FIDU
Price
$88.76
Change
-$1.44 (-1.60%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
2.28B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XLI
Price
$167.40
Change
-$2.73 (-1.60%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
31.2B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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FIDU vs XLI

FIDU vs XLI Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 29, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Fidelity MSCI Industrials Index ETF (FIDU) vs. Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI)

Key Takeaways

  • FIDU tracks the broad MSCI USA IMI Industrials Index, holding roughly 360–370 names, while XLI tracks the S&P 500-focused Industrial Select Sector Index with roughly 80 large-cap holdings.
  • Both funds are passive, market-cap-weighted products with an effectively identical 0.08% expense ratio, making cost a non-factor in this ETF comparison.
  • FIDU offers materially broader sector exposure, including mid- and small-cap industrials, whereas XLI concentrates risk in mega-cap S&P 500 names.
  • XLI benefits from deeper liquidity and a much larger asset base, which can suit institutional and high-volume traders.
  • Relative positioning favors FIDU for diversification-seeking investors, while XLI suits those wanting pure large-cap industrial quality.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: FIDU — the AI favors FIDU for its broader diversification at an identical cost.

Introduction

Industrial-sector ETFs have drawn renewed attention as investors weigh reindustrialization, infrastructure spending, defense budgets, and AI-driven power demand against a shifting macro backdrop. FIDU (Fidelity MSCI Industrials Index ETF) and XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund) are two of the most widely used vehicles for broad U.S. industrials exposure, but they are not identical. They compete directly for the same investor dollar while offering meaningfully different portfolio construction. Comparing their index methodologies, holdings breadth, and sector allocation helps clarify which structure best matches different objectives in the current environment.

Fidelity MSCI Industrials Index ETF (FIDU) Overview

FIDU is a passively managed fund that seeks to track the MSCI USA IMI Industrials Index, a market-cap-weighted benchmark representing the U.S. industrials sector across large-, mid-, and small-capitalization companies. This "IMI" (Investable Market Index) approach gives the fund roughly 360–370 holdings, far more than most sector peers.

Top holdings include CAT (Caterpillar), GE (GE Aerospace), GEV (GE Vernova), RTX (RTX Corp), ETN (Eaton), UNP (Union Pacific), DE (Deere), BA (Boeing), HON (Honeywell), and UBER (Uber Technologies). Because the index extends into mid- and small caps, the top-ten concentration is lower than in large-cap-only funds, and smaller holdings add diversification. The portfolio is roughly 92–93% industrials, with a modest technology sleeve reflecting names such as Uber and Vertiv. The net expense ratio is 0.08%, among the lowest in the category.

Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) Overview

XLI is a passively managed fund that tracks the Industrial Select Sector Index, which consists of the industrials constituents of the S&P 500 as classified by the GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard). As a result, the fund holds only large- and mega-cap names, totaling roughly 78–84 securities.

Its top holdings overlap heavily with FIDU but carry higher weights, including CAT, GE, RTX, GEV, UNP, BA, DE, ETN, UBER, and PH (Parker Hannifin). The fund is non-diversified and more concentrated, with aerospace and defense plus machinery and electrical equipment dominating industry allocation. Its net expense ratio is 0.08%, and with roughly $30 billion in assets and substantial daily volume, XLI offers deeper liquidity and tighter trading spreads than most competitors.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds are shaped by overlapping catalysts across the industrial economy. Aerospace and defense remain structurally supported by elevated global defense spending and commercial aviation order backlogs. Electrification, grid modernization, and data-center buildouts have boosted electrical-equipment and power-related names such as Eaton and GE Vernova. Meanwhile, machinery and transportation remain sensitive to the manufacturing cycle, freight volumes, and interest-rate expectations, which influence capital-goods demand. Policy-driven themes including reshoring, infrastructure investment, and tariffs also factor into sector flows. Key risks include cyclical slowdowns, margin pressure from input costs, and valuation concentration in a handful of mega-cap names that drive a large share of index returns.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent market cycles, FIDU and XLI have moved largely in tandem given their shared mega-cap core, but relative positioning has diverged at the margins. XLI's large-cap-only structure has historically amplified moves in bellwether names, while FIDU's mid- and small-cap sleeve has provided incremental exposure to faster-growing industrial niches during broad-based rallies. In periods when leadership narrows to a few mega caps, XLI's concentration can help; when breadth expands into smaller industrials, FIDU's wider roster tends to capture more of the upside. From a risk standpoint, FIDU's lower single-stock concentration offers a slightly smoother relative profile, whereas XLI's liquidity and established options market make it the preferred instrument for active traders seeking efficient execution.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of securities with customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending names, breakout candidates, and market opportunities far more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to surface ideas that match your own criteria.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Between the two, Tickeron's AI would likely favor FIDU on the basis of structural efficiency. Both funds carry an essentially identical 0.08% cost, yet FIDU delivers materially broader diversification — roughly four to five times as many holdings and meaningful mid- and small-cap participation — without sacrificing the core large-cap industrial exposure that drives sector returns. That wider net reduces single-name concentration risk and improves the odds of capturing broadening rallies, a meaningful edge in a sector whose top holdings overlap almost entirely. XLI remains the superior choice for deep liquidity and tactical execution, but on a cost-adjusted, risk-adjusted structural basis, FIDU's broader exposure profile gives it the probabilistic advantage.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
FIDU vs. XLI commentary
Nov 01, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FIDU is a StrongBuy and XLI is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FIDU with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

FIDU's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FIDU turned positive on October 26, 2026. Looking at past instances where FIDU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FIDU as a result. In 73 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Following a +1.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FIDU advanced for three days, in 268 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FIDU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

FIDU broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for FIDU entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XLI with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

XLI in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026

XLI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 34 of 37 cases where XLI's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLI just turned positive on October 26, 2026. Looking at past instances where XLI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Following a +1.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLI advanced for three days, in 277 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLI as a result. In 67 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

The Aroon Indicator for XLI entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FIDUXLI
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
70%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
77%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
74%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
88%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
85%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
85%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
83%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
83%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
83%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 10 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 10 days ago
78%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
79%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
86%
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FIDU
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
XLI
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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FIDU and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FIDU has been closely correlated with EMR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FIDU jumps, then EMR could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FIDU
1D Price
Change %
FIDU100%
-1.60%
EMR - FIDU
79%
Closely correlated
-3.40%
AME - FIDU
77%
Closely correlated
-4.23%
CAT - FIDU
76%
Closely correlated
-3.81%
TKR - FIDU
76%
Closely correlated
-3.42%
WAB - FIDU
75%
Closely correlated
-2.09%
More

XLI and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLI has been closely correlated with EMR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLI jumps, then EMR could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XLI
1D Price
Change %
XLI100%
-1.60%
EMR - XLI
78%
Closely correlated
-3.40%
CAT - XLI
78%
Closely correlated
-3.81%
AME - XLI
77%
Closely correlated
-4.23%
WAB - XLI
75%
Closely correlated
-2.09%
ETN - XLI
72%
Closely correlated
-6.03%
More
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