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FOSL vs REAL
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FOSL is a Buy and REAL is a Buy.
FOSL's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FOSL turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where FOSL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FOSL as a result. In 79 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Following a +3.80% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FOSL advanced for three days, in 191 of 233 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 115 of 136 cases where FOSL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 85%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FOSL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
FOSL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 23 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FOSL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: FOSL's P/B Ratio (5.138) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.998). FOSL has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-6.150) as compared to the industry average of (12.296). FOSL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.900) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.949). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.057) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.306) is also within normal values, averaging (1.162).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FOSL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
REAL in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026
The 10-day moving average for REAL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on REAL as a result. In 70 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
REAL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +15.85% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where REAL advanced for three days, in 239 of 275 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 157 of 186 cases where REAL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 84%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 17 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where REAL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
REAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 14 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-4.146) is normal, around the industry mean (6.838). REAL has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-18.127) as compared to the industry average of (13.340). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.396). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.110) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.498) is also within normal values, averaging (2.867).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. REAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. REAL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
FOSL | REAL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 42 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 85 Overvalued | 14 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 87 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 60 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 23 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
REAL's Valuation (14) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for FOSL (85) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that REAL’s stock grew significantly faster than FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
REAL's Profit vs Risk Rating (87) in the null industry is in the same range as FOSL (100) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that REAL’s stock grew similarly to FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
FOSL's SMR Rating (98) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is in the same range as REAL (100) in the null industry. This means that FOSL’s stock grew similarly to REAL’s over the last 12 months.
FOSL's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is in the same range as REAL (35) in the null industry. This means that FOSL’s stock grew similarly to REAL’s over the last 12 months.
REAL's P/E Growth Rating (60) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FOSL (97) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that REAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
| FOSL | REAL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 89% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 6 days ago 86% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 86% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 87% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 89% | 6 days ago 88% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 84% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FOSL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while REAL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FOSL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- REAL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FOSL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while REAL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FOSL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- REAL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FOSL (@Wholesale Distributors) experienced а +17.64% price change this week, while REAL (@Catalog/Specialty Distribution) price change was +7.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Wholesale Distributors industry was -5.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.44%, and the average quarterly price growth was +25.83%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry was -2.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
FOSL is expected to report earnings on Mar 10, 2027.
REAL is expected to report earnings on Feb 24, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Wholesale Distributors (-5.38% weekly)Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.
@Catalog/Specialty Distribution (-2.25% weekly)The catalog and specialty distribution industry includes companies that offer retail through mail-order houses, media, online social platforms, mobile apps and other channels outside of brick-and-mortar stores. Several companies in this business partner with retail companies to assist them with marketing, digital solutions, warehousing, and/or other distribution capabilities. In essence, the industry acts as a potential catalyst for retailers/brands to widen their reach among customers. Pinduoduo Inc., Qurate Retail, Inc. and Baozun are some of the major players in this business.
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FOSL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FOSL has been loosely correlated with MOV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 38% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FOSL jumps, then MOV could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FOSL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOSL | 100% | +26.68% | ||
| MOV - FOSL | 38% Loosely correlated | +1.43% | ||
| SHOO - FOSL | 32% Poorly correlated | +0.40% | ||
| SIG - FOSL | 31% Poorly correlated | +0.30% | ||
| ONON - FOSL | 27% Poorly correlated | +0.03% | ||
| BIRK - FOSL | 26% Poorly correlated | -1.77% | ||
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REAL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that REAL and CPRI have been poorly correlated (+30% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that REAL and CPRI's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To REAL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REAL | 100% | -2.41% | ||
| CPRI - REAL | 30% Poorly correlated | -3.87% | ||
| MOV - REAL | 25% Poorly correlated | +1.43% | ||
| SIG - REAL | 25% Poorly correlated | +0.30% | ||
| TPR - REAL | 19% Poorly correlated | -1.68% | ||
| FOSL - REAL | 9% Poorly correlated | +26.68% | ||
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