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F vs HMC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ford Motor Company (F) vs. Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Ford Motor Company (F) shares have risen about 9% over the past month, outpacing the flat performance of Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC).
- F boasts a larger market capitalization of approximately $50 billion compared to HMC's $32 billion.
- Recent analyst upgrades and a shift toward high-margin SUVs have supported F's momentum, while HMC faces headwinds from EV strategy revisions and plant closures.
- Tickeron's comparison tool indicates F edges out on short-term technical scores, though HMC shows stronger long-term fundamentals.
- Both stocks offer attractive dividend yields, with HMC at around 5.7% and F at 4.9%.
Introduction
Ford Motor Company (F) and Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC) represent key players in the global automotive sector, competing in vehicles, trucks, and emerging electrification trends. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business drivers, and market positioning amid shifting consumer preferences toward SUVs, hybrids, and EVs. Traders seeking momentum plays may eye F's U.S.-centric strength, while long-term investors could assess HMC's international diversification. Understanding relative performance aids decisions in a volatile auto market influenced by supply chains, tariffs, and technology shifts.
F Overview and Recent Performance
Ford Motor Company (F), a Detroit-based automaker, focuses on trucks, SUVs, and commercial vehicles through its Ford Blue and Ford Pro segments, with growing EV offerings via Ford Model e. In recent weeks, F shares have climbed around 9% from mid-March levels near $11.37 to about $12.38 by late April, reflecting resilience amid broader market fluctuations. This uptrend follows analyst upgrades, such as UBS maintaining a $15 target, and strong Q1 U.S. sales of 457,000 vehicles with retail share gains driven by F-Series pickups and high-margin SUVs like Explorer. Sentiment has been bolstered by strategic talks with China's Geely on potential U.S. partnerships, though executives warn of competitive pressures from abroad. Q1 2026 earnings, due April 29, are projected at $0.20 EPS, supporting cautious optimism despite high debt levels (total debt/equity at 461%).
HMC Overview and Recent Performance
Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC), headquartered in Tokyo, manufactures cars, motorcycles, and power equipment worldwide, emphasizing hybrids and a reassessed EV strategy. Over recent weeks, HMC shares have traded flat, holding steady at $24.34 from late March to late April after dipping to a 52-week low near $23.40 earlier in the month. Performance reflects challenges from a major EV pivot, including impairments leading to FY2026 loss forecasts and plant closures in South Korea and China. Recent headlines highlight withdrawal from Korean sales and a Canadian manufacturing alliance with Toyota, alongside CEO concerns over Chinese competition. With a P/E ratio (TTM) of 10.36 and EPS of $2.35, HMC maintains solid profitability metrics, but market sentiment remains tempered ahead of May earnings.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both F and HMC operate in the competitive auto manufacturers space, but differ in scale and focus: F leverages U.S. truck dominance (e.g., F-Series) for higher margins, while HMC benefits from global motorcycles and hybrids. Growth drivers contrast with F's retail share gains versus HMC's EV impairments. Recent momentum favors F (+9% monthly), over HMC's stagnation, per Tickeron technicals. Risk factors include F's elevated leverage (debt/equity 461%) and HMC's geopolitical exposures in Asia. Sector-wise, both face EV transitions and tariffs, but F shows stronger U.S. positioning. Sentiment tilts toward F short-term amid analyst support, though HMC offers undervaluation potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward F based on superior recent trend consistency, monthly gains, and positive sales catalysts like SUV shifts, positioning it better for near-term momentum versus HMC's stability challenges from strategy overhauls. Short-term technicals favor F, suggesting higher probability of outperformance in volatile auto conditions, though HMC may appeal for fundamentals.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is F is a Hold and HMC is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
F’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileHMC’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- F’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HMC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
F’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HMC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- F’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- HMC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
F (@Motor Vehicles) experienced а -2.85% price change this week, while HMC (@Motor Vehicles) price change was -4.73% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Motor Vehicles industry was -3.50%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.84%.
Reported Earning Dates
F is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
HMC is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Motor Vehicles (-3.50% weekly)Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.
| F | HMC | F / HMC | |
| Capitalization | 55.1B | 33.5B | 164% |
| EBITDA | 6.02B | 1.77T | 0% |
| Gain YTD | 9.223 | -13.229 | -70% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.84 | 10.24 | 116% |
| Revenue | 190B | 21.34T | 1% |
| Total Cash | 30.5B | 5.04T | 1% |
| Total Debt | 160B | N/A | - |
F | HMC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 87 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 17 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 73 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 74 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 18 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 37 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HMC's Valuation (17) in the Motor Vehicles industry is somewhat better than the same rating for F (75). This means that HMC’s stock grew somewhat faster than F’s over the last 12 months.
F's Profit vs Risk Rating (73) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as HMC (100). This means that F’s stock grew similarly to HMC’s over the last 12 months.
HMC's SMR Rating (74) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as F (95). This means that HMC’s stock grew similarly to F’s over the last 12 months.
F's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as HMC (59). This means that F’s stock grew similarly to HMC’s over the last 12 months.
F's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as HMC (18). This means that F’s stock grew similarly to HMC’s over the last 12 months.
| F | HMC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 21 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 59% |
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HMC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HMC has been closely correlated with TM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HMC jumps, then TM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HMC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMC | 100% | -1.58% | ||
| TM - HMC | 80% Closely correlated | -1.47% | ||
| GM - HMC | 44% Loosely correlated | -1.84% | ||
| F - HMC | 40% Loosely correlated | -0.78% | ||
| STLA - HMC | 31% Poorly correlated | -6.58% | ||
| RACE - HMC | 30% Poorly correlated | -1.02% | ||
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