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FOX vs NXST
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Fox Corporation (FOX) vs. Nexstar Media Group (NXST) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Fox Corporation (FOX) is pivoting toward digital growth through Tubi, its new Fox One streaming service, and a pending $22 billion acquisition of connected-TV platform Roku, while Nexstar Media Group (NXST) is scaling through its TEGNA acquisition and local broadcast dominance.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: FOX is currently the favored ticker, supported by stronger near-term trend consistency, clearer digital catalysts, and a more constructive relative performance profile.
- Both companies are Communication Services businesses, but their growth drivers diverge sharply: FOX leans on national sports, news, and streaming, while NXST depends on local station advertising and political ad cycles.
- NXST carries elevated financial leverage and an unresolved antitrust challenge over TEGNA, while FOX faces execution risk tied to integrating a major acquisition of its own.
- For more context, explore FOX Major News and FOX Today's Price Move, as well as NXST Major News and NXST Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI evaluates opportunities like these, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Investors weighing the U.S. media and broadcasting sector often encounter two very different value propositions in FOX and NXST. Fox Corporation operates national news, sports, and entertainment brands alongside a growing free, ad-supported streaming (AVOD) presence, while Nexstar Media Group is the largest local television station owner in the country, complemented by national assets such as The CW and NewsNation. This stock comparison is relevant to traders and investors assessing how two legacy television businesses are repositioning for a digital-first, streaming-heavy market. Their recent market activity highlights contrasting risk profiles, catalysts, and momentum, making the relative performance of these two names a useful lens on the broader media landscape.
FOX Overview and Recent Performance
FOX, the parent of Fox News, Fox Sports, and the Tubi streaming service, has used recent quarters to emphasize digital and direct-to-consumer growth. The company's streaming offerings have become a central focus, with Tubi reaching profitability ahead of schedule and the newer Fox One subscription service exceeding early subscriber expectations. Advertising and distribution revenue have remained resilient, supported by strong ratings across news and sports programming.
In recent weeks, sentiment has also been shaped by FOX's pending acquisition of Roku, a connected-TV platform, in a deal valued near $22 billion. Reports that regulators could soon approve the transaction have narrowed the deal spread and drawn fresh investor attention. Broader catalysts such as the FIFA World Cup and the U.S. midterm election advertising cycle have added support to the outlook, even as the shares have experienced periods of volatility. Over recent months, FOX has delivered a notable rebound in share price, although its longer-horizon returns remain more measured.
NXST Overview and Recent Performance
NXST, the largest owner-operator of U.S. television stations with more than 200 stations across 116 markets, generates revenue primarily from local advertising, distribution fees, and political advertising. The company also holds controlling interests in The CW network and NewsNation, along with a stake in the Food Network's parent. Its scale gives it significant negotiating leverage with pay-TV distributors, but it also ties the business closely to secular declines in linear television.
Recent performance has been defined by the completion of Nexstar's acquisition of TEGNA, which lifted revenue to record levels but roughly doubled its debt load. The deal remains subject to an antitrust lawsuit and a preliminary injunction that currently forces the two companies to operate separately. Elevated short interest reflects ongoing market skepticism, and the shares have traded well below their 52-week high in recent weeks. An election-year boost to political advertising has partially offset softer non-political ad trends, but leverage and legal uncertainty remain key overhangs.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI Trading Bots that trade thousands of different tickers, each built around distinct trading styles, strategies, timeframes, and performance statistics. Because no single approach fits every market, Tickeron curates only the most suitable bots for current conditions into its Trending AI Robots section. This selection surfaces the strategies with the most relevant recent performance and statistical profiles, helping traders narrow a large universe down to a focused, market-aligned shortlist. Whether you are evaluating media names like FOX and NXST or scanning the broader market, exploring the Trending AI Robots page can offer a structured, data-driven starting point for identifying opportunities.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies occupy adjacent but distinct corners of the media industry. FOX is anchored by national cable and broadcast brands with high-margin subscription and advertising economics, and it is actively building digital scale through Tubi, Fox One, and the Roku deal. NXST, by contrast, is a local broadcast consolidator whose results swing with political advertising cycles and depend on distribution-fee repricing.
