FHLC
Price
$86.89
Change
+$0.98 (+1.14%)
Updated
Oct 22, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
3.74B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XLV
Price
$181.32
Change
+$2.38 (+1.33%)
Updated
Oct 22, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
46.47B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
Interact to see
Advertisement

FHLC vs XLV

FHLC vs XLV Comparison Chart in %
View a ticker or compare two or three
A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Fidelity MSCI Health Care Index ETF (FHLC) vs. Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV)

Key Takeaways

  • FHLC offers broader exposure across the U.S. health care sector with approximately 340 holdings that include large-, mid-, and small-cap companies, while XLV focuses on 60 large-cap constituents from the S&P 500 health care sector.
  • Both ETFs track passive indices with identical expense ratios of 0.08%, providing cost-efficient access to health care equities without active management overlays.
  • Top holdings overlap significantly in names such as LLY, JNJ, ABBV, UNH, and MRK, but XLV assigns higher weights to these leaders due to its market-cap weighting within the S&P 500 subset.
  • FHLC provides greater diversification across subsectors including smaller biotechnology and services firms, potentially lowering concentration risk compared to XLV's more concentrated large-cap profile.
  • Both funds exhibit similar liquidity characteristics suitable for institutional and retail investors, with XLV historically demonstrating higher average daily trading volume.
  • In recent market cycles, relative performance has been driven by earnings momentum in large pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies alongside broader sector rotation tied to innovation pipelines and regulatory developments.

Introduction

Investors seeking targeted exposure to the U.S. health care sector often compare FHLC and XLV because both deliver passive, rules-based access to the same broad industry. These ETFs do not compete directly as identical products; instead, they represent alternative strategies within health care. FHLC emphasizes comprehensive market-cap coverage including smaller firms, while XLV delivers concentrated exposure to the largest S&P 500 health care companies. This distinction makes the pair relevant for investors evaluating trade-offs between diversification breadth and liquidity concentration in the current environment of innovation-driven growth and policy shifts.

Fidelity MSCI Health Care Index ETF (FHLC) Overview

FHLC is a passive exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of the MSCI USA IMI Health Care 25/50 Index. The index provides broad representation of the U.S. health care sector across large-, mid-, and small-capitalization companies. The fund typically holds around 340 securities, offering exposure that spans pharmaceuticals, biotechnology, health care equipment, providers and services, and life sciences tools. Top holdings commonly include LLY, JNJ, ABBV, UNH, and MRK, with the portfolio maintaining a diversified profile across subsectors. FHLC employs full physical replication with low turnover and carries an expense ratio of 0.08%. Its structure supports investors seeking broader participation beyond the largest market leaders.

Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) Overview

XLV is a passive exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the Health Care Select Sector Index, which represents the health care component of the S&P 500. The fund holds approximately 60 large-capitalization stocks weighted by market capitalization. Core holdings typically feature LLY, JNJ, ABBV, UNH, and MRK, with heavier allocations to these leaders than broader peers. The portfolio covers pharmaceuticals, biotechnology, health care equipment and supplies, providers and services, and life sciences tools. XLV uses full replication with low turnover and maintains an expense ratio of 0.08%. Its design appeals to investors prioritizing liquidity and established large-cap health care names.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The U.S. health care sector continues to benefit from long-term demographic trends including an aging population and rising demand for innovative therapies. Key catalysts include advancements in biotechnology, personalized medicine, and digital health platforms, alongside ongoing capital allocation toward research and development. Regulatory developments around drug pricing and approval pathways influence capital flows, while macroeconomic factors such as interest rate expectations and overall equity market sentiment affect sector rotation. Risks encompass policy uncertainty, patent expirations, and competitive pressures within high-growth subsectors. Both ETFs provide exposure to these dynamics through established industry leaders and supporting companies.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent market cycles, both ETFs have reflected the health care sector's sensitivity to earnings growth in large pharmaceutical and biotechnology firms. FHLC has offered modestly broader participation that can moderate volatility during periods when smaller companies outperform or underperform the largest names. XLV has delivered concentrated exposure that amplifies moves tied to its top holdings. Relative positioning has varied with sector rotation, interest rate environments, and innovation-driven momentum, with both funds maintaining similar cost structures and passive methodologies that support consistent tracking over longer horizons.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking to compare or monitor FHLC and XLV alongside other opportunities may find the tool useful for refining strategies.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic preference to FHLC for investors prioritizing diversification across the health care sector, given its broader holdings profile and equivalent cost efficiency. XLV remains competitively positioned for those emphasizing liquidity and concentration in leading large-cap names. Selection ultimately depends on individual portfolio objectives regarding breadth versus depth within the sector.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
FHLC vs. XLV commentary
Oct 23, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FHLC is a Hold and XLV is a StrongBuy.

Interact to see
Advertisement
SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FHLC with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

FHLC in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026

FHLC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 36 of the 40 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FHLC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator for FHLC entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FHLC as a result. In 66 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FHLC just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where FHLC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

FHLC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FHLC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +4.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FHLC advanced for three days, in 257 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XLV with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

XLV in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026

XLV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 34 of 39 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLV as a result. In 75 of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLV just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where XLV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

The 10-day moving average for XLV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Following a +4.44% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLV advanced for three days, in 265 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 223 of 271 cases where XLV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 82%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

XLV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FHLCXLV
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
81%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
76%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
79%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
77%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
77%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
80%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
80%
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
81%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
82%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
View a ticker or compare two or three
FHLC
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
XLV
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement

FHLC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FHLC has been closely correlated with LLY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FHLC jumps, then LLY could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FHLC
1D Price
Change %
FHLC100%
+1.21%
LLY - FHLC
71%
Closely correlated
+2.83%
MRK - FHLC
65%
Loosely correlated
-1.76%
ABBV - FHLC
61%
Loosely correlated
+0.14%
JNJ - FHLC
60%
Loosely correlated
+3.81%
BMY - FHLC
58%
Loosely correlated
+3.08%
More

XLV and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLV has been closely correlated with LLY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLV jumps, then LLY could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XLV
1D Price
Change %
XLV100%
+1.32%
LLY - XLV
73%
Closely correlated
+2.83%
MRK - XLV
65%
Loosely correlated
-1.76%
ABBV - XLV
63%
Loosely correlated
+0.14%
JNJ - XLV
63%
Loosely correlated
+3.81%
MDT - XLV
59%
Loosely correlated
+3.83%
More
Interesting Tickers
1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
1 Day
ETFs / NAMEPrice $Chg $Chg %
WBIG26.970.29
+1.09%
WBI BullBear Yield 3000 ETF (WBIG)
UDI37.030.37
+1.02%
USCF Dividend Income Fund (UDI)
BSMR23.480.06
+0.26%
Invesco BulletShares 2027 Municipal Bond ETF (BSMR)
BAFE30.34-0.17
-0.57%
Brown Advisory Flexible Equity ETF (BAFE)
HDUS72.68-0.77
-1.05%
Hartford Disciplined US Equity ETF (HDUS)