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FND vs HD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) vs. The Home Depot (HD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FND and HD both operate in the home improvement sector but target distinct market segments — FND focuses exclusively on hard-surface flooring, while HD spans the full spectrum of home improvement retail.
- Floor & Decor has demonstrated stronger relative revenue growth in recent quarters amid an aggressive store expansion strategy, while Home Depot's size and mature footprint deliver steadier, cash-flow-focused performance.
- Both stocks face macro headwinds tied to elevated interest rates and housing turnover near multi-decade lows, though each is navigating the cycle with a different risk-reward profile.
- AI-driven tools such as Tickeron's Trending AI Robots provide systematic, data-driven insights to help traders evaluate the shifting relative strength between these two names.
- Institutional positioning and recent momentum suggest divergent near-term sentiment, making the FND-versus-HD comparison relevant for sector-rotation and pair-trade considerations.
Introduction
Comparing FND and HD offers a lens into two very different plays on the same macro theme: the U.S. housing and renovation market. Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) is a specialty hard-surface flooring retailer with a rapidly expanding store base, while The Home Depot (HD) is the world's largest home improvement chain and a Dow Jones component. For traders monitoring sector rotation, housing sensitivity, and growth-versus-value dynamics, this stock comparison illuminates how two companies with overlapping end markets can diverge sharply in terms of business model, growth trajectory, and market positioning.
FND Overview and Recent Performance
FND, or Floor & Decor Holdings, operates as a high-growth, specialty retailer focused exclusively on hard-surface flooring — including tile, wood, laminate, vinyl, and natural stone. The company targets both professional contractors and do-it-yourself customers through warehouse-format stores that emphasize broad selection and value pricing.
In recent weeks, FND shares have experienced a period of consolidation alongside broader retail-sector uncertainty tied to tariff policy shifts and consumer spending caution. Market participants have also been digesting the company's latest quarterly results, which showed continued year-over-year revenue growth but reflected margin pressure from promotional activity and elevated operating expenses tied to new store openings. With roughly 240 warehouse locations and a long-term target well above that figure, the expansion narrative remains a central part of the Floor & Decor equity story. Analysts have noted that comparable-store sales trends softened modestly as existing-home sales remained subdued, a factor that directly influences flooring demand. Nevertheless, FND continues to gain market share in the highly fragmented flooring category, a dynamic that institutional investors appear to be weighing against near-term cyclical headwinds.
HD Overview and Recent Performance
The Home Depot (HD), with roughly 2,300 stores across North America and annual revenue exceeding $150 billion, is the dominant force in home improvement retail. The company's product mix spans building materials, décor, appliances, tools, and garden supplies — making it a bellwether for both professional contractor spending and discretionary home renovation demand.
Recent market activity has placed HD under scrutiny as investors assess the resilience of the U.S. consumer amid persistent inflation and elevated borrowing costs. In recent weeks, the stock has faced modest pressure following mixed housing data releases that reinforced concerns about sluggish home turnover and its effect on renovation project initiation. HD management has emphasized operational efficiency, supply-chain improvements, and its expanding Pro ecosystem for professional contractors as levers to defend profitability during a softer demand period. The company's scale and robust free cash flow generation have supported consistent dividend growth, which appeals to income-oriented investors even when top-line growth moderates. While the near-term housing backdrop remains challenging, Home Depot's diversified product categories and entrenched market position continue to provide a degree of stability that is uncommon among pure-play housing-exposed names.
Trending AI Robots
For traders seeking a data-driven edge in evaluating stocks like FND and HD, Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page offers access to a curated selection of algorithmic trading bots. Tickeron hosts hundreds of AI-powered trading bots that collectively cover thousands of tickers, but only those demonstrating the most favorable alignment with current market conditions earn a spot in the Trending AI Robots section. These bots vary widely in trading style — from short-term swing trading to longer-duration trend following — and each displays detailed performance statistics, including win rates, trade counts, and average holding periods. Prospective users can review such metrics to understand how different automated strategies approach specific stocks and market environments. Exploring the Trending AI Robots section may help traders identify systematic approaches that complement their own fundamental and technical analysis.
