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FPI vs LAND
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Farmland Partners (FPI) vs. Gladstone Land (LAND) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FPI (Farmland Partners) is an internally managed farmland real estate investment trust (REIT) weighted toward row crops, while LAND (Gladstone Land) is an externally managed REIT concentrated in permanent crops and California water assets.
- FPI has posted steady profitability and recently raised its dividend and earnings guidance, reflecting a more predictable cash-flow profile.
- LAND offers a higher dividend yield but is working through tenant issues, vacant farms, and crop-participation leases that add farming risk.
- Both names are affected by agricultural commodity prices, but their crop mix and geographic exposure create distinct risk and momentum profiles.
- Recent relative performance has favored FPI, though analyst sentiment on LAND has been mixed-to-improving.
Introduction
Farmland has become a popular way for investors to gain exposure to real assets and agricultural inflation without owning a farm directly. Two of the most visible publicly traded farmland REITs are Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) and Gladstone Land Corporation (LAND). Although both generate revenue by leasing farmland, their portfolios, capital structures, and recent operating results diverge meaningfully. This stock comparison is relevant for income-focused investors evaluating dividend durability, as well as traders assessing relative performance and market positioning between two names in the same niche sector. Understanding these contrasts can help clarify which business model may be better suited to current market conditions.
FPI Overview and Recent Performance
Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) is an internally managed real estate company that owns roughly 70,000 acres of North American farmland across 11 states. Its portfolio is weighted toward primary row crops such as corn, soybeans, wheat, rice, and cotton, with a smaller specialty-crop component. The company also operates a lending program that makes loans to farmers secured by farm real estate.
In recent quarters, FPI has emphasized portfolio quality and balance-sheet simplification. Management reduced California exposure through West Coast property dispositions and redeemed all remaining Series A preferred units, removing a source of potential dilution. Financially, the company reported positive net income and adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) in its most recent results, alongside a modest year-over-year improvement in net operating income (NOI). It also raised the low end of its full-year AFFO guidance and lifted its quarterly dividend to $0.09 per share, a roughly 50% increase on an annualized basis. These developments have supported a comparatively stable performance trend in recent market activity.
LAND Overview and Recent Performance
Gladstone Land Corporation (LAND) is an externally managed REIT that owns approximately 99,000 acres across 144 farms in 14 states, plus nearly 56,000 acre-feet of water assets in California. Its portfolio leans toward permanent crops such as almonds, pistachios, and wine grapes, as well as fresh-produce row crops like berries and vegetables. This concentration ties its results closely to tree-nut and fruit markets.
Recent performance has been mixed. LAND reported a quarterly net loss in its latest results, even as AFFO improved year over year, helped by strength in pistachio pricing and an early crop-marketing bonus. Management has acknowledged ongoing tenant issues, several vacant farms, and a greater reliance on crop-participation leases, which shift some farming risk onto the company. On the positive side, the company redeemed its Series D preferred stock, reducing total debt, and its common distribution remains intact at a higher yield than its peer. Analyst ratings have ranged from Hold to Buy, with price targets reflecting a cautious outlook on near-term cash-flow coverage.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ most sharply in crop mix and risk exposure. FPI is anchored in staple row crops across the Midwest and South, which tend to produce steadier, more predictable rental income. LAND is concentrated in permanent crops and California water, offering higher potential upside tied to commodity pricing but also greater sensitivity to weather, water regulation, and tenant performance.
Capital structure is another contrast. FPI is internally managed, a structure that generally aligns management costs more closely with shareholders, while LAND is externally managed and pays a monthly distribution with a notably higher yield that has not been fully covered by earnings or free cash flow in recent periods. From a momentum standpoint, FPI has shown stronger relative performance in recent market activity, supported by its dividend increase and stable AFFO, whereas LAND has faced more volatile quarterly results even as nut-crop pricing improves.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor FPI over LAND in the current environment. FPI offers a more consistent profitability trend, a simplified capital structure, and positive catalysts in the form of a dividend increase and raised guidance. LAND carries meaningful upside potential through pistachio and almond pricing strength, but its tenant challenges and dividend-coverage gap introduce more near-term uncertainty. A probabilistic, data-driven model would therefore tend to weight stability and momentum in favor of FPI, while still recognizing LAND as a higher-yield, higher-risk alternative.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FPI is a Hold and LAND is a Hold.
FPI in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026
The 10-day moving average for FPI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FPI as a result. In 39 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FPI turned negative on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 21 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 44%.
FPI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FPI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
FPI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FPI's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 11 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FPI advanced for three days, in 164 of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 131 of 223 cases where FPI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 59%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FPI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.948) is normal, around the industry mean (1.757). P/E Ratio (18.182) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.005). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.020) is also within normal values, averaging (2.612). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. FPI's P/S Ratio (9.606) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.594).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FPI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
LAND in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
The 10-day moving average for LAND crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LAND as a result. In 56 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
LAND moved below its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LAND declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LAND's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LAND advanced for three days, in 163 of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
LAND may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 11 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 29 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.564) is normal, around the industry mean (1.757). LAND has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-12.222) as compared to the industry average of (27.005). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.840) is also within normal values, averaging (2.612). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.172) is also within normal values, averaging (5.594).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LAND’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LAND’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
FPI | LAND | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 74 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 70 Overvalued | 29 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 98 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 83 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 11 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LAND's Valuation (29) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FPI (70). This means that LAND’s stock grew somewhat faster than FPI’s over the last 12 months.
FPI's Profit vs Risk Rating (98) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as LAND (100). This means that FPI’s stock grew similarly to LAND’s over the last 12 months.
FPI's SMR Rating (83) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as LAND (92). This means that FPI’s stock grew similarly to LAND’s over the last 12 months.
FPI's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as LAND (60). This means that FPI’s stock grew similarly to LAND’s over the last 12 months.
FPI's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LAND (42). This means that FPI’s stock grew somewhat faster than LAND’s over the last 12 months.
| FPI | LAND | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 58% | 11 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 53% | 5 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | N/A |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FPI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while LAND’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FPI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- LAND’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FPI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LAND’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- LAND’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FPI (@Specialty Telecommunications) experienced а -5.21% price change this week, while LAND (@Specialty Telecommunications) price change was -6.08% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Telecommunications industry was -1.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.04%.
Reported Earning Dates
FPI is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
LAND is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Telecommunications (-1.13% weekly)Companies belonging to the specialty telecommunications sector provide voice and data transmission via a single method, such as fixed lines, digital subscriber lines (DSL), wireless technology, the internet or competitive local exchange carriers. Telefonica, Liberty Broadband Corp., and Zayo Group Holdings, Inc. are some of the big specialty telecom companies in the U.S.
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FPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FPI has been loosely correlated with LAND. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FPI jumps, then LAND could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FPI | 100% | +1.63% | ||
| LAND - FPI | 64% Loosely correlated | +2.56% | ||
| STAG - FPI | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.14% | ||
| EGP - FPI | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.30% | ||
| FR - FPI | 42% Loosely correlated | -6.92% | ||
| IVT - FPI | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.55% | ||
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LAND and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LAND has been loosely correlated with DOC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LAND jumps, then DOC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LAND | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAND | 100% | +2.56% | ||
| DOC - LAND | 56% Loosely correlated | +4.65% | ||
| BFS - LAND | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.39% | ||
| UE - LAND | 53% Loosely correlated | +2.30% | ||
| STAG - LAND | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.14% | ||
| EGP - LAND | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.30% | ||
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