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FND vs HD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) vs. The Home Depot (HD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FND reported Q2 fiscal 2026 net sales of $1.25 billion, up 3.0% year over year, with comparable store sales declining 2.1% amid ongoing housing market softness.
- HD delivered stronger Q2 fiscal 2026 results with sales of $47.9 billion, up 5.7%, and comparable sales rising 1.7%, while reaffirming full-year guidance.
- FND trades at a lower market capitalization of approximately $5.0 billion with higher volatility, reflecting its specialized flooring focus and recent share-price pressure near $47.
- HD maintains a dominant position with a market capitalization exceeding $308 billion, consistent dividend payments, and broader exposure across the home-improvement sector.
- Analyst consensus rates FND as Hold with an average target near $59, while HD carries a Strong Buy rating with higher average targets around $380.
- Both stocks have faced year-to-date declines influenced by cautious consumer spending, yet HD demonstrates greater earnings stability and scale advantages in recent market activity.
Introduction
Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) and The Home Depot (HD) operate within the home-improvement retail sector, making them natural comparables for investors evaluating exposure to housing-related demand. FND specializes in hard-surface flooring for both homeowners and professionals, while HD offers a wide assortment of home-improvement products and services. This comparison appeals to traders monitoring relative performance in a challenging housing environment, as well as longer-term investors assessing growth consistency, margin resilience, and market positioning amid shifting consumer priorities. The analysis draws on recent earnings, analyst views, and observable price behavior to highlight key contrasts.
FND Overview and Recent Performance
Floor & Decor Holdings operates as a specialty retailer focused on hard-surface flooring products. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near $47 amid broader sector pressure from soft housing demand. Q2 fiscal 2026 results showed net sales rising 3.0% to $1.25 billion, though comparable store sales fell 2.1%. Pro customer sales grew 4%, supporting resilience, while the company opened new warehouse stores and returned capital via share repurchases. Full-year guidance projects net sales between $4.77 billion and $4.99 billion with comparable store sales ranging from flat to down 4%. Analyst ratings cluster around Hold, with an average price target near $59. Sentiment reflects ongoing caution tied to discretionary spending and housing market conditions, offset by operational discipline and expansion efforts.
HD Overview and Recent Performance
The Home Depot serves as the largest home-improvement retailer with extensive product categories and a strong pro segment. Recent market activity shows the stock near $309, with year-to-date declines reflecting broader consumer caution. Q2 fiscal 2026 results exceeded expectations, with sales climbing 5.7% to $47.9 billion and comparable sales advancing 1.7%. The company reaffirmed fiscal 2026 guidance calling for total sales growth of 2.5% to 4.5% and comparable sales between flat and up 2.0%. Initiatives such as the Magic Apron AI shopping assistant support customer engagement. Consensus ratings lean toward Strong Buy, with average price targets exceeding $380. Performance has benefited from scale, consistent dividend payouts, and modest comparable-sales improvement despite a subdued housing backdrop.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FND and HD share exposure to the home-improvement cycle but differ markedly in scale and business model. FND concentrates on flooring, creating higher sensitivity to housing turnover and discretionary purchases, whereas HD benefits from diversified categories and a larger professional customer base. Recent momentum favors HD, which posted positive comparable-sales growth in Q2 while FND experienced a decline. Risk factors for FND include greater earnings volatility and a narrower product focus; HD carries higher absolute debt but offsets this with substantial cash flow and a dividend yield near 3%. Market sentiment reflects HD’s defensive qualities and consistent guidance, while FND offers potential upside from operational improvements if housing conditions stabilize. Sector exposure remains similar, yet HD’s size provides relative stability during periods of consumer restraint.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to HD. The company’s larger scale, diversified revenue streams, and history of steady guidance provide a more consistent signal profile compared with FND’s narrower focus and recent comparable-sales softness. Outcomes remain subject to evolving market conditions and sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FND is a Hold and HD is a StrongBuy.
FND | HD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 53 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 62 Fair valued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 14 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 86 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FND's Valuation (62) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as HD (79). This means that FND’s stock grew similarly to HD’s over the last 12 months.
FND's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as HD (100). This means that FND’s stock grew similarly to HD’s over the last 12 months.
HD's SMR Rating (14) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FND (72). This means that HD’s stock grew somewhat faster than FND’s over the last 12 months.
HD's Price Growth Rating (64) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as FND (76). This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
HD's P/E Growth Rating (71) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as FND (86). This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
| FND | HD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | N/A |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 68% | 19 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 46% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FND’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while HD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FND’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- HD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FND’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HD’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FND’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- HD’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
FND (@Home Improvement Chains) experienced а -0.84% price change this week, while HD (@Home Improvement Chains) price change was -3.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was -2.45%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.77%.
Reported Earning Dates
FND is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
HD is expected to report earnings on Nov 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Home Improvement Chains (-2.45% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
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FND and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FND has been closely correlated with HD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FND jumps, then HD could also see price increases.