Head-to-Head Comparison
While both FND and HD draw revenue from housing-related spending, their profiles diverge meaningfully across several dimensions:
- Business Model: FND operates a focused, category-killer model in the hard-surface flooring niche. HD is a broad-line home improvement retailer with exposure to dozens of product categories and a large services ecosystem. This gives HD diversification benefits but also makes it more sensitive to general retail traffic trends.
- Growth Drivers: FND's growth story is anchored in unit expansion — new warehouse openings in underpenetrated markets — and ongoing share gains from independent flooring retailers. HD's growth, by contrast, is more reliant on same-store sales productivity, contractor acquisition, and digital ecosystem enhancements such as B2B (business-to-business) e-commerce for Pro customers.
- Margin Profiles: HD generally operates with higher and more stable operating margins, supported by scale advantages and a favorable product mix that includes higher-margin private-label brands. FND's margins have been more variable amid the inflationary and promo-driven retail environment.
- Risk Exposure: Both companies are sensitive to housing turnover and mortgage rates, but FND carries the added risk of a narrower product focus — a prolonged flooring demand downturn would hit FND proportionally harder. HD's exposure to repair-and-remodel spending and its Pro contractor base provides a partial cushion during housing downturns.
- Sector Sentiment: In recent trading activity, large-cap home improvement names like HD have generally held up better on a relative basis, while higher-growth specialty names have faced a more pronounced re-rating amid the higher-rate environment. This divergence reflects a broader market preference for stability and capital return over pure growth in the current climate.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, volatility-adjusted return profiles, and relative positioning within the consumer cyclical sector, Tickeron's AI framework would likely exhibit a measured preference for HD over FND in the current environment. The Home Depot's broader diversification, consistent free cash flow generation, and relative resilience during housing-cycle soft patches present a statistically steadier profile for trend-following algorithms. This is not a judgment on FND's long-term growth potential — the company's market-share expansion thesis remains intact — but rather reflects how systematic models tend to assign higher probability scores to established, lower-volatility names when macro uncertainty is elevated. Traders using AI-driven tools would likely monitor both tickers for shifts in trend signals, particularly if housing-market data begins to improve and favors the higher-beta (a measure of a stock's volatility relative to the broader market) side of this pair.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FND is a Hold and HD is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FND’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileHD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FND’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- HD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FND’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HD’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FND’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- HD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FND (@Home Improvement Chains) experienced а +7.11% price change this week, while HD (@Home Improvement Chains) price change was -0.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was +1.54%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
FND is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
HD is expected to report earnings on Aug 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Home Improvement Chains (+1.54% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
| FND | HD | FND / HD | |
| Capitalization | 6.13B | 331B | 2% |
| EBITDA | 557M | 25.1B | 2% |
| Gain YTD | -5.452 | -2.155 | 253% |
| P/E Ratio | 26.90 | 23.58 | 114% |
| Revenue | 4.71B | 167B | 3% |
| Total Cash | 321M | 1.6B | 20% |
| Total Debt | 2.01B | 63.2B | 3% |
FND | HD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 56 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 62 Fair valued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 76 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 74 | 11 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 85 | 57 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FND's Valuation (62) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as HD (71). This means that FND’s stock grew similarly to HD’s over the last 12 months.
HD's Profit vs Risk Rating (76) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as FND (100). This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
HD's SMR Rating (11) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FND (74). This means that HD’s stock grew somewhat faster than FND’s over the last 12 months.
FND's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as HD (59). This means that FND’s stock grew similarly to HD’s over the last 12 months.
HD's P/E Growth Rating (57) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as FND (85). This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
| FND | HD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 45% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 67% | 6 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 51% |
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FND and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FND has been closely correlated with HD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FND jumps, then HD could also see price increases.