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FND vs HD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) vs. The Home Depot (HD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FND reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 net sales of $1.25 billion, up 3.0% year over year, though comparable store sales declined 2.1% amid housing market pressures.
- HD maintains a significantly larger scale with a market capitalization exceeding $337 billion and a broader product assortment compared to FND's specialized flooring focus.
- Recent market activity shows FND trading near $59 with analyst price targets around $63, while HD has traded near $339 amid modest year-to-date returns.
- Both companies operate in the home improvement sector, but HD benefits from greater diversification and pro-contractor exposure, whereas FND offers targeted growth in hard-surface flooring.
- Sentiment for FND reflects ongoing housing headwinds and insider selling activity in recent weeks, while HD demonstrates relative stability ahead of upcoming earnings.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between FND's higher growth volatility and HD's established market leadership and cash-flow consistency.
Introduction
Investors and traders frequently compare FND and HD due to their shared exposure to the U.S. housing and renovation markets. Floor & Decor Holdings operates as a specialty retailer focused on flooring products, while The Home Depot serves as the dominant big-box home improvement chain with a wide range of categories. This comparison appeals to market participants evaluating relative positioning within consumer discretionary retail, particularly those assessing how specialized versus diversified business models perform amid fluctuating housing demand, interest rates, and consumer spending patterns. The analysis highlights observable differences in scale, recent momentum, and sector dynamics without favoring either security.
FND Overview and Recent Performance
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) is a specialty retailer offering hard-surface flooring and related products through a warehouse-format store network. The company targets both do-it-yourself consumers and professional installers with a focus on in-stock availability and competitive pricing. In recent weeks, FND shares have traded in the $58–$61 range following second-quarter fiscal 2026 results that showed net sales of $1.25 billion, representing a 3.0% year-over-year increase, although comparable store sales declined 2.1%. Housing market softness and customer price sensitivity have weighed on sentiment. Insider selling activity was also reported during this period. Broader market conditions, including persistent interest-rate effects on renovation spending, have influenced performance, with analysts maintaining a consensus hold rating and average price targets near $63.
HD Overview and Recent Performance
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) is the largest home improvement retailer in the United States, operating more than 2,300 stores and offering an extensive assortment of products for repair, maintenance, and remodeling projects. The company serves a broad customer base that includes both consumers and professional contractors. Recent market activity shows HD shares trading near $339, with year-to-date performance approximately flat to slightly negative amid broader sector pressures. Earlier fiscal 2026 quarterly results demonstrated modest comparable sales growth and reaffirmed full-year guidance for sales and earnings-per-share expansion. The stock has exhibited relative stability compared with smaller peers, supported by scale advantages and ongoing operational initiatives. Market participants continue to monitor upcoming earnings releases for further insight into transaction trends and macroeconomic influences.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) and The Home Depot (HD) differ markedly in business model and scale. HD operates as a diversified big-box retailer with broad category exposure and a large professional-contractor segment, providing greater revenue stability and supply-chain efficiencies. In contrast, FND maintains a narrower focus on hard-surface flooring, enabling deeper assortment and specialized service but increasing sensitivity to flooring-specific demand cycles. Recent momentum favors HD’s relative resilience, while FND has faced more pronounced comparable-sales pressure. Risk factors include housing-market volatility for both, though FND carries additional exposure to import dependencies and smaller-store economics. Market sentiment reflects these contrasts, with HD viewed as a defensive large-cap holding and FND positioned for potential outperformance in a housing recovery.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning within the sector, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to HD. The company’s scale, diversified revenue streams, and history of steady guidance provide a more consistent signal profile compared with FND’s narrower focus and recent comparable-sales softness. This assessment remains probabilistic and subject to shifts in housing data, consumer spending, or broader market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FND is a Hold and HD is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FND’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileHD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FND’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- HD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FND’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HD’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FND’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- HD’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FND (@Home Improvement Chains) experienced а -7.36% price change this week, while HD (@Home Improvement Chains) price change was -0.96% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was -4.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.03%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.37%.
Reported Earning Dates
FND is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
HD is expected to report earnings on Nov 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Home Improvement Chains (-4.27% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
| FND | HD | FND / HD | |
| Capitalization | 5.78B | 335B | 2% |
| EBITDA | 557M | 25.1B | 2% |
| Gain YTD | -10.888 | -1.079 | 1,009% |
| P/E Ratio | 25.36 | 23.49 | 108% |
| Revenue | 4.71B | 167B | 3% |
| Total Cash | 321M | 1.6B | 20% |
| Total Debt | 2.01B | 63.2B | 3% |
FND | HD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 63 Fair valued | 67 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 79 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 11 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 88 | 63 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FND's Valuation (63) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as HD (67). This means that FND’s stock grew similarly to HD’s over the last 12 months.
HD's Profit vs Risk Rating (79) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as FND (100). This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
HD's SMR Rating (11) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FND (72). This means that HD’s stock grew somewhat faster than FND’s over the last 12 months.
HD's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as FND (61). This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
HD's P/E Growth Rating (63) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as FND (88). This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
| FND | HD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 68% | 19 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 6 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 53% |
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FND and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FND has been closely correlated with HD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FND jumps, then HD could also see price increases.