Growth drivers also differ. FOX's catalysts are largely digital and content-driven, while NXST's are tied to acquisition synergies and regulatory outcomes. On the risk side, FOX must integrate a large acquisition and manage ongoing pay-TV subscriber declines, whereas NXST carries substantially higher leverage and faces an active antitrust injunction. Market sentiment has been comparatively more constructive toward FOX in recent trading, reflecting its cleaner balance sheet and clearer near-term catalysts, while NXST's heavy short interest signals persistent doubt about the durability of its post-TEGNA growth.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward FOX. The company's momentum is supported by consistent streaming growth, a strengthening digital narrative, and multiple near-term catalysts, while its balance sheet remains comparatively conservative. NXST offers an attractive dividend yield and deep local-market scale, but elevated leverage and unresolved legal risk introduce greater uncertainty into the near-term outlook. As with any probabilistic assessment, this view reflects current conditions and could shift as new data emerges, but the balance of evidence presently favors FOX.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FOX is a StrongBuy and NXST is a Buy.
FOX in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026
The 10-day moving average for FOX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FOX as a result. In 64 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FOX just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where FOX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
FOX moved above its 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +10.11% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FOX advanced for three days, in 235 of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 208 of 306 cases where FOX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 31 of 63 cases where FOX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FOX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
FOX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FOX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 51 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.158) is normal, around the industry mean (12.833). P/E Ratio (15.217) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.433). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.013) is also within normal values, averaging (2.376). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.047) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.517) is also within normal values, averaging (2.932).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
NXST's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NXST turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where NXST's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NXST as a result. In 52 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
NXST moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NXST crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Following a +8.72% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NXST advanced for three days, in 191 of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 119 of 205 cases where NXST Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 58%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NXST declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
NXST broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NXST’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 97, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 54 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.585) is normal, around the industry mean (3.429). P/E Ratio (35.189) is within average values for comparable stocks, (112.313). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.273) is also within normal values, averaging (1.298). Dividend Yield (0.039) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.860) is also within normal values, averaging (8.232).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
FOX | NXST | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 47 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 51 Fair valued | 54 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 50 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 78 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 29 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FOX's Valuation (51) in the Broadcasting industry is in the same range as NXST (54). This means that FOX’s stock grew similarly to NXST’s over the last 12 months.
FOX's Profit vs Risk Rating (42) in the Broadcasting industry is in the same range as NXST (50). This means that FOX’s stock grew similarly to NXST’s over the last 12 months.
NXST's SMR Rating (78) in the Broadcasting industry is in the same range as FOX (95). This means that NXST’s stock grew similarly to FOX’s over the last 12 months.
FOX's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Broadcasting industry is in the same range as NXST (40). This means that FOX’s stock grew similarly to NXST’s over the last 12 months.
NXST's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Broadcasting industry is in the same range as FOX (29). This means that NXST’s stock grew similarly to FOX’s over the last 12 months.
| FOX | NXST | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 6 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 48% | 17 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 58% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FOX’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while NXST’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FOX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NXST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FOX’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NXST’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FOX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NXST’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FOX (@Movies/Entertainment) experienced а +1.04% price change this week, while NXST (@Broadcasting) price change was +15.70% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Movies/Entertainment industry was +3.74%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.90%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.77%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Broadcasting industry was -1.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
FOX is expected to report earnings on Feb 10, 2027.
NXST is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Movies/Entertainment (+3.74% weekly)Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.
@Broadcasting (-1.73% weekly)Broadcasting industry includes companies that operate facilities broadcasting radio and/or television programs. Sirius XM Holdings, Inc. (which provides satellite radio and online radio services); Fox Corporation (news and sports broadcasting on TV); and CBS Corporation (TV broadcasting) are some of the behemoths of this industry. The burgeoning digital space has been a disruption for the industry, propelling them to up the ante on their own digital presence.
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FOX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FOX has been closely correlated with FOXA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 99% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FOX jumps, then FOXA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FOX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOX | 100% | -0.43% | ||
| FOXA - FOX | 99% Closely correlated | -0.47% | ||
| NXST - FOX | 65% Loosely correlated | +2.66% | ||
| SBGI - FOX | 51% Loosely correlated | +6.18% | ||
| NWS - FOX | 42% Loosely correlated | +1.64% | ||
| NWSA - FOX | 40% Loosely correlated | +0.15% | ||
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