
54%
Loosely correlated
-2.43%
SU - EC
53%
Loosely correlated
-4.96%
More