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FOX vs NXST
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Fox Corporation (FOX) vs. Nexstar Media Group (NXST) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Fox Corporation (FOX) boasts a year-to-date return of 12.36%, outperforming Nexstar Media Group (NXST)'s 0.67% amid broader market gains.
- NXST offers a higher dividend yield of 3.67%, appealing to income-focused investors, compared to FOX's 0.99%.
- Recent Q1 earnings for NXST beat estimates, boosted by the TEGNA deal and political advertising, while FOX approaches Q3 earnings with expected declines but strong sports viewership.
- FOX exhibits lower volatility with a beta of 0.53 versus NXST's 0.96, reflecting more stable performance in recent market activity.
- Both stocks operate in broadcasting but differ in scale: FOX has a larger market cap of $24B, while NXST emphasizes local stations and digital assets.
Introduction
Fox Corporation (FOX) and Nexstar Media Group (NXST) are key players in the media and broadcasting sector, both navigating shifts in advertising revenue, streaming growth, and political ad cycles. This stock comparison evaluates their recent performance, business models, and market positioning in the current environment of volatile viewer habits and digital transformation. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors prioritizing dividends or stability will find value in understanding their relative strengths, such as FOX's national sports dominance versus NXST's local market footprint and high yield.
FOX Overview and Recent Performance
Fox Corporation (FOX), a news, sports, and entertainment provider, operates through segments including Cable Network Programming, Television, Credible (consumer finance), and The FOX Studio Lot. Its brands encompass FOX News, FOX Sports, Tubi (ad-supported streaming), and local broadcast stations. In recent market activity, FOX shares traded around $56.60, with a year-to-date gain of 12.36% and 1-year return of 21.79%, outpacing the S&P 500 in shorter terms. Sentiment has been supported by robust sports viewership and streaming momentum on Tubi, despite anticipated Q3 earnings pressures from rising production costs and a projected 7.3% EPS decline to $1.02. The stock's low beta of 0.53 underscores defensive qualities, with a market cap of $24B and trailing P/E of 13.57 reflecting steady profitability (11.41% profit margin).
NXST Overview and Recent Performance
Nexstar Media Group (NXST), a diversified media firm, owns and operates TV stations, NewsNation cable network, WGN-AM radio, and digital platforms including 125 local websites and apps. It affiliates with major networks like ABC, NBC, FOX, and CBS, focusing on local news, sports, and entertainment. Shares recently hovered near $202.79, posting a modest YTD return of 0.67% but a solid 28.07% over one year. Recent weeks saw positive momentum from Q1 earnings that beat estimates, driven by the TEGNA acquisition and elevated political advertising. A quarterly dividend of $1.86 (3.67% yield) bolsters appeal, though higher beta (0.96) and debt/equity of 320.85% highlight risks. With a $6.2B market cap and trailing P/E of 42.96, performance reflects cyclical ad reliance amid digital expansion.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Fox Corporation (FOX) and Nexstar Media Group (NXST) share broadcasting exposure but contrast in scale and focus: FOX's national cable (FOX News, Sports) and Tubi streaming drive diversified revenue (ttm $16.58B), while NXST's local stations and NewsNation emphasize community ties ($5.11B revenue). Growth drivers differ—FOX benefits from sports catalysts, NXST from M&A (mergers and acquisitions) like TEGNA and political ads. Recent momentum favors FOX YTD, but NXST edges 1-year returns. Risk profiles show FOX's lower beta and debt versus NXST's higher yield but elevated leverage. Market sentiment tilts toward FOX stability amid streaming shifts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward Fox Corporation (FOX), citing superior trend consistency, lower volatility (beta 0.53), positive YTD momentum, and robust sports/streaming catalysts positioning it favorably relative to NXST. While NXST shows earnings beats and dividend strength, its higher debt and muted YTD suggest greater short-term risks in choppy markets.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FOX is a Buy and NXST is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FOX’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNXST’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- FOX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NXST’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FOX’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NXST’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FOX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NXST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FOX (@Movies/Entertainment) experienced а -1.60% price change this week, while NXST (@Broadcasting) price change was -4.13% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Movies/Entertainment industry was +5.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.38%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Broadcasting industry was +4.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.77%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17.88%.
Reported Earning Dates
FOX is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
NXST is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Movies/Entertainment (+5.10% weekly)Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.
@Broadcasting (+4.61% weekly)Broadcasting industry includes companies that operate facilities broadcasting radio and/or television programs. Sirius XM Holdings, Inc. (which provides satellite radio and online radio services); Fox Corporation (news and sports broadcasting on TV); and CBS Corporation (TV broadcasting) are some of the behemoths of this industry. The burgeoning digital space has been a disruption for the industry, propelling them to up the ante on their own digital presence.
| FOX | NXST | FOX / NXST | |
| Capitalization | 26.1B | 5.33B | 490% |
| EBITDA | 3.12B | 1.34B | 233% |
| Gain YTD | -8.768 | -12.551 | 70% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.51 | 36.97 | 42% |
| Revenue | 16.2B | 5.11B | 317% |
| Total Cash | 3.6B | 379M | 950% |
| Total Debt | 7.57B | 12.2B | 62% |
FOX | NXST | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 80 Overvalued | 13 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 65 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 78 | 82 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 30 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 5 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXST's Valuation (13) in the Broadcasting industry is significantly better than the same rating for FOX (80). This means that NXST’s stock grew significantly faster than FOX’s over the last 12 months.
FOX's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Broadcasting industry is in the same range as NXST (65). This means that FOX’s stock grew similarly to NXST’s over the last 12 months.
FOX's SMR Rating (78) in the Broadcasting industry is in the same range as NXST (82). This means that FOX’s stock grew similarly to NXST’s over the last 12 months.
FOX's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Broadcasting industry is in the same range as NXST (63). This means that FOX’s stock grew similarly to NXST’s over the last 12 months.
NXST's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Broadcasting industry is in the same range as FOX (30). This means that NXST’s stock grew similarly to FOX’s over the last 12 months.
| FOX | NXST | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 25 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 49% | 19 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 41% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 53% |
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FOX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FOX has been closely correlated with FOXA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 98% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FOX jumps, then FOXA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FOX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOX | 100% | -3.98% | ||
| FOXA - FOX | 98% Closely correlated | -3.59% | ||
| NXST - FOX | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.01% | ||
| NWS - FOX | 54% Loosely correlated | -2.89% | ||
| NWSA - FOX | 53% Loosely correlated | -2.34% | ||
| SBGI - FOX | 51% Loosely correlated | -2.77% | ||
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NXST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NXST has been loosely correlated with FOX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NXST jumps, then FOX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NXST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXST | 100% | -0.01% | ||
| FOX - NXST | 65% Loosely correlated | -3.98% | ||
| FOXA - NXST | 65% Loosely correlated | -3.59% | ||
| WBD - NXST | 64% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| GTN - NXST | 55% Loosely correlated | -3.45% | ||
| PSKY - NXST | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.19% | ||
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