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F vs HMC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ford Motor Company (F) vs. Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- F delivered stronger year-to-date performance with approximately 14.5% returns through late July 2026, compared to roughly 1.7% to 5% for HMC.
- F reported second-quarter 2026 results that exceeded expectations and prompted an upward revision to full-year guidance, driving positive analyst sentiment and multiple rating upgrades.
- HMC maintained more stable but lower recent momentum, with limited specific catalysts in the past month relative to its U.S. peer.
- Both companies operate in the global automotive sector, yet F shows greater exposure to North American truck and SUV demand while HMC benefits from diversified international markets including Japan and emerging regions.
- Recent market activity highlighted F’s resilience in high-margin segments amid production recovery, whereas HMC demonstrated steadier but less volatile price behavior.
- Relative positioning favors F on short-term catalysts, while HMC offers a more conservative profile for investors prioritizing stability.
Introduction
Automotive stocks F and HMC represent two established global manufacturers with distinct market focuses and operational footprints. This comparison examines their recent performance, business models, and positioning in the current environment to assist traders and investors evaluating relative opportunities in the sector. Participants in equity markets who monitor cyclical industries, earnings momentum, and cross-border exposure may find the analysis relevant for portfolio allocation decisions. The discussion centers on verifiable developments from recent weeks while incorporating broader context to maintain applicability over time.
F Overview and Recent Performance
Ford Motor Company designs, manufactures, and sells automobiles, trucks, and related services primarily under the Ford and Lincoln brands. The company maintains significant operations in North America with emphasis on pickup trucks and sport utility vehicles. In recent market activity, F shares closed at $14.68 on July 31, 2026, reflecting a year-to-date gain of approximately 14.5%. Second-quarter 2026 financial results released in late July showed revenue of $48.3 billion alongside a net loss, yet management raised full-year adjusted earnings before interest and taxes guidance to a range of $10 billion to $11 billion. Positive sentiment followed from strong F-Series sales, production recovery, and multiple analyst upgrades, contributing to improved momentum despite isolated recalls and electric vehicle segment pressures.
HMC Overview and Recent Performance
Honda Motor Co., Ltd. produces automobiles, motorcycles, and power equipment with a global presence spanning passenger vehicles, light trucks, and power products. The company holds a diversified manufacturing base including substantial operations in Japan, North America, and Asia. In recent market activity, HMC shares closed at $30.11 on July 31, 2026, with year-to-date returns ranging from approximately 1.7% to 5%. Performance remained comparatively stable without major earnings-driven catalysts in the immediate prior period. Broader sector dynamics and currency movements influenced sentiment, while the stock exhibited lower volatility than some U.S. peers amid steady demand for core models such as the CR-V.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
F and HMC differ in business model emphasis: Ford concentrates on high-volume North American truck and SUV platforms with elevated margins in off-road variants, while Honda pursues a broader portfolio including efficient passenger cars and motorcycles across multiple continents. Recent momentum favored F following its second-quarter earnings beat and guidance increase, contrasting with HMC’s more measured price action. Risk factors include F’s exposure to commodity costs and electric vehicle transition expenses versus HMC’s sensitivity to yen fluctuations and competitive pressures in Asia. Sector exposure remains similar within autos, yet market sentiment reflected greater near-term optimism toward Ford’s operational recovery.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to F over HMC in the short term. Stronger catalysts from the July earnings release and guidance revision provide clearer positive signals compared with Honda’s steadier but less dynamic profile. This assessment remains probabilistic and subject to evolving market conditions rather than a definitive outlook.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is F is a Hold and HMC is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
F’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileHMC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- F’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HMC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
F’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HMC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- F’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- HMC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
F (@Motor Vehicles) experienced а -0.76% price change this week, while HMC (@Motor Vehicles) price change was +5.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Motor Vehicles industry was -3.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.91%.
Reported Earning Dates
F is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
HMC is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Motor Vehicles (-3.88% weekly)Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.
| F | HMC | F / HMC | |
| Capitalization | 55.7B | 41.7B | 134% |
| EBITDA | 3.51B | 1.77T | 0% |
| Gain YTD | 10.248 | 7.598 | 135% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.84 | 10.24 | 116% |
| Revenue | 188B | 21.34T | 1% |
| Total Cash | 15.4B | 5.04T | 0% |
| Total Debt | 163B | N/A | - |
F | HMC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 95 | 46 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 70 Overvalued | 57 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 81 | 87 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 97 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 15 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 33 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HMC's Valuation (57) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as F (70). This means that HMC’s stock grew similarly to F’s over the last 12 months.
F's Profit vs Risk Rating (81) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as HMC (87). This means that F’s stock grew similarly to HMC’s over the last 12 months.
HMC's SMR Rating (77) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as F (97). This means that HMC’s stock grew similarly to F’s over the last 12 months.
F's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as HMC (44). This means that F’s stock grew similarly to HMC’s over the last 12 months.
F's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as HMC (15). This means that F’s stock grew similarly to HMC’s over the last 12 months.
| F | HMC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 64% | 5 days ago 60% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 80% | 5 days ago 55% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 60% | 5 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 57% | 5 days ago 50% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 61% | 5 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 68% | 5 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 70% | 5 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 65% | 9 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 65% | 5 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 60% | 5 days ago 59% |
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HMC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HMC has been closely correlated with TM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HMC jumps, then TM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HMC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMC | 100% | -0.31% | ||
| TM - HMC | 75% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
| GM - HMC | 41% Loosely correlated | +0.43% | ||
| F - HMC | 41% Loosely correlated | +0.14% | ||
| RACE - HMC | 33% Loosely correlated | -1.33% | ||
| BLBD - HMC | 27% Poorly correlated | -4.99% | ||
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