Industrial-sector ETFs have drawn renewed attention as investors weigh reindustrialization, infrastructure spending, defense budgets, and AI-driven power demand against a shifting macro backdrop. FIDU (Fidelity MSCI Industrials Index ETF) and XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund) are two of the most widely used vehicles for broad U.S. industrials exposure, but they are not identical. They compete directly for the same investor dollar while offering meaningfully different portfolio construction. Comparing their index methodologies, holdings breadth, and sector allocation helps clarify which structure best matches different objectives in the current environment.
FIDU is a passively managed fund that seeks to track the MSCI USA IMI Industrials Index, a market-cap-weighted benchmark representing the U.S. industrials sector across large-, mid-, and small-capitalization companies. This "IMI" (Investable Market Index) approach gives the fund roughly 360–370 holdings, far more than most sector peers.
Top holdings include CAT (Caterpillar), GE (GE Aerospace), GEV (GE Vernova), RTX (RTX Corp), ETN (Eaton), UNP (Union Pacific), DE (Deere), BA (Boeing), HON (Honeywell), and UBER (Uber Technologies). Because the index extends into mid- and small caps, the top-ten concentration is lower than in large-cap-only funds, and smaller holdings add diversification. The portfolio is roughly 92–93% industrials, with a modest technology sleeve reflecting names such as Uber and Vertiv. The net expense ratio is 0.08%, among the lowest in the category.
XLI is a passively managed fund that tracks the Industrial Select Sector Index, which consists of the industrials constituents of the S&P 500 as classified by the GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard). As a result, the fund holds only large- and mega-cap names, totaling roughly 78–84 securities.
Its top holdings overlap heavily with FIDU but carry higher weights, including CAT, GE, RTX, GEV, UNP, BA, DE, ETN, UBER, and PH (Parker Hannifin). The fund is non-diversified and more concentrated, with aerospace and defense plus machinery and electrical equipment dominating industry allocation. Its net expense ratio is 0.08%, and with roughly $30 billion in assets and substantial daily volume, XLI offers deeper liquidity and tighter trading spreads than most competitors.
Both funds are shaped by overlapping catalysts across the industrial economy. Aerospace and defense remain structurally supported by elevated global defense spending and commercial aviation order backlogs. Electrification, grid modernization, and data-center buildouts have boosted electrical-equipment and power-related names such as Eaton and GE Vernova. Meanwhile, machinery and transportation remain sensitive to the manufacturing cycle, freight volumes, and interest-rate expectations, which influence capital-goods demand. Policy-driven themes including reshoring, infrastructure investment, and tariffs also factor into sector flows. Key risks include cyclical slowdowns, margin pressure from input costs, and valuation concentration in a handful of mega-cap names that drive a large share of index returns.
Over recent market cycles, FIDU and XLI have moved largely in tandem given their shared mega-cap core, but relative positioning has diverged at the margins. XLI's large-cap-only structure has historically amplified moves in bellwether names, while FIDU's mid- and small-cap sleeve has provided incremental exposure to faster-growing industrial niches during broad-based rallies. In periods when leadership narrows to a few mega caps, XLI's concentration can help; when breadth expands into smaller industrials, FIDU's wider roster tends to capture more of the upside. From a risk standpoint, FIDU's lower single-stock concentration offers a slightly smoother relative profile, whereas XLI's liquidity and established options market make it the preferred instrument for active traders seeking efficient execution.
Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of securities with customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending names, breakout candidates, and market opportunities far more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to surface ideas that match your own criteria.
Between the two, Tickeron's AI would likely favor FIDU on the basis of structural efficiency. Both funds carry an essentially identical 0.08% cost, yet FIDU delivers materially broader diversification — roughly four to five times as many holdings and meaningful mid- and small-cap participation — without sacrificing the core large-cap industrial exposure that drives sector returns. That wider net reduces single-name concentration risk and improves the odds of capturing broadening rallies, a meaningful edge in a sector whose top holdings overlap almost entirely. XLI remains the superior choice for deep liquidity and tactical execution, but on a cost-adjusted, risk-adjusted structural basis, FIDU's broader exposure profile gives it the probabilistic advantage.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FIDU turned positive on October 26, 2026. Looking at past instances where FIDU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FIDU as a result. In 73 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Following a +1.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FIDU advanced for three days, in 268 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FIDU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
FIDU broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for FIDU entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
XLI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 34 of 37 cases where XLI's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLI just turned positive on October 26, 2026. Looking at past instances where XLI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Following a +1.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLI advanced for three days, in 277 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLI as a result. In 67 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Aroon Indicator for XLI entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
| FIDU | XLI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 85% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 85% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 84% | 4 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 77% | 10 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 86% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FIDU has been closely correlated with EMR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FIDU jumps, then EMR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FIDU | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIDU | 100% | -1.60% | ||
| EMR - FIDU | 79% Closely correlated | -3.40% | ||
| AME - FIDU | 77% Closely correlated | -4.23% | ||
| CAT - FIDU | 76% Closely correlated | -3.81% | ||
| TKR - FIDU | 76% Closely correlated | -3.42% | ||
| WAB - FIDU | 75% Closely correlated | -2.09% | ||
More | ||||
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLI has been closely correlated with EMR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLI jumps, then EMR could also see price increases.
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| QBIV | 26.51 | N/A | N/A |
| AllianzIM International Equity Buffer5 ETF (QBIV) | |||
| APOC | 26.69 | -0.05 | -0.19% |
| Innovator 6mo Apr/Oct (APOC) | |||
| MGMT | 49.96 | -0.27 | -0.54% |
| Ballast Small/Mid Cap ETF (MGMT) | |||
| BGY | 5.42 | -0.08 | -1.45% |
| BlackRock Enhanced International Dividend Trust | |||
| FDN | 266.23 | -9.47 | -3.43% |
| First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund (FDN) | |||