Analysis and predictions FND vs ULTA
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FND is a Hold and ULTA is a Sell.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FND’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileULTA’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FND’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ULTA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FND’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ULTA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FND’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- ULTA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FND (@Specialty Stores) experienced а -4.75% price change this week, while ULTA (@Specialty Stores) price change was -2.78% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was -2.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
FND is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2023.
ULTA is expected to report earnings on Dec 07, 2023.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Stores (-2.88% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
| FND | ULTA | FND / ULTA | |
| Capitalization | 9.97B | 20.2B | 49% |
| EBITDA | 565M | 1.88B | 30% |
| Gain YTD | 30.045 | -13.819 | -217% |
| P/E Ratio | 34.84 | 16.50 | 211% |
| Revenue | 4.4B | 10.7B | 41% |
| Total Cash | 4.17M | 389M | 1% |
| Total Debt | 1.63B | 1.88B | 87% |
FND | ULTA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 61 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 35 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 52 | 17 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 72 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FND's Valuation (78) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as ULTA (87) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that FND’s stock grew similarly to ULTA’s over the last 12 months.
ULTA's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as FND (37) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that ULTA’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
ULTA's SMR Rating (17) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FND (52) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that ULTA’s stock grew somewhat faster than FND’s over the last 12 months.
FND's Price Growth Rating (53) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as ULTA (63) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that FND’s stock grew similarly to ULTA’s over the last 12 months.
FND's P/E Growth Rating (37) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ULTA (72) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that FND’s stock grew somewhat faster than ULTA’s over the last 12 months.
| FND | ULTA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 24 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 56% |
FND and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FND has been closely correlated with HD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FND jumps, then HD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FND | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FND | 100% | -3.35% | ||
| HD - FND | 73% Closely correlated | -1.32% | ||
| LOW - FND | 72% Closely correlated | -2.00% | ||
| CPRT - FND | 64% Loosely correlated | -2.00% | ||
| CARS - FND | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.66% | ||
| RH - FND | 58% Loosely correlated | -5.42% | ||
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ULTA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ULTA has been loosely correlated with TSCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ULTA jumps, then TSCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ULTA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULTA | 100% | -1.72% | ||
| TSCO - ULTA | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.43% | ||
| SBH - ULTA | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.84% | ||
| HNST - ULTA | 49% Loosely correlated | +1.63% | ||
| FIVE - ULTA | 47% Loosely correlated | -3.42% | ||
| CPRT - ULTA | 45% Loosely correlated | -2.00% | ||
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