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FND vs HD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) vs. The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Home Depot (HD) continues to benefit from a robust housing market, delivering stronger revenue growth than Floor & Decor (FND) over the past month.
- FND’s recent earnings beat was driven by higher average transaction size, yet its margin outlook remains pressured by rising freight costs.
- HD’s dividend yield (~2.6%) and consistent cash flow make it attractive for income‑focused investors, while FND offers higher upside potential but greater volatility.
- Both companies face supply‑chain headwinds, but HD’s scale allows better cost absorption compared with FND’s narrower product mix.
- AI‑driven trading bots on Tickeron tend to favor stocks with clear trend consistency; recent data points toward a slight edge for HD.
Introduction
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) and The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) represent two distinct segments of the U.S. home‑improvement retail landscape. FND operates a specialty tile and stone retail chain, while HD is the world’s largest home‑improvement retailer with a broad product assortment. This comparison is relevant for both swing traders tracking short‑term price dynamics and long‑term investors evaluating sector exposure, dividend stability, and growth catalysts.
FND Overview and Recent Performance
Floor & Decor (FND) specializes in hard‑surface flooring, offering tile, stone, and related accessories through a network of nearly 150 showrooms. The company reported first‑quarter fiscal 2025 earnings in early May, posting earnings per share (EPS – earnings per share) of $0.67, surpassing analysts’ consensus of $0.61. Revenue grew 7% year‑over‑year, buoyed by a 9% increase in average transaction size as consumers renovated larger areas of their homes.
Recent market activity shows FND trading in a modest uptrend, with the stock gaining roughly 4% over the past three weeks. The rally has been supported by the earnings beat and a favorable redesign of the “Buy‑Now‑Pay‑Later” financing program that expands credit access for DIY consumers. However, analysts note that rising freight rates and a tighter labor market compress gross margins, which fell to 31.2% from 32.5% in the prior quarter. The company’s price‑earnings (PE – price‑earnings ratio) multiple now sits near 12× forward earnings, indicating a modest valuation premium relative to peers.
HD Overview and Recent Performance
The Home Depot (HD) operates over 2,300 big‑box stores across the United States, Canada, and Mexico, providing a full spectrum of building materials, décor, and professional services. In its most recent quarterly release, HD posted EPS of $3.16, beating the $3.04 consensus, while net sales rose 5% driven by strong demand for remodeling projects and a continued shift toward professional‑contractor purchases.
Over the past month, HD’s share price has risen about 2.5% and remains within an ascending 20‑day moving average, suggesting continued momentum. The retailer’s dividend yield is near 2.6%, and its free cash flow generation exceeds $4 billion annually, supporting a stable payout. Despite modest inflationary pressures, HD’s gross margin improved slightly to 34.8%, helped by effective supplier negotiations and an increased mix of higher‑margin services. The PE multiple hovers around 18× forward earnings, reflecting its blue‑chip status and consistent cash generation.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates the most effective AI‑driven trading bots from a library of hundreds that operate across thousands of tickers. These bots employ a variety of strategies—ranging from momentum‑based scalping to mean‑reversion swing methods—and cover multiple timeframes, from intraday to multi‑week positions. Performance metrics typically show win rates between 55% and 70% and average returns on investment (ROI) that can exceed 12% annualized for top‑ranked bots. By focusing on the most suitable bots for current market conditions, the trending list helps traders identify algorithms that align with prevailing volatility and sector trends.
Head‑to‑Head Comparison
- Business Model: HD benefits from a diversified product mix and a large physical footprint, enabling economies of scale. FND’s niche focus on hard‑surface flooring yields higher per‑customer spend but limits cross‑selling opportunities.
- Growth Drivers: HD’s growth is anchored in professional‑contractor spend and large‑scale remodels, while FND relies on consumer‑driven DIY upgrades and higher average ticket sizes.
- Recent Momentum: Both stocks posted earnings beats, yet HD maintains a steadier uptrend with lower volatility; FND’s price action shows sharper swings, reflecting its smaller market cap.
- Risk Factors: FND faces margin compression from freight costs and limited bargaining power with suppliers. HD’s primary risks are exposure to interest‑rate‑driven housing market slowdowns and potential supply‑chain disruptions.
- Sector Exposure: Both operate within the home‑improvement sector, but HD’s classification as a consumer discretionary staple gives it broader macro‑economic resilience.
- Market Sentiment: Analyst coverage skews more bullish on HD due to its dividend reliability and cash flow stability, whereas sentiment on FND is mixed, balancing growth potential against margin pressure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on recent trend consistency, cash‑flow robustness, and dividend attractiveness, Tickeron’s AI models assign a modest preference toward The Home Depot (HD) for the current market environment. The algorithm highlights HD’s steady upward trajectory and lower volatility as key factors. Floor & Decor (FND) remains an attractive high‑beta play for traders seeking larger relative moves, but the AI’s probabilistic weighting tilts slightly in favor of HD.
Disclaimer
“The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.” Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FND is a StrongBuy and HD is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FND’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileHD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FND’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- HD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FND’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HD’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FND’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
- HD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FND (@Home Improvement Chains) experienced а -4.42% price change this week, while HD (@Home Improvement Chains) price change was -0.97% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was +2.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.81%.
Reported Earning Dates
FND is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
HD is expected to report earnings on Aug 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Home Improvement Chains (+2.76% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
| FND | HD | FND / HD | |
| Capitalization | 5.56B | 324B | 2% |
| EBITDA | 509M | 25.1B | 2% |
| Gain YTD | -16.604 | -3.729 | 445% |
| P/E Ratio | 27.60 | 23.20 | 119% |
| Revenue | 4.68B | 167B | 3% |
| Total Cash | 294M | 1.6B | 18% |
| Total Debt | 2.01B | 63.2B | 3% |
FND | HD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 64 Fair valued | 70 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 75 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 77 | 11 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 56 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 10 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FND's Valuation (64) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as HD (70). This means that FND’s stock grew similarly to HD’s over the last 12 months.
HD's Profit vs Risk Rating (75) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as FND (100). This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
HD's SMR Rating (11) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is significantly better than the same rating for FND (77). This means that HD’s stock grew significantly faster than FND’s over the last 12 months.
HD's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as FND (52). This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
HD's P/E Growth Rating (56) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as FND (80). This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
| FND | HD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 27 days ago 69% | 8 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 80% | 23 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 55% |
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FND and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FND has been loosely correlated with RH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FND jumps, then RH could also see price increases.
HD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HD has been closely correlated with LOW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HD jumps, then LOW could also see price increases.