ESGV
Price
$129.69
Change
+$0.41 (+0.32%)
Updated
Nov 6 closing price
Net Assets
12.72B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VTI
Price
$361.93
Change
+$1.41 (+0.39%)
Updated
Nov 6 closing price
Net Assets
670.13B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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ESGV vs VTI

ESGV vs VTI Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 09, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF (ESGV) vs. Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)

Key Takeaways

  • Different mandates, same core: ESGV applies environmental, social, and governance (ESG) screening to a U.S. all-cap universe, while VTI owns the entire U.S. stock market with no exclusions.
  • Breadth gap: VTI holds roughly 3,500 stocks, while ESGV holds about 1,200 after excluding fossil-fuel, weapons, tobacco, and other non-compliant companies.
  • Cost advantage: VTI's 0.03% expense ratio undercuts ESGV's 0.09%, making VTI one of the lowest-cost equity ETFs available.
  • Sector tilt: ESGV carries a heavier technology weighting and near-zero energy exposure, whereas VTI includes the full energy and utilities complex.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: VTI edges out ESGV on structural strength, cost efficiency, and diversification breadth.

Introduction

For investors building a core U.S. equity position, ESGV and VTI offer two philosophically distinct routes to similar goals. Both are passive, market-capitalization-weighted funds from Vanguard with heavily overlapping mega-cap technology exposure. The difference lies in what each fund is willing to exclude. VTI reflects the entire investable U.S. market, while ESGV filters the same universe through an ESG lens. In the current environment of elevated valuations, sector rotation, and renewed energy volatility, understanding whether screening helps or hinders relative positioning matters more than ever. This ETF comparison examines structural differences, sector exposure, cost, and the market backdrop shaping each fund's recent performance.

Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF (ESGV) Overview

ESGV is a passively managed ETF that tracks the FTSE US All Cap Choice Index, a market-cap-weighted benchmark of large-, mid-, and small-cap U.S. companies that meet FTSE's ESG criteria. The fund holds approximately 1,200 stocks and excludes businesses tied to non-renewable energy, controversial weapons, tobacco, and other activities that fail its screening thresholds. Its expense ratio is 0.09%.

Top holdings are dominated by mega-cap technology and growth names, including NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, AVGO, META, and TSLA. By sector, technology accounts for roughly 41% of assets, with financials, communication services, consumer discretionary, and healthcare each contributing roughly 10–12%. Energy exposure is effectively zero. This concentration gives ESGV a growth-heavy profile that is structurally similar to VTI but skewed away from traditional energy and industrial cyclicals.

Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) Overview

VTI is a passively managed ETF that tracks the CRSP US Total Market Index, capturing virtually the entire investable U.S. equity market across mega-, mid-, and small-cap segments. The fund holds approximately 3,500 stocks and carries an expense ratio of just 0.03%, among the lowest in the industry. It applies no ESG or other value-based exclusions.

VTI's top holdings mirror ESGV's leaders—NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, AVGO, and META—but it adds exposure to names absent from ESGV, such as BRK.B and energy giant XOM. Sector-wise, technology represents about 36% of assets, with financials, consumer discretionary, and industrials each in the 11–13% range and a meaningful energy sleeve of roughly 4%. The result is a broader, more balanced total-market profile with lower single-sector concentration.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds are heavily exposed to the same dominant force: mega-cap technology and artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure spending. This shared driver has supported fund performance through recent market cycles while also raising concentration risk. Divergence arises from energy and defensives. ESGV's exclusion of fossil fuels means it does not participate in oil-and-gas strength, whereas VTI captures that exposure. Macro conditions—including interest-rate expectations, inflation trends, and capital expenditure (capex) cycles—continue to shape relative performance between growth-heavy and broadly diversified portfolios. Regulatory scrutiny of big technology, ESG disclosure debates, and shifting institutional capital flows also influence how these two funds position across the market cycle.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, the two funds have tracked each other closely because of their overlapping mega-cap leadership, but ESGV's heavier technology and communication-services weight has given it a modest growth tilt during AI-driven rallies. Conversely, VTI's inclusion of energy, utilities, and broader industrials has provided a cushion during periods of value rotation and commodity strength. Volatility differences remain modest, though ESGV's fewer holdings and greater sector concentration can amplify drawdowns when technology corrects. Over broader timeframes, fund performance reflects the same top-heavy, market-cap-weighted structure, meaning relative positioning hinges on whether ESG exclusions and sector tilts add or subtract from total-return outcomes.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of securities with customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps surface trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own ETF comparison and sector exposure research.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would currently favor VTI over ESGV. VTI's decisive advantages include a materially lower 0.03% expense ratio, roughly three times the number of holdings, and full participation across all U.S. sectors, including energy and utilities. While ESGV's technology tilt has supported momentum in AI-led rallies, that same concentration raises risk when growth leadership narrows. Cost efficiency, diversification breadth, and trend consistency across a complete market cycle give VTI the structural edge. This assessment reflects probabilistic analysis of fund characteristics and is not personalized investment advice.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
ESGV vs. VTI commentary
Nov 09, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ESGV is a Hold and VTI is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for ESGV with price predictions
Nov 06, 2026

ESGV in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026

ESGV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 37 of 41 cases where ESGV's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +2.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ESGV advanced for three days, in 282 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ESGV as a result. In 57 of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ESGV turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.

ESGV moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ESGV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ESGV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

The Aroon Indicator for ESGV entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VTI with price predictions
Nov 06, 2026

VTI's Stochastic Oscillator stoops into oversold zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for VTI moved into oversold territory on November 06, 2026. Be on the watch for the price uptrend or consolidation in the future. At that time, consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +1.87% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VTI advanced for three days, in 262 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

VTI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VTI as a result. In 63 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VTI turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 75%.

VTI moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for VTI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VTI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

The Aroon Indicator for VTI entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
ESGVVTI
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
86%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
80%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
73%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
75%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
78%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
76%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
80%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
81%
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
79%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 8 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 8 days ago
76%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
84%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
80%
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