FHLC
Price
$90.29Alerts
Change
+$0.09 (+0.10%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
4.02B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XLV
Price
$188.95Alerts
Change
+$0.07 (+0.04%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
49.57B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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FHLC vs XLV

FHLC vs XLV Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 04, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Fidelity MSCI Health Care Index ETF (FHLC) vs. Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV)

Key Takeaways

  • Both FHLC and XLV are passively managed, market-cap-weighted health care ETFs, but they track different indexes with meaningfully different depth and concentration.
  • FHLC tracks the MSCI USA IMI Health Care Index with roughly 340–350 holdings, extending exposure into mid- and small-cap names for broader diversification.
  • XLV tracks the Health Care Select Sector Index with about 64 large-cap holdings, delivering more concentrated mega-cap exposure and greater liquidity.
  • Both funds carry an identical 0.08% expense ratio, so cost is not a differentiator; the real trade-off is diversification versus concentration.
  • Top-heavy exposure to LLY, JNJ, and ABBV drives returns in both funds, but the weightings differ at the margins.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: XLV is the current favored ticker, reflecting stronger trend consistency, superior scale and liquidity, and alignment with large-cap health care leadership.

Introduction

Health care remains one of the most structurally relevant sectors in the U.S. equity market, combining defensive cash flows, demographic-driven demand, and a powerful innovation cycle in areas such as GLP-1 weight-loss therapies, oncology, and medical technology. For investors seeking broad sector exposure, FHLC and XLV are two of the most prominent vehicles. While they compete directly for the same investor dollar, they are not identical: one casts a wide net across the full health care investable universe, while the other concentrates on large-cap leaders. Understanding these structural differences is essential for accurate relative positioning.

Fidelity MSCI Health Care Index ETF (FHLC) Overview

FHLC is a passively managed fund that seeks to track the MSCI USA IMI Health Care Index before fees and expenses. The index spans large-, mid-, and small-cap U.S. health care companies, giving the fund roughly 340–350 holdings. Its top positions include LLY, JNJ, ABBV, MRK, and UNH, with the top 10 holdings representing slightly more than half of the portfolio. Sector allocation is effectively 100% health care, with a modest tilt toward smaller-cap names that larger rivals omit. The fund carries an expense ratio of 0.08% and employs a full-replication, market-cap-weighted strategy. Launched in 2013, it offers investors a broader, more diversified take on the sector.

Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) Overview

XLV is a passively managed fund that tracks the Health Care Select Sector Index, which is composed of health care companies drawn from the S&P 500. The fund holds approximately 60–64 large-cap names, making it considerably more concentrated than FHLC. Its largest positions are LLY, JNJ, ABBV, UNH, and MRK, with the top 10 holdings accounting for roughly 60% of assets. The expense ratio is 0.08%, identical to its rival. Launched in 1998, XLV is one of the oldest and largest health care ETFs, commanding substantially more assets under management and trading volume than FHLC, which supports tight spreads and deep liquidity.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The health care sector is currently shaped by several powerful, durable forces. The GLP-1 obesity and metabolic-disease market has reshaped pharmaceutical leadership, favoring innovators with blockbuster pipelines. Meanwhile, oncology, immunology, and advanced medical devices continue to attract capital, while demographic aging underpins steady demand for providers, insurers, and diagnostics. Regulatory and policy risk — including drug-pricing scrutiny and the outcome of health policy debates — remains a persistent overhang. Macroeconomic conditions, particularly the path of interest rates, also matter: health care's longer-duration growth names are sensitive to shifts in rate expectations, even as defensive cash flows provide ballast during risk-off periods.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, health care returns have been driven disproportionately by a handful of mega-cap names, especially LLY on the strength of its weight-loss franchise. Because XLV concentrates more heavily in these large-cap leaders, it has tended to amplify that leadership when mega-cap momentum is strong. FHLC, by contrast, includes smaller-cap names that add diversification but can dilute the impact of large-cap winners. Both funds exhibit below-market beta relative to the broad S&P 500, but XLV has generally shown a slightly lower beta profile while FHLC offers marginally broader exposure that may be less sensitive to any single holding's pullback. Relative positioning therefore hinges on whether an investor prioritizes concentration in established leaders or broader participation across the sector.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs with customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps surface trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities far more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own health care search and uncover signals aligned with your strategy.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would currently favor XLV over FHLC. Both funds share identical cost efficiency, but XLV benefits from materially greater scale, deeper liquidity, and a more established track record. Its concentration in large-cap innovators aligns more directly with the momentum currently emanating from GLP-1 and biopharmaceutical leadership, which has been a dominant driver of recent sector performance. While FHLC offers superior breadth and reduced single-name sensitivity, XLV's cleaner large-cap trend profile and tighter relative positioning give it the probabilistic edge in the current environment.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
FHLC vs. XLV commentary
Nov 12, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FHLC is a Buy and XLV is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FHLC with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

FHLC's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FHLC turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where FHLC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FHLC as a result. In 64 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

FHLC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FHLC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +0.28% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FHLC advanced for three days, in 255 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 216 of 257 cases where FHLC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 84%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for FHLC moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 72%.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FHLC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

FHLC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XLV with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

XLV's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLV turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where XLV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLV as a result. In 74 of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

XLV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XLV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Following a +0.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLV advanced for three days, in 264 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 230 of 271 cases where XLV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 85%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for XLV moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 27 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 73%.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

XLV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FHLCXLV
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
73%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
71%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
77%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
79%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
78%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
81%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
81%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 6 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 6 days ago
81%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
85%
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XLV and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLV has been closely correlated with LLY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLV jumps, then LLY could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XLV
1D Price
Change %
XLV100%
+0.04%
LLY - XLV
75%
Closely correlated
+0.35%
MRK - XLV
66%
Closely correlated
-0.59%
ABBV - XLV
65%
Loosely correlated
+0.37%
JNJ - XLV
65%
Loosely correlated
-0.13%
BMY - XLV
62%
Loosely correlated
+0.18%